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The fundamental challenge in causal induction is to infer the underlying graph structure given observational and/or interventional data. Most existing causal induction algorithms operate by generating candidate graphs and evaluating them…

There is growing interest in the study of causal methods in the Earth sciences. However, most applications have focused on causal discovery, i.e. inferring the causal relationships and causal structure from data. This paper instead examines…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2021-05-04 Adam Massmann , Pierre Gentine , Jakob Runge

Being able to reason about how one's behaviour can affect the behaviour of others is a core skill required of intelligent driving agents. Despite this, the state of the art struggles to meet the need of agents to discover causal links…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2024-03-07 Rhys Howard , Lars Kunze

Reinforcement learning (RL) algorithms often struggle to learn policies that generalize to novel situations due to issues such as causal confusion, overfitting to irrelevant factors, and failure to isolate control of state factors. These…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-04-18 Caleb Chuck , Sankaran Vaidyanathan , Stephen Giguere , Amy Zhang , David Jensen , Scott Niekum

Structural causal models postulate noisy functional relations among a set of interacting variables. The causal structure underlying each such model is naturally represented by a directed graph whose edges indicate for each variable which…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-03-15 David Strieder , Tobias Freidling , Stefan Haffner , Mathias Drton

At the heart of causal structure learning from observational data lies a deceivingly simple question: given two statistically dependent random variables, which one has a causal effect on the other? This is impossible to answer using…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-13 Nikolaos Nikolaou , Konstantinos Sechidis

We introduce a novel tool for analyzing complex network dynamics, allowing for cascades of causally-related events, which we call causal webs (c-webs), to be separated from other non-causally-related events. This tool shows that…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2017-10-11 Rashid V. Williams-Garcia , John M. Beggs , Gerardo Ortiz

Identifying variables responsible for changes to a biological system enables applications in drug target discovery and cell engineering. Given a pair of observational and interventional datasets, the goal is to isolate the subset of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-02 Menghua Wu , Umesh Padia , Sean H. Murphy , Regina Barzilay , Tommi Jaakkola

Discovery of causal relations is fundamental for understanding the dynamics of complex systems. While causal interactions are well defined for acyclic systems that can be separated into causally effective subsystems, a mathematical…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2017-10-11 Daniel Harnack , Erik Laminski , Klaus Richard Pawelzik

An acyclic causal structure can be described with directed acyclic graph (DAG), where arrows indicate the possibility of direct causation. The task of learning this structure from data is known as "causal discovery." Diverse populations or…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-17 Bijan Mazaheri , Spencer Gordon , Yuval Rabani , Leonard Schulman

We assume to be given structural equations over discrete variables inducing a directed acyclic graph, namely, a structural causal model, together with data about its internal nodes. The question we want to answer is how we can compute…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-12-05 Marco Zaffalon , Alessandro Antonucci , Rafael Cabañas , David Huber , Dario Azzimonti

We show that it is possible to understand and identify a decision maker's subjective causal judgements by observing her preferences over interventions. Following Pearl [2000], we represent causality using causal models (also called…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2024-01-23 Joseph Y. Halpern , Evan Piermont

Regulators and academics are increasingly interested in the causal effect that algorithmic actions of a digital platform have on consumption. We introduce a general causal inference problem we call the steerability of consumption that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-13 Gary Cheng , Moritz Hardt , Celestine Mendler-Dünner

Perfect adaptation in a dynamical system is the phenomenon that one or more variables have an initial transient response to a persistent change in an external stimulus but revert to their original value as the system converges to…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-02-27 Tineke Blom , Joris M. Mooij

The verification and validation of automated driving systems at SAE levels 4 and 5 is a multi-faceted challenge for which classical statistical considerations become infeasible. For this, contemporary approaches suggest a decomposition into…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-10-28 Tjark Koopmann , Christian Neurohr , Lina Putze , Lukas Westhofen , Roman Gansch , Ahmad Adee

When deciding how to solve complex problems, it seems important not only to know whether an intervention is helpful but also to understand why. Therefore, the present study investigated whether explicit information about causal mechanisms…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2026-01-29 Romy Müller

Classical causal and statistical inference methods typically assume the observed data consists of independent realizations. However, in many applications this assumption is inappropriate due to a network of dependences between units in the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-07-02 Rohit Bhattacharya , Daniel Malinsky , Ilya Shpitser

Requiring that the causal structure between different parties is well-defined imposes constraints on the correlations they can establish, which define so-called causal correlations. Some of these are known to have a "dynamical" causal order…

量子物理 · 物理学 2025-11-13 Raphaël Mothe , Alastair A. Abbott , Cyril Branciard

In [1] we present an extension of Prime Event Structures by a mechanism to express dynamicity in the causal relation. More precisely we add the possibility that the occurrence of an event can add or remove causal dependencies between events…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2015-04-03 Youssef Arbach , David Karcher , Kirstin Peters , Uwe Nestmann

Identification of causal structures and quantification of direct information flows in complex systems is a challenging yet important task, with practical applications in many fields. Data generated by dynamical processes or large-scale…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2015-08-06 Carlo Cafaro , Warren M. Lord , Jie Sun , Erik M. Bollt