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Investigating the problem of setting control limits in the case of parameter uncertainty is more accessible when monitoring the variance because only one parameter has to be estimated. Simply ignoring the induced uncertainty frequently…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-04-19 Sven Knoth

We consider a multi-period stochastic control problem where the multivariate driving stochastic factor of the system has known marginal distributions but uncertain dependence structure. To solve the problem, we propose to implement the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-09-13 Erhan Bayraktar , Tao Chen

We propose a new unsupervised and non-parametric method to detect change points in intricate quasi-periodic signals. The detection relies on optimal transport theory combined with topological analysis and the bootstrap procedure. The…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-15 Nikolay Shvetsov , Nazar Buzun , Dmitry V. Dylov

This paper presents DRE-CUSUM, an unsupervised density-ratio estimation (DRE) based approach to determine statistical changes in time-series data when no knowledge of the pre-and post-change distributions are available. The core idea behind…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-28 Sudarshan Adiga , Ravi Tandon

Change point analysis has applications in a wide variety of fields. The general problem concerns the inference of a change in distribution for a set of time-ordered observations. Sequential detection is an online version in which new data…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-10-16 David S. Matteson , Nicholas A. James

In the quickest change detection problem in which both nuisance and critical changes may occur, the objective is to detect the critical change as quickly as possible without raising an alarm when either there is no change or a nuisance…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-10-23 Tze Siong Lau , Wee Peng Tay

In this paper easily applicable techniques are devised for detecting changepoints in autocorrelated Gaussian sequences. Our method proceeds by sequential evaluation of a CUSUM-type test statistic, which is compared to a predefined…

概率论 · 数学 2016-02-09 W. Ellens , J. Kuhn , M. Mandjes , P. Żuraniewski

We develop a learning-based algorithm for the control of autonomous systems governed by unknown, nonlinear dynamics to satisfy user-specified spatio-temporal tasks expressed as signal temporal logic specifications. Most existing algorithms…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2021-10-12 Christos K. Verginis , Zhe Xu , Ufuk Topcu

We propose a sequential nonparametric test for detecting a change in distribution, based on windowed Kolmogorov--Smirnov statistics. The approach is simple, robust, highly computationally efficient, easy to calibrate, and requires no…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-12-26 Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , Alex Athey , Alex Reinhart , James G. Scott

This paper considers an adaptive tracking control problem for stochastic regression systems with multi-threshold quantized observations. Different from the existing studies for periodic reference signals, the reference signal in this paper…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-04-30 Chuiliu Kong , Ying Wang

The problem of quickest change detection with communication rate constraints is studied. A network of wireless sensors with limited computation capability monitors the environment and sends observations to a fusion center via wireless…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2016-09-06 Xiaoqiang Ren , Karl H. Johansson , Dawei Shi , Ling Shi

Monitoring time-between-events (TBE) data, where the goal is to track the time between consecutive events, has important applications across various fields. Many existing schemes for monitoring multivariate TBE data suffer from inherent…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-03 Gokul Parakulum , Jun Li

In this paper, we study the leaderless consensus problem for multiple Lagrangian systems in the presence of parametric uncertainties and external disturbances under directed graphs. For achieving asymptotic behavior, a robust continuous…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-07-26 Jie Mei

An important assumption in the work on testing for structural breaks in time series consists in the fact that the model is formulated such that the stochastic process under the null hypothesis of "no change-point" is stationary. This…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-03-31 Holger Dette , Weichi Wu , Zhou Zhou

Traditional Statistical Process Control (SPC) is essential for quality management but is limited by its reliance on often violated statistical assumptions, leading to unreliable monitoring in modern, complex manufacturing environments. This…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-30 Christopher Burger

Split conformal prediction has recently sparked great interest due to its ability to provide formally guaranteed uncertainty sets or intervals for predictions made by black-box neural models, ensuring a predefined probability of containing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-29 António Farinhas , Chrysoula Zerva , Dennis Ulmer , André F. T. Martins

This paper develops a Bayesian control chart for the percentiles of the Weibull distribution, when both its in-control and out-of-control parameters are unknown. The Bayesian approach enhances parameter estimates for small sample sizes that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-08-06 Pasquale Erto , Giuliana Pallotta , Christina M. Mastrangelo

In Statistical Process Control, control charts are often used to detect undesirable behavior of sequentially observed quality characteristics. Designing a control chart with desirably low False Alarm Rate (FAR) and detection delay ($ARL_1$)…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-07 Takayuki Iguchi , Andrés F. Barrientos , Eric Chicken , Debajyoti Sinha

This paper proposes a novel direct adaptive control method for rejecting unknown deterministic disturbances and tracking unknown trajectories in systems with uncertain dynamics when the disturbances or trajectories are the summation of…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2016-03-18 Behrooz Shahsavari , Jinwen Pan , Roberto Horowitz

Rapidly detecting problems in the quality of care is of utmost importance for the well-being of patients. Without proper inspection schemes, such problems can go undetected for years. Cumulative sum (CUSUM) charts have proven to be useful…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-07-16 Daniel Gomon , Hein Putter , Rob G. H. H. Nelissen , Stéphanie van der Pas