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We propose a Bayesian approach using improper priors for hierarchical linear mixed models with flexible random effects and residual error distributions. The error distribution is modelled using scale mixtures of normals, which can capture…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-02-06 F. J. Rubio , M. F. J. Steel

The integration of data and knowledge from several sources is known as data fusion. When data is only available in a distributed fashion or when different sensors are used to infer a quantity of interest, data fusion becomes essential. In…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-11 Peng Wu , Tales Imbiriba , Victor Elvira , Pau Closas

Bayesian inversion is central to the quantification of uncertainty within problems arising from numerous applications in science and engineering. To formulate the approach, four ingredients are required: a forward model mapping the unknown…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-05-15 O. Deniz Akyildiz , Mark Girolami , Andrew M. Stuart , Arnaud Vadeboncoeur

When prior information is lacking, the go-to strategy for probabilistic inference is to combine a "default prior" and the likelihood via Bayes's theorem. Objective Bayes, (generalized) fiducial inference, etc. fall under this umbrella. This…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-05 Ryan Martin

The main object of Bayesian statistical inference is the determination of posterior distributions. Sometimes these laws are given for quantities devoid of empirical value. This serious drawback vanishes when one confines oneself to…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2008-12-02 Federico Bassetti

We develop a class of non-life reserving models using a stable-1/2 random bridge to simulate the accumulation of paid claims, allowing for an essentially arbitrary choice of a priori distribution for the ultimate loss. Taking an…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2015-03-17 Edward Hoyle , Lane P. Hughston , Andrea Macrina

The sparse structure of the solution for an inverse problem can be modelled using different sparsity enforcing priors when the Bayesian approach is considered. Analytical expression for the unknowns of the model can be obtained by building…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-05-31 Mircea Dumitru

For Bayesian D-optimal design, we define a singular prior distribution for the model parameters as a prior distribution such that the determinant of the Fisher information matrix has a prior geometric mean of zero for all designs. For such…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-08-13 Timothy W. Waite

Finite mixture models are widely used in econometric analyses to capture unobserved heterogeneity. This paper shows that maximum likelihood estimation of finite mixtures of parametric densities can suffer from substantial finite-sample bias…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-04 Raphaël Langevin

This paper introduces a new approach to the study of rates of convergence for posterior distributions. It is a natural extension of a recent approach to the study of Bayesian consistency. In particular, we improve on current rates of…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-08-22 Stephen G. Walker , Antonio Lijoi , Igor Prünster

While Bayesian inference provides a principled framework for reasoning under uncertainty, its widespread adoption is limited by the intractability of exact posterior computation, necessitating the use of approximate inference. However,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-19 George Whittle , Juliusz Ziomek , Jacob Rawling , Maike A. Osborne

Nonparametric mixture models based on the Dirichlet process are an elegant alternative to finite models when the number of underlying components is unknown, but inference in such models can be slow. Existing attempts to parallelize…

机器学习 · 统计学 2012-12-03 Sinead A. Williamson , Avinava Dubey , Eric P. Xing

One of the well-known challenges in optimal experimental design is how to efficiently estimate the nested integrations of the expected information gain. The Gaussian approximation and associated importance sampling have been shown to be…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-08-17 Quan Long

In this article, we introduce finite mixture models (FMMs) renowned for capturing population heterogeneity. Our focus lies in establishing stochastic comparisons between two arithmetic (finite) mixture models, employing the vector…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-12-16 Raju Bhakta , Nuria Torrado , Sangita Das , Suchandan Kayal

Many of the data, particularly in medicine and disease mapping are count. Indeed, the under or overdispersion problem in count data distrusts the performance of the classical Poisson model. For taking into account this problem, in this…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-05-19 Mahsa Nadifar , Hossein Baghishani , Thomas Kneib , Afshin Fallah

Time series prediction is a widespread and well studied problem with applications in many domains (medical, geoscience, network analysis, finance, econometry etc.). In the case of multivariate time series, the key to good performances is to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-09 Darko Drakulic , Jean-Marc Andreoli

Estimation of finite mixture models when the mixing distribution support is unknown is an important problem. This paper gives a new approach based on a marginal likelihood for the unknown support. Motivated by a Bayesian Dirichlet prior…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-02-11 Ryan Martin

In this paper a simple procedure to deal with label switching when exploring complex posterior distributions by MCMC algorithms is proposed. Although it cannot be generalized to any situation, it may be handy in many applications because of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-09-14 Leonardo Egidi , Roberta Pappadà , Francesco Pauli , Nicola Torelli

Decisions are often based on imprecise, uncertain or vague information. Likewise, the consequences of an action are often equally unpredictable, thus putting the decision maker into a twofold jeopardy. Assuming that the effects of an action…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2022-05-03 Stefan Rass , Sandra König , Stefan Schauer

The problem of quickest detection of a change in distribution is considered under the assumption that the pre-change distribution is known, and the post-change distribution is only known to belong to a family of distributions…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-01-30 Tze Siong Lau , Wee Peng Tay , Venugopal V. Veeravalli