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When estimating finite mixture models, it is common to make assumptions on the mixture components, such as parametric assumptions. In this work, we make no distributional assumptions on the mixture components and instead assume that…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-10-14 Robert A. Vandermeulen , Clayton D. Scott

The claim experience of the past is a very important information to calculate the fair price of an insurance contract. In a lot of European countries for instance the prices for motor car insurance depend on the number of claims the driver…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2010-09-22 Magda Schiegl

Bayesian nonparametric mixture models are common for modeling complex data. While these models are well-suited for density estimation, recent results proved posterior inconsistency of the number of clusters when the true number of…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-05-31 Louise Alamichel , Daria Bystrova , Julyan Arbel , Guillaume Kon Kam King

When complex Bayesian models exhibit implausible behaviour, one solution is to assemble available information into an informative prior. Challenges arise as prior information is often only available for the observable quantity, or some…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-18 Andrew A. Manderson , Robert J. B. Goudie

We describe a new method for evaluating Bayes factors. The key idea is to introduce a hypermodel in which the competing models are components of a mixture distribution. Inference for the mixing probabilities then yields estimates of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-02-16 Philip D. O'Neill , Theodore Kypraios

In many applications, a finite mixture is a natural model, but it can be difficult to choose an appropriate number of components. To circumvent this choice, investigators are increasingly turning to Dirichlet process mixtures (DPMs), and…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-09-03 Jeffrey W. Miller , Matthew T. Harrison

Seemingly unrelated linear regression models are introduced in which the distribution of the errors is a finite mixture of Gaussian components. Identifiability conditions are provided. The score vector and the Hessian matrix are derived.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-03-18 Giuliano Galimberti , Elena Scardovi , Gabriele Soffritti

We study how the training data distribution affects confidence and performance in image classification models. We introduce Embedding Density, a model-agnostic framework that estimates prediction confidence by measuring the distance of test…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-28 Maksim Kazanskii , Artem Kasianov

We consider a finite mixture model with varying mixing probabilities. Linear regression models are assumed for observed variables with coefficients depending on the mixture component the observed subject belongs to. A modification of the…

概率论 · 数学 2016-01-07 Daryna Liubashenko , Rostyslav Maiboroda

Bayesian models that mix multiple Dirichlet prior parameters, called Multi-Dirichlet priors (MD) in this paper, are gaining popularity. Inferring mixing weights and parameters of mixed prior distributions seems tricky, as sums over…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-08-18 Christoph Carl Kling

Dirichlet process mixture models (DPMM) play a central role in Bayesian nonparametrics, with applications throughout statistics and machine learning. DPMMs are generally used in clustering problems where the number of clusters is not known…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-10-20 Chiao-Yu Yang , Eric Xia , Nhat Ho , Michael I. Jordan

Finite mixtures of regression models provide a flexible modeling framework for many phenomena. Using moment-based estimation of the regression parameters, we develop unbiased estimators with a minimum of assumptions on the mixture…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-05-17 Claus Thorn Ekstrøm , Christian Bressen Pipper

Estimating parameters of mixture model has wide applications ranging from classification problems to estimating of complex distributions. Most of the current literature on estimating the parameters of the mixture densities are based on…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-06-23 Yuantong Li , Qi Ma , Sujit K. Ghosh

Pre-trained model assessment for transfer learning aims to identify the optimal candidate for the downstream tasks from a model hub, without the need of time-consuming fine-tuning. Existing advanced works mainly focus on analyzing the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-07 Tengxue Zhang , Yang Shu , Xinyang Chen , Yifei Long , Chenjuan Guo , Bin Yang

Cluster randomized trials with measurements at baseline can improve power over post-test only designs by using difference in difference designs. However, subjects may be lost to follow-up between the baseline and follow-up periods. While…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-03-26 Jonathan Moyer , Ken Kleinman

Nowadays model uncertainty has become one of the most important problems in both academia and industry. In this paper, we mainly consider the scenario in which we have a common model set used for model averaging instead of selecting a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-26 Yimin Huang , Weiran Huang , Liang Li , Zhenguo Li

Existing approaches to model uncertainty typically either compare models using a quantitative model selection criterion or evaluate posterior model probabilities having set a prior. In this paper, we propose an alternative strategy which…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-26 Vik Shirvaikar , Stephen G. Walker , Chris Holmes

Training datasets for machine learning often have some form of missingness. For example, to learn a model for deciding whom to give a loan, the available training data includes individuals who were given a loan in the past, but not those…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-12-22 Naman Goel , Alfonso Amayuelas , Amit Deshpande , Amit Sharma

The use of a finite mixture of normal distributions in model-based clustering allows to capture non-Gaussian data clusters. However, identifying the clusters from the normal components is challenging and in general either achieved by…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-06-21 Gertraud Malsiner-Walli , Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter , Bettina Grün

Finite mixture distributions arise in sampling a heterogeneous population. Data drawn from such a population will exhibit extra variability relative to any single subpopulation. Statistical models based on finite mixtures can assist in the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-01-19 Andrew M. Raim , Nagaraj K. Neerchal , Jorge G. Morel