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In this work, we study statistical learning with dependent ($\beta$-mixing) data and square loss in a hypothesis class $\mathscr{F}\subset L_{\Psi_p}$ where $\Psi_p$ is the norm $\|f\|_{\Psi_p} \triangleq \sup_{m\geq 1} m^{-1/p} \|f\|_{L^m}…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-02 Ingvar Ziemann , Stephen Tu , George J. Pappas , Nikolai Matni

Metric adjusted skew information, induced from quantum Fisher information, is a well-known family of resource measures in the resource theory of asymmetry. However, its asymptotic rates are not valid asymmetry monotone since it has an…

量子物理 · 物理学 2023-05-24 Koji Yamaguchi , Hiroyasu Tajima

We study dynamic optimal portfolio allocation for monotone mean--variance preferences in a general semimartingale model. Armed with new results in this area we revisit the work of Cui, Li, Wang and Zhu (2012, MAFI) and fully characterize…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2020-06-23 Aleš Černý

The Pearson product-moment correlation coefficient (rp) and the Spearman rank correlation coefficient (rs) are widely used in psychological research. We compare rp and rs on 3 criteria: variability, bias with respect to the population…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-29 J. C. F. de Winter , S. D. Gosling , J. Potter

This paper proposes new estimators for the propensity score that aim to maximize the covariate distribution balance among different treatment groups. Heuristically, our proposed procedure attempts to estimate a propensity score model by…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-04-07 Pedro H. C. Sant'Anna , Xiaojun Song , Qi Xu

Tempered stable distributions are frequently used in financial applications (e.g., for option pricing) in which the tails of stable distributions would be too heavy. Given the non-explicit form of the probability density function,…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-07-08 Till Massing

We introduce a simple and tractable methodology for estimating semiparametric conditional latent factor models. Our approach disentangles the roles of characteristics in capturing factor betas of asset returns from ``alpha.'' We construct…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-04-29 Qihui Chen , Nikolai Roussanov , Xiaoliang Wang

We study statistical estimation in a student--teacher setting, where predictions from a pre-trained teacher are used to guide a student model. A standard approach is to train the student to directly match the teacher's outputs, which we…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-27 Kakei Yamamoto , Martin J. Wainwright

In this paper we study the asymptotic normality in high-dimensional linear regression. We focus on the case where the covariance matrix of the regression variables has a KMS structure, in asymptotic settings where the number of predictors,…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-05-17 Saulius Jokubaitis , Remigijus Leipus

We propose a novel approach to infer investors' risk preferences from their portfolio choices, and then use the implied risk preferences to measure the efficiency of investment portfolios. We analyze a dataset spanning a period of six…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2020-10-28 Agostino Capponi , Zhaoyu Zhang

The skew stickiness ratio is a statistic that captures the joint dynamics of an asset price and its volatility. We derive a representation formula for this quantity using the It\^o-Wentzell and Clark-Ocone formulae, and we apply it to…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2026-02-06 Masaaki Fukasawa

Ratios of central order statistics seem to be very useful for estimating the tail of the distributions and therefore, quantiles outside the range of the data. In 1995 Isabel Fraga Alves investigated the rate of convergence of three…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-02-03 Pavlina K. Jordanova , Milan Stehlí k

Average forecast accuracy is not the same as forecast reliability. I treat forecast loss differentials relative to a benchmark as a return series. I then evaluate these returns using risk-adjusted performance measures from finance,…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-05-12 Philippe Goulet Coulombe

This paper investigates the distribution of marks obtained by students across multiple courses to explore whether the data conforms to a skew-normal distribution. Traditional methods for assessing normality, such as the Shapiro Wilk test,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-28 Himadri Mukherjee , Pratham Bhonge

Several novel statistical methods have been developed to estimate large integrated volatility matrices based on high-frequency financial data. To investigate their asymptotic behaviors, they require a sub-Gaussian or finite high-order…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-08-15 Minseok Shin , Donggyu Kim , Jianqing Fan

Artificial intelligence is transforming financial investment decision-making frameworks, with deep reinforcement learning demonstrating substantial potential in robo-advisory applications. This paper addresses the limitations of traditional…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2025-02-24 Gang Huang , Xiaohua Zhou , Qingyang Song

An approach to inference for relative sparsity was developed in prior work, and an adaptive lasso asymptotic normality theorem was given there, but this theorem was not fully used when estimating the variance of the policy coefficients.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-05 Samuel Julian Weisenthal

Suppose one has a collection of parameters indexed by a (possibly infinite dimensional) set. Given data generated from some distribution, the objective is to estimate the maximal parameter in this collection evaluated at this distribution.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-05-26 Alexander R. Luedtke , Mark J. van der Laan

In a range of genomic applications, it is of interest to quantify the evidence that the signal at site~$i$ is active given conditionally independent replicate observations summarized by the sample mean and variance $(\bar Y, s^2)$ at each…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-12-20 Micol Tresoldi , Daniel Xiang , Peter McCullagh

We review some fundamental concepts of investment from a mathematical perspective, concentrating specifically on fractional-Kelly portfolios, which allocate a fraction of wealth to a growth-optimal portfolio while the remainder collects (or…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2021-09-23 Anthony E. Brockwell