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Estimating and controlling large risks has become one of the main concern of financial institutions. This requires the development of adequate statistical models and theoretical tools (which go beyond the traditionnal theories based on…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2009-10-31 Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

Gaussian graphical models are used for determining conditional relationships between variables. This is accomplished by identifying off-diagonal elements in the inverse-covariance matrix that are non-zero. When the ratio of variables (p) to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-08-07 Donald R. Williams , Juho Piironen , Aki Vehtari , Philippe Rast

We explore various Bayesian approaches to estimate partial Gaussian graphical models. Our hierarchical structures enable to deal with single-output as well as multiple-output linear regressions, in small or high dimension, enforcing either…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-14 Eunice Okome Obiang , Pascal Jézéquel , Frédéric Proïa

Doubly intractable distributions arise in many settings, for example in Markov models for point processes and exponential random graph models for networks. Bayesian inference for these models is challenging because they involve intractable…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-04-03 Jaewoo Park , Murali Haran

Graphical model selection in Markov random fields is a fundamental problem in statistics and machine learning. Two particularly prominent models, the Ising model and Gaussian model, have largely developed in parallel using different (though…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-02-26 Anamay Chaturvedi , Jonathan Scarlett

A method of deriving quadrature rules has been developed which gives nodes and weights for a Gaussian-type rule which integrates functions of the form: f(x,y,t) = a(x,y,t)/((x-t)^2+y^2) + b(x,y,t)/([(x-t)^2+y^2]^{1/2}) +…

数值分析 · 数学 2010-09-21 Michael Carley

We consider the numerical approximation of the quantile hedging price in a non-linear market. In a Markovian framework, we propose a numerical method based on a Piecewise Constant Policy Timestepping (PCPT) scheme coupled with a monotone…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2021-02-17 Cyril Bénézet , Jean-François Chassagneux , Christoph Reisinger

High frequency data in finance have led to a deeper understanding on probability distributions of market prices. Several facts seem to be well stablished by empirical evidence. Specifically, probability distributions have the following…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-10-31 Jaume Masoliver , Miquel Montero , Josep M. Porra

Generalised hyperbolic (GH) processes are a class of stochastic processes that are used to model the dynamics of a wide range of complex systems that exhibit heavy-tailed behavior, including systems in finance, economics, biology, and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-21 Yaman Kindap , Simon Godsill

Gaussian process regression is a popular method for non-parametric probabilistic modeling of functions. The Gaussian process prior is characterized by so-called hyperparameters, which often have a large influence on the posterior model and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-11-18 Andreas Svensson , Johan Dahlin , Thomas B. Schön

A numerical algorithm for mean curvature flow of closed mean convex surfaces with surgery is proposed. The method uses a finite element based mean curvature flow algorithm based on a coupled partial differential equation system which…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-09-22 Balázs Kovács

In recent studies the truncated Levy process (TLP) has been shown to be very promising for the modeling of financial dynamics. In contrast to the Levy process, the TLP has finite moments and can account for both the previously observed…

统计力学 · 物理学 2008-12-10 Andrew Matacz

Covariance estimation and selection for multivariate datasets in a high-dimensional regime is a fundamental problem in modern statistics. Gaussian graphical models are a popular class of models used for this purpose. Current Bayesian…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-03-06 Xuan Cao , Shaojun Zhang

Recently, we have proposed a new diffusive representation for fractional derivatives and, based on this representation, suggested an algorithm for their numerical computation. From the construction of the algorithm, it is immediately…

数值分析 · 数学 2022-04-12 Kai Diethelm

This paper proposes a novel approach to the statistical characterization of non-central complex Gaussian quadratic forms (CGQFs). Its key strategy is the generation of an auxiliary random variable (RV) that converges in distribution to the…

This paper presents a model of asymmetric bifurcating autoregressive process with random coefficients. We couple this model with a Galton Watson tree to take into account possibly missing observations. We propose least-squares estimators…

概率论 · 数学 2013-04-18 Benoîte de Saporta , Anne Gégout-Petit , Laurence Marsalle

This paper considers approximate smoothing for discretely observed non-linear stochastic differential equations. The problem is tackled by developing methods for linearising stochastic differential equations with respect to an arbitrary…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-01-21 Filip Tronarp , Simo Särkkä

This paper investigates robust stochastic differential games among insurers under model uncertainty and stochastic volatility. The surplus processes of ambiguity-averse insurers (AAIs) are characterized by drifted Brownian motion with both…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2024-12-13 Guohui Guan , Zongxia Liang , Yi Xia

Numerical relativity (NR) enables the study of physics in strong and dynamical gravitational fields and provides predictions for the gravitational-wave signals produced by merging black holes. Despite the impressive accuracy of modern…

广义相对论与量子宇宙学 · 物理学 2025-10-15 Richard Dyer , Christopher J. Moore

This paper provides a general and abstract approach to approximate ergodic regimes of Markov and Feller processes. More precisely, we show that the recursive algorithm presented in Lamberton & Pages (2002) and based on simulation algorithms…

概率论 · 数学 2018-01-17 Gilles Pagès , Clément Rey
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