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The extremal process of a branching random walk is the point measure recording the position of particles alive at time $n$, shifted around the expected position of the minimal position. Madaule proved that this point measure converges, as…

概率论 · 数学 2018-10-09 Bastien Mallein

Our main goal is to study a class of processes whose increments are generated via a cellular automata rule. Given the increments of a simple biased random walk, a new sequence of (dependent) Bernoulli random variables is produced. It is…

概率论 · 数学 2017-10-24 Andrea Collevecchio , Kais Hamza , Yunxuan Liu

We present here a thorough study of the first two moments and cross-moments for the pure birth tree's height and for the coalescent time of a randomly sampled pair of tips. We consider also the first two moments of the conditional, on the…

概率论 · 数学 2025-03-10 Krzysztof Bartoszek , Bayu Brahmantio , Woodrow Hao Chi Kiang

We define the Sampled Moran Genealogy Process, a continuous-time Markov process on the space of genealogies with the demography of the classical Moran process, sampled through time. To do so, we begin by defining the Moran Genealogy Process…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-10-21 Aaron A. King , Qianying Lin , Edward L. Ionides

We consider a neutral haploid population whose generations are not overlapping and whose size is large and constantly of $N$ individuals. Any generation is replaced by a new one and any individual has a single parent. We do not choose the…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2009-11-11 Maurizio Serva

We show that genealogical trees arising from a broad class of non-neutral models of population evolution converge to the Kingman coalescent under a suitable rescaling of time. As well as non-neutral biological evolution, our results apply…

概率论 · 数学 2025-04-09 Jere Koskela , Paul A. Jenkins , Adam M. Johansen , Dario Spano

We propose a new algorithm to do posterior sampling of Kingman's coalescent, based upon the Particle Markov Chain Monte Carlo methodology. Specifically, the algorithm is an instantiation of the Particle Gibbs Sampling method, which…

机器学习 · 统计学 2013-05-07 Yifei Chen , Xiaohui Xie

The coalescent is a stochastic process representing ancestral lineages in a population undergoing neutral genetic drift. Originally defined for a well-mixed population, the coalescent has been adapted in various ways to accommodate spatial,…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2024-07-02 Benjamin Allen , Alex McAvoy

In this paper, we introduce and study a convoluted version of the time fractional Poisson process by taking the discrete convolution with respect to space variable in the system of fractional differential equations that governs its state…

概率论 · 数学 2021-07-20 K. K. Kataria , M. Khandakar

Based on a simple object, an i.i.d. sequence of positive integer-valued random variables, $\{a_n\}_{n\in \mathbb{Z}}$, we introduce and study two random structures and their connections. First, a population dynamics, in which each…

概率论 · 数学 2018-03-23 François Baccelli , Antonio Sodre

The parameters of many classes of birth-death processes cannot be inferred uniquely from phylogenetic trees: infinitely many parameter combinations yield the same distribution of phylogenetic trees. Here, we show that parameter…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2026-04-21 Tobias Dieselhorst , Tanja Stadler

Take a continuous-time Galton-Watson tree and pick $k$ distinct particles uniformly from those alive at a time $T$. What does their genealogical tree look like? The case $k=2$ has been studied by several authors, and the near-critical…

概率论 · 数学 2019-10-07 Samuel G. G. Johnston

The properties of randomly evolving special trees having defined and analyzed already in two earlier papers (arXiv:cond-mat/0205650 and arXiv:cond-mat/0211092) have been investigated in the case when the continuous time parameter converges…

统计力学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 L. Pal

For a family of models of evolving population under selection, which can be described by noisy traveling wave equations, the coalescence times along the genealogical tree scale like $\log^\alpha N$, where $N$ is the size of the population,…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2007-05-23 E. Brunet , B. Derrida , A. H. Mueller , S. Munier

We consider a growing planar network where a tip grows at constant speed, branches at constant rate and inactivates when it meets a branch already created. We only consider here orthogonal branching occurring always in the same direction.…

概率论 · 数学 2026-04-22 Vincent Bansaye , Gael Raoul , Milica Tomasevic

We call change-point problem (CPP) the identification of changes in the probabilistic behavior of a sequence of observations. Solving the CPP involves detecting the number and position of such changes. In genetics the study of how and what…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-01-18 Murilo S. Pinheiro , Benilton S. Carvalho , Aluísio S. Pinheiro

We consider an exactly solvable model of branching random walk with random selection, which describes the evolution of a population with $N$ individuals on the real line. At each time step, every individual reproduces independently, and its…

概率论 · 数学 2018-10-09 Aser Cortines , Bastien Mallein

We consider inference about the history of a sample of DNA sequences, conditional upon the haplotype counts and the number of segregating sites observed at the present time. After deriving some theoretical results in the coalescent setting,…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-03-01 Robert C. Griffiths , Simon Tavaré

We propose a stochastic model for evolution. Births and deaths of species occur with constant probabilities. Each new species is associated with a fitness sampled from the uniform distribution on [0,1]. Every time there is a death event…

概率论 · 数学 2010-11-09 Herve Guiol , Fabio P. Machado , Rinaldo B. Schinazi

In this paper, we consider time-inhomogeneous branching processes and time-inhomogeneous birth-and-death processes, in which the offspring distribution and birth and death rates (respectively) vary in time. A classical result of branching…

概率论 · 数学 2017-03-02 Nicholas Bhattacharya , Mark Perlman