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相关论文: On perpetuities with light tails

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In this paper we show under weak assumptions that for $R\stackrel{d}{=}1+M_1+M_1M_2+\ldots$, where $P(M\in[0,1])=1$ and $M_i$ are independent copies of $M$, we have $\ln P(R>x)\sim C\, x\ln P(M>1-\frac1x)$ as $x\to\infty$. The constant $C$…

概率论 · 数学 2017-05-29 Bartosz Kolodziejek

This work investigates the tail behavior of solutions to the affine stochastic fixed-point equation of the form $X\stackrel{d}{=}AX+B$, where $X$ and $(A,B)$ are independent. Focusing on the light-tail regime, following [Burdzy et al.…

概率论 · 数学 2025-03-25 Julia Le Bihan , Bartosz Kołodziejek

We consider autoregressive sequences $X_n=aX_{n-1}+\xi_n$ and $M_n=\max\{aM_{n-1},\xi_n\}$ with a constant $a\in(0,1)$ and with positive, independent and identically distributed innovations $\{\xi_k\}$. It is known that if $\mathbf…

概率论 · 数学 2022-03-29 Denis Denisov , Gunter Hinrich , Martin Kolb , Vitali Wachtel

We consider the tail behavior of random variables $R$ which are solutions of the distributional equation $R\stackrel{d}{=}Q+MR$, where $(Q,M)$ is independent of $R$ and $|M|\le 1$. Goldie and Gr\"{u}bel showed that the tails of $R$ are no…

概率论 · 数学 2010-02-08 Paweł Hitczenko , Jacek Wesołowski

Tail asymptotics of the solution $R$ to a fixpoint problem of type $R =_{st} Q + \sum_1^N R_m$ is derived under heavy-tailed conditions allowing both dependence between $Q$ and $N$ and the tails to be of the same order of magnitude. Similar…

概率论 · 数学 2018-02-15 Søren Asmussen , Sergey Foss

In this paper we consider a stochastic model of perpetuity-type. In contrast to the classical affine perpetuity model of Kesten [12] and Goldie [8] all discount factors in the model are mutually independent. We prove that the tails of the…

概率论 · 数学 2017-03-22 Thomas Mikosch , Mohsen Rezapour , Olivier Wintenberger

We consider the random variables $R$ which are solutions of the distributional equation $R\overset{\cL}{=}MR+Q$, where $(Q,M)$ is independent of $R$ and $\ABS{M}\leq 1$. Goldie and Gr\"ubel showed that the tails of $R$ are no heavier than…

概率论 · 数学 2009-12-23 Jean-Baptiste Bardet , Hélène Guerin , Florent Malrieu

An infinite convergent sum of independent and identically distributed random variables discounted by a multiplicative random walk is called perpetuity, because of a possible actuarial application. We give three disjoint groups of sufficient…

Consider a random walk $S=(S_n:n\geq 0)$ that is ``perturbed'' by a stationary sequence $(\xi_n:n\geq 0)$ to produce the process $(S_n+\xi_n:n\geq0)$. This paper is concerned with computing the distribution of the all-time maximum…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Victor F. Araman , Peter W. Glynn

We consider the sums $S_n=\xi_1+\cdots+\xi_n$ of independent identically distributed random variables. We do not assume that the $\xi$'s have a finite mean. Under subexponential type conditions on distribution of the summands, we find the…

概率论 · 数学 2013-03-20 D. Denisov , S. Foss , D. Korshunov

We study the free analogue of the classical affine fixed-point (or perpetuity) equation \[ \mathbb{X} \stackrel{d}{=} \mathbb{A}^{1/2}\mathbb{X}\,\mathbb{A}^{1/2} + \mathbb{B}, \] where $\mathbb{X}$ is assumed to be $*$-free from the pair…

概率论 · 数学 2025-04-01 Serban Belinschi , Bartosz Kołodziejek , Kamil Szpojankowski

By using a probabilistic technique based on the exponential change of measure we find a precise tail asymptotic behavior of some perpetuities with distributions close to the Dickman distribution.

概率论 · 数学 2026-04-17 Alexander Iksanov , Oleh Iksanov

In this paper we are concerned with a sample of asymptotically independent risks. Tail asymptotic probabilities for linear combinations of randomly weighted order statistics are approximated under various assumptions, where the individual…

概率论 · 数学 2014-06-24 Alexandru V. Asimit , Enkelejd Hashorva , Dominik Kortschak

Consider a Lamperti-Kiu Markov additive process $(J_t,\xi_t:t\geq0)$ on $\{+,-\}\times\mathbb{R}\cup\infty$ where $J$ is the modulating Markov chain component. First, we study the finiteness of the exponential functional and then consider…

概率论 · 数学 2020-11-23 Larbi Alili , David Woodford

In the context of communication networks, the framework of stochastic event graphs allows a modeling of control mechanisms induced by the communication protocol and an analysis of its performances. We concentrate on the logarithmic tail…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Marc Lelarge

Let $(m_1,\ldots,m_J)$ and $(r_1,\ldots,r_J)$ be two sequences of $J$ positive integers satisfying $1\le r_j< m_j$ for all $j=1,\ldots,J$. Let $(\delta_1,\ldots,\delta_J)$ be a sequence of $J$ nonzero integers. In this paper, we study the…

数论 · 数学 2019-12-24 Shane Chern

We obtain first decay rates of probabilities of tails of multivariate polynomials built on independent random variables with heavy tails. Then we derive stable limit theorems for nonconventional sums of the form $\sum_{Nt\geq n\geq…

概率论 · 数学 2015-09-08 Yuri Kifer , S. R. S. Varadhan

The present paper is concerned with the stationary workload of queues with heavy-tailed (regularly varying) characteristics. We adopt a transform perspective to illuminate a close connection between the tail asymptotics and heavy-traffic…

概率论 · 数学 2023-04-20 Sem Borst

We study conditions under which $P(S_\tau>x)\sim P(M_\tau>x)\sim E\tau P(\xi_1>x)$ as $x\to\infty$, where $S_\tau$ is a sum $\xi_1+...+\xi_\tau$ of random size $\tau$ and $M_\tau$ is a maximum of partial sums $M_\tau=\max_{n\le\tau}S_n$.…

概率论 · 数学 2011-11-29 Denis Denisov , Sergey Foss , Dmitry Korshunov

In the paper, we investigate the asymptotic behaviors of the randomly weighted sums with upper tail asymptotically independent increments under new conditions without requiring moment assumptions on random weights.An application of the…

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