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Explainability, in particular, the ability for robots to explain why they have made a decision or behaved in a certain way, is a critical tool in helping users understand the robots they interact and coexist with. Behaviour trees are a…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2026-05-21 Tamlin Love , Antonio Andriella , Guillem Alenyà

We describe and contrast two distinct problem areas for statistical causality: studying the likely effects of an intervention ("effects of causes"), and studying whether there is a causal link between the observed exposure and outcome in an…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-04-02 A. Philip Dawid , Monica Musio

Not much has been written about the role of triggers in the literature on causal reasoning, causal modeling, or philosophy. In this paper, we focus on describing triggers and causes in the metaphysical sense and on characterizations that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-03 Kateřina Hlaváčková-Schindler , Rainer Wöß , Vera Pecorino , Philip Schindler

The framework of causal models provides a principled approach to causal reasoning, applied today across many scientific domains. Here we present this framework in the language of string diagrams, interpreted formally using category theory.…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2023-04-18 Robin Lorenz , Sean Tull

A causal input-output system may be described by a function space for inputs, a function space for outputs, and a causal operator mapping the input space into the output space. A particular representation of the state of such a system at…

动力系统 · 数学 2010-09-28 Demetrios Serakos

Understanding causal explanations - reasons given for happenings in one's life - has been found to be an important psychological factor linked to physical and mental health. Causal explanations are often studied through manual…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2018-10-19 Youngseo Son , Nipun Bayas , H. Andrew Schwartz

Model explanations based on pure observational data cannot compute the effects of features reliably, due to their inability to estimate how each factor alteration could affect the rest. We argue that explanations should be based on the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-09-20 Álvaro Parafita , Jordi Vitrià

Interpretability research takes counterfactual theories of causality for granted. Most causal methods rely on counterfactual interventions to inputs or the activations of particular model components, followed by observations of the change…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-08 Aaron Mueller

Notions of minimal sufficient causation are incorporated within the directed acyclic graph causal framework. Doing so allows for the graphical representation of sufficient causes and minimal sufficient causes on causal directed acyclic…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-06-10 Tyler J. VanderWeele , James M. Robins

Causal reasoning is essential for understanding decision-making about the behaviour of complex `ecosystems' of systems that underpin modern society, with security -- including issues around correctness, safety, resilience, etc. -- typically…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2025-08-05 Pinaki Chakraborty , Tristan Caulfield , David Pym

This tutorial provides a concise introduction to modern causal modeling by integrating potential outcomes and graphical methods. We motivate causal questions such as counterfactual reasoning under interventions and define binary treatments…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-27 Gauranga Kumar Baishya

The correlations that can be observed between a set of variables depend on the causal structure underpinning them. Causal structures can be modeled using directed acyclic graphs, where nodes represent variables and edges denote functional…

量子物理 · 物理学 2015-01-08 Rafael Chaves , Christian Majenz , David Gross

The study of causal structure in complex systems has gained increasing attention, with many recent studies exploring causal networks that capture cause-effect relationships across diverse fields. Despite increasing empirical evidence…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-02-26 Jiazhen Liu , Kunal Tamang , Dashun Wang , Chaoming Song

We describe basic ideas underlying research to build and understand artificially intelligent systems: from symbolic approaches via statistical learning to interventional models relying on concepts of causality. Some of the hard open…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-04-04 Bernhard Schölkopf , Julius von Kügelgen

Inspired by a novel action-theoretic formalization of actual cause, Khan and Lesp\'erance (2021) recently proposed a first account of causal knowledge that supports epistemic effects, models causal knowledge dynamics, and allows sensing…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-05-17 Shakil M. Khan

Most traditional models of uncertainty have focused on the associational relationship among variables as captured by conditional dependence. In order to successfully manage intelligent systems for decision making, however, we must be able…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2015-05-19 David Heckerman , Ross D. Shachter

Complex networked systems can be modeled and represented as graphs, with nodes representing the agents and the links describing the dynamic coupling between them. The fundamental objective of network identification for dynamic systems is to…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-06-09 Venkat Ram Subramanian , Andrew Lamperski , Murti V. Salapaka

Although it has been notoriously difficult to pin down precisely what it is that makes life so distinctive and remarkable, there is general agreement that its informational aspect is one key property, perhaps the key property. The unique…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2012-12-20 Sara Imari Walker , Paul C. W. Davies

We review and conceptualize recent advances in causal inference under network interference, drawing on a complex and diverse body of work that ranges from causal inference, statistical network analysis, economics, the health sciences, and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-12 Subhankar Bhadra , Michael Schweinberger

Inference of causality is central in nonlinear time series analysis and science in general. A popular approach to infer causality between two processes is to measure the information flow between them in terms of transfer entropy. Using…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2015-04-16 Jie Sun , Erik M. Bollt