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In this paper, we consider a compartmental SIRS epidemic model with asymptomatic infection and seasonal succession, which is a periodic discontinuous differential system. The basic reproduction number $\mathcal{R}_0$ is defined and valuated…

动力系统 · 数学 2017-08-15 Yilei Tang , Dongmei Xiao , Weinian Zhang , Di Zhu

There is increasing evidence that one of the most difficult problems in trying to control the ongoing COVID-19 epidemic is the presence of a large cohort of asymptomatic infectives. We develop a SIR-type model taking into account the…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-06-29 Giuseppe Gaeta

Infectious diseases spread through human networks. Susceptible-Infected-Removed (SIR) model is one of the epidemic models to describe infection dynamics on a complex network connecting individuals. In the metapopulation SIR model, each node…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-08-27 Kanako Mizuno , Kazue Kudo

We present an epidemiological compartment model, SAIR(S), that explicitly captures the dynamics of asymptomatic infected individuals in an epidemic spread process. We first present a group model and then discuss networked versions. We…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-03-23 Xiaoqi Bi , Carolyn L. Beck

Modeling epidemic dynamics plays an important role in studying how diseases spread, predicting their future course, and designing strategies to control them. In this letter, we introduce a model of SIR (susceptible-infected-removed) type…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2013-12-17 Li Chen , Fakhteh Ghanbarnejad , Weiran Cai , Peter Grassberger

We present a compartmental SEIAR model of epidemic spread as a generalization of the SEIR model. We believe that the asymptomatic infectious cohort is an omitted part of the understanding of the epidemic dynamics of disease COVID-19. We…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-04-07 Lenka Pribylova , Veronika Hajnova

The viral load is known to be a chief predictor of the risk of transmission of infectious diseases. In this work, we investigate the role of the individuals' viral load in the disease transmission by proposing a new…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2023-03-29 Rossella Della Marca , Nadia Loy , Andrea Tosin

This paper is concerned with SIR (susceptible $\to$ infected $\to$ removed) household epidemic models in which the infection response may be either mild or severe, with the type of response also affecting the infectiousness of an…

概率论 · 数学 2010-05-26 Frank Ball , Tom Britton , David Sirl

In order to understand the cost of a potentially high infectiousness of symptomatic individuals or, on the contrary, the benefit of social distancing, quarantine, etc. in the course of an infectious disease, this paper considers a natural…

概率论 · 数学 2024-04-29 Lamia Belhadji , Nicolas Lanchier , Max Mercer

We propose two SIR models which incorporate sociological behavior of groups of individuals. It is these differences in behaviors which impose different infection rates on the individual susceptible populations, rather than biological…

动力系统 · 数学 2022-07-26 Robert F. Allen , Katherine Heller , Matthew A. Pons

This paper is concerned with a stochastic model for the spread of an SEIR (susceptible -> exposed (=latent) -> infective -> removed) epidemic with a contact tracing scheme, in which removed individuals may name some of their infectious…

概率论 · 数学 2015-12-08 Frank G Ball , Edward S Knock , Philip D O'Neill

We formulate a general age-of-infection epidemic model with two pathways: the symptomatic infections and the asymptomatic infections. We then calculate the basic reproduction number $\mathcal{R}_0$ and establish the final size relation. It…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-11-04 Fan Bai

Epidemic models currently play a central role in our attempts to understand and control infectious diseases. Here, we derive a model for the diffusion limit of stochastic susceptible-infectious-removed (SIR) epidemic dynamics on a…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2013-09-30 Matthew Graham , Thomas House

Studies on how to model the interplay between diseases and behavioral responses (so-called coupled disease-behavior interaction) have attracted increasing attention. Owing to the lack of obvious clinical evidence of diseases, or the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-08-24 Hai-Feng Zhang , Jia-Rong Xie , Han-Shuang Chen , Can Liu , Michael Small

A significant proportion of the infections driving the current {SARS-CoV-2} pandemic are transmitted asymptomatically. Here we introduce and study a simple epidemic model with separate compartments comprising asymptomatic and symptomatic…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2022-10-12 Maurice Görtz , Joachim Krug

Many disease models focus on characterizing the underlying transmission mechanism but make simple, possibly naive assumptions about how infections are reported. In this note, we use a simple deterministic Susceptible-Infected-Removed (SIR)…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2019-11-28 Sang Woo Park , Benjamin M. Bolker

In general, the rates of infection and removal (whether through recovery or death) are nonlinear functions of the number of infected and susceptible individuals. One of the simplest models for the spread of infectious diseases is the SIR…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2026-05-11 Seong Jun Park , M. Y. Choi

Our study is based on an epidemiological compartmental model, the SIRS model. In the SIRS model, each individual is in one of the states susceptible (S), infected(I) or recovered (R), depending on its state of health. In compartment R, an…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2023-05-10 Michael Bestehorn , Thomas M. Michelitsch

One of the popular dynamics on complex networks is the epidemic spreading. An epidemic model describes how infections spread throughout a network. Among the compartmental models used to describe epidemics, the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2011-07-14 Faryad Darabi Sahneh , Caterina Scoglio

Two factors that are often ignored but could play a crucial role in the progression of an infectious disease are the distributions of inherent susceptibility ($\sigma_{inh}$) and external infectivity ($\iota_{ext}$), in a given population.…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-01-01 Saumyak Mukherjee , Sayantan Mondal , Biman Bagchi
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