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At high levels, the asymptotic distribution of a stationary, regularly varying Markov chain is conveniently given by its tail process. The latter takes the form of a geometric random walk, the increment distribution depending on the sign of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-12-11 Holger Drees , Johan Segers , Michał Warchoł

The upper tail of a claim size distribution of a property line of business is frequently modelled by Pareto distribution. However, the upper tail does not need to be Pareto distributed, extraordinary shapes are possible. Here, the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-02-19 Mathias Raschke

Random multiplicative growth with redistribution generates stationary Pareto wealth tails in the Bouchaud-M\'ezard model, but assumes a fixed multiplicative noise intensity. This is restrictive for physical and financial growth processes,…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2026-05-20 Maxence Arutkin , Alexandre Vallée

This paper addresses the problem of estimating the tail index of distributions with heavy, Pareto-type tails for dependent data, that is of interest in the areas of finance, insurance, environmental monitoring and teletraffic analysis. A…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2010-05-25 Stilian A Stoev , George Michailidis

This paper analyzes the equilibrium distribution of wealth in an economy where firms' productivities are subject to idiosyncratic shocks, returns on factors are determined in competitive markets, dynasties have linear consumption functions…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2009-06-11 Davide Fiaschi , Matteo Marsili

The double Pareto distribution is a heavy-tailed distribution with a power-law tail, that is generated via geometric Brownian motion with an exponentially distributed observation time. In this study, we examine a modified model wherein the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2024-04-30 Ken Yamamoto , Takashi Bando , Hirokazu Yanagawa , Yoshihiro Yamazaki

Using public data (Forbes Global 2000) we show that the asset sizes for the largest global firms follow a Pareto distribution in an intermediate range, that is ``interrupted'' by a sharp cut-off in its upper tail, where it is totally…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2015-06-17 Davide Fiaschi , Imre Kondor , Matteo Marsili , Valerio Volpati

Recent work on random growth models with light-tailed Markov-modulated additive shocks has shown that irreducible modulation yields tail behavior resembling an exponential distribution. We show that with reducible modulation the tail…

概率论 · 数学 2026-05-07 Brendan K. Beare , Alexis Akira Toda

We study the large-time asymptotic of renewal-reward processes with a heavy-tailed waiting time distribution. It is known that the heavy tail of the distribution produces an extremely slow dynamics, resulting in a singular large deviation…

数学物理 · 物理学 2022-01-05 Hiroshi Horii , Raphael Lefevere , Takahiro Nemoto

Many economic models feature monotone Markov dynamics on state spaces that may be noncompact. Establishing existence, uniqueness, and stability of stationary distributions in such settings has required a patchwork of sufficient conditions,…

概率论 · 数学 2026-04-07 Takashi Kamihigashi , John Stachurski

We propose a mean functional which exists for any probability distributions, and which characterizes the Pareto distribution within the set of distributions with finite left endpoint. This is in sharp contrast to the mean excess plot which…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-05 Bernhard Klar

The most popular approach in extreme value statistics is the modelling of threshold exceedances using the asymptotically motivated generalised Pareto distribution. This approach involves the selection of a high threshold above which the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-05-27 Ioannis Papastathopoulos , Jonathan A. Tawn

The upper extremes of a Markov chain with regulary varying stationary marginal distribution are known to exhibit under general conditions a multiplicative random walk structure called the tail chain. More generally, if the Markov chain is…

概率论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Johan Segers

The higher-end tail of the wealth distribution in India is studied using recently published lists of the wealth of richest Indians between the years 2002-4. The resulting rank distribution seems to imply a power-law tail for the wealth…

其他凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2009-11-11 Sitabhra Sinha

This study considers a model of the income distribution of agents whose pairwise interaction is asymmetric and price-invariant. Asymmetric transactions are typical for chain-trading groups who arrange their business such that commodities…

概率论 · 数学 2009-11-11 Alexander M. Chebotarev

We investigate the shape of the Italian personal income distribution using microdata from the Survey on Household Income and Wealth, made publicly available by the Bank of Italy for the years 1977--2002. We find that the upper tail of the…

其他凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2009-01-31 F. Clementi , M. Gallegati

Extreme events appear in many physics phenomena, whenever the probability distribution has a ''heavy tail'', differing very much from the equilibrium one. Most unusual are the cases of power-law (Pareto) probability distributions. Among…

量子物理 · 物理学 2019-09-25 Mathieu Manceau , Kirill Yu. Spasibko , Gerd Leuchs , Radim Filip , Maria V. Chekhova

We consider a version of D. Price's model for the growth of a bibliographic network, where in each iteration a constant number of citations is randomly allocated according to a weighted combination of accidental (uniformly distributed) and…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-08-31 Grzegorz Siudem , Przemysław Nowak , Marek Gagolewski

The theory of ``Markov-up'' processes is being developed. This is a new class of stochastic processes with ``partial'' markovian features; it could also be called ``one-sided Markov''. Such a behavior may be found in the real world and in…

概率论 · 数学 2024-07-01 D. O. Kalikaeva

A simple heuristic model, including the multiple exchanges between economic agents, is used to explain the mechanism of emerging and maintenance of social inequality in the market economy. The model allows calculating a density function of…

生物物理 · 物理学 2023-03-16 Vladimir Pokrovskii
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