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We develop a completely new and straightforward method for simulating the joint law of the position and running maximum at a fixed time of a general L\'{e}vy process with a view to application in insurance and financial mathematics.…

概率论 · 数学 2012-02-20 A. Kuznetsov , A. E. Kyprianou , J. C. Pardo , K. van Schaik

In this research the technology of complex Markov chains is applied to predict financial time series. The main distinction of complex or high-order Markov Chains and simple first-order ones is the existing of aftereffect or memory. The…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2011-11-23 Vladimir Soloviev , Vladimir Saptsin , Dmitry Chabanenko

The study of time-inhomogeneous Markov jump processes is a traditional topic within probability theory that has recently attracted substantial attention in various applications. However, their flexibility also incurs a substantial…

概率论 · 数学 2023-11-03 Martin Bladt , Oscar Peralta

We give Hoeffding and Bernstein-type concentration inequalities for the largest eigenvalue of sums of random matrices arising from a Markov chain. We consider time-dependent matrix-valued functions on a general state space, generalizing…

概率论 · 数学 2025-07-01 Joe Neeman , Bobby Shi , Rachel Ward

This work focuses on time-inhomogeneous Markov chains with two time scales. Our motivations stem from applications in reliability and dependability, queueing networks, financial engineering and manufacturing systems, where two-time-scale…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 George Yin , Hanqin Zhang

The analysis of many problems of interest associated with Markov chains, e.g. stationary distributions, moments of first passage time distributions and moments of occupation time random variables, involves the solution of a system of linear…

概率论 · 数学 2012-08-29 Jeffrey J. Hunter

We consider Markov chains with random transition probabilities which, moreover, fluctuate randomly with time. We describe such a system by a product of stochastic matrices, $U(t)=M_t\cdots M_1$, with the factors $M_i$ drawn independently…

数学物理 · 物理学 2018-11-14 G. C. P. Innocentini , M. Novaes

We introduce deep Markov spatio-temporal factorization (DMSTF), a generative model for dynamical analysis of spatio-temporal data. Like other factor analysis methods, DMSTF approximates high dimensional data by a product between time…

We suggest an approach to obtaining general two-sided bounds on the rate of convergence in terms of special "weighted" norms related to total variation. Some important classes of continuous-time Markov chains are considered:…

概率论 · 数学 2015-07-15 A. Zeifman , V. Korolev

Markov chain models are used in various fields, such behavioral sciences or econometrics. Although the goodness of fit of the model is usually assessed by large sample approximation, it is desirable to use conditional tests if the sample…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-01-11 Akimichi Takemura , Hisayuki Hara

We study discrete time Markov processes with periodic or open boundary conditions and with inhomogeneous rates in the bulk. The Markov matrices are given by the inhomogeneous transfer matrices introduced previously to prove the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-10-30 N. Crampe , K. Mallick , E. Ragoucy , M. Vanicat

Iterative Proportional Fitting (IPF), combined with EM, is commonly used as an algorithm for likelihood maximization in undirected graphical models. In this paper, we present two iterative algorithms that generalize upon IPF. The first one…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-01-07 Wim Wiegerinck , Tom Heskes

Adaptive importance sampling is a powerful tool to sample from complicated target densities, but its success depends sensitively on the initial proposal density. An algorithm is presented to automatically perform the initialization using…

统计计算 · 统计学 2013-05-01 Frederik Beaujean , Allen Caldwell

Let $R$ be a continuous-time Markov process on the time interval $[0,1]$ with values in some state space $X$. We transform this reference process $R$ into $P:=f(X_0)\exp (-\int_0^1 V_t(X_t) dt) g(X_1)\,R$ where $f,g$ are nonnegative…

概率论 · 数学 2011-02-16 Christian Léonard

We study the Wiener--Hopf factorization and the distribution of extrema for general stable processes. By connecting the Wiener--Hopf factors with a certain elliptic-like function we are able to obtain many explicit and general results, such…

概率论 · 数学 2011-04-11 Alexey Kuznetsov

Approximating the stationary probability of a state in a Markov chain through Markov chain Monte Carlo techniques is, in general, inefficient. Standard random walk approaches require $\tilde{O}(\tau/\pi(v))$ operations to approximate the…

离散数学 · 计算机科学 2018-01-03 Marco Bressan , Enoch Peserico , Luca Pretto

The Wiener-Hopf integral equations of 1-st kind relates to the class of Wiener-Hopf equations of non normal type, to which the classical Wiener-Hopf method is not applicable, but is completely applicable the special factorization method. In…

经典分析与常微分方程 · 数学 2023-12-29 G. A. Grigorian

Many problems of practical interest rely on Continuous-time Markov chains~(CTMCs) defined over combinatorial state spaces, rendering the computation of transition probabilities, and hence probabilistic inference, difficult or impossible…

In the paper, we develop a very fast and accurate method for pricing double barrier options with continuous monitoring in wide classes of L\'evy models; the calculations are in the dual space, and the Wiener-Hopf factorization is used. For…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2022-11-16 Svetlana Boyarchenko , Sergei Levendorskiĭ

As an extension of the discrete Sommerfeld problems on lattices, the scattering of a time harmonic wave is considered on an infinite square lattice when there exists a pair of semi-infinite cracks or rigid constraints. Due to the presence…

数学物理 · 物理学 2023-12-21 Basant Lal Sharma