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We establish a theory for multivariate extreme value analysis of dynamical systems. Namely, we provide conditions adapted to the dynamical setting which enable the study of dependence between extreme values of the components of…

An exact analytical description of extreme intensity statistics in complex random states is derived. These states have the statistical properties of the Gaussian and Circular Unitary Ensemble eigenstates of random matrix theory. Although…

量子物理 · 物理学 2011-08-02 Arul Lakshminarayan , Steven Tomsovic , Oriol Bohigas , Satya N. Majumdar

A general theory is provided delivering convergence of maximal cyclically monotone mappings containing the supports of coupling measures of sequences of pairs of possibly random probability measures on Euclidean space. The theory is based…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-08-05 Johan Segers

We review some applications of central limit theorems and extreme values statistics in the context of disordered systems. We discuss several problems, in particular concerning Random Matrix Theory and the generalisation of the Tracy-Widom…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-13 Giulio Biroli , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Marc Potters

We study the statistical distribution of the closest encounter between observations computed along different trajectories of a mixing dynamical system. At the limit of large trajectories, the distribution is of Gumbel type and depends on…

动力系统 · 数学 2021-04-29 Théophile Caby

In this paper we provide a connection between the geometrical properties of a chaotic dynamical system and the distribution of extreme values. We show that the extremes of so-called physical observables are distributed according to the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-06-12 Valerio Lucarini , Tobias Kuna , Davide Faranda , Jeroen Wouters

We study the spatio-temporal behavior of simple coupled map lattices with periodic boundary conditions. The local dynamics is governed by two maps, namely, the sine circle map and the logistic map respectively. It is found that even though…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2009-10-31 Bikash Chandra Gupta , P. A. Sreeram , S. B. Lee

Heavy tailed phenomena are naturally analyzed by extreme value statistics. A crucial step in such an analysis is the estimation of the extreme value index, which describes the tail heaviness of the underlying probability distribution. We…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-07-18 Hanan Ahmed , John H. J. Einmahl

Multivariate extreme value statistical analysis is concerned with observations on several variables which are thought to possess some degree of tail-dependence. In areas such as the modeling of financial and insurance risks, or as the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-12-31 Alexis Bienvenüe , Christian Y. Robert

The three-parameter generalized extreme value distribution arises from classical univariate extreme value theory and is in common use for analyzing the far tail of observed phenomena. Curiously, important asymptotic properties of…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-08-17 Likun Zhang , Benjamin Shaby

We investigate the processes of synchronization and phase ordering in a system of globally coupled maps possessing bistable, chaotic local dynamics. The stability boundaries of the synchronized states are determined on the space of…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2014-02-21 O. Alvarez-Llamoza , M. G. Cosenza

We study the transition to synchronization in large, dense networks of chaotic circle maps, where an exact solution of the mean-field dynamics in the infinite network and all-to-all coupling limit is known. In dense networks of finite size…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2023-07-06 Hans Muller Mendonca , Ralf Tönjes , Tiago Pereira

Extreme value distributions are routinely employed to assess risks connected to extreme events in a large number of applications. They typically are two- or three- parameter distributions: the inference can be unstable, which is…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-02-19 Nathan Huet , Ilaria Prosdocimi

This paper investigates the use of extreme value theory for modelling the distribution of demand-net-of-wind for capacity adequacy assessment. Extreme value theory approaches are well-established and mathematically justified methods for…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-07-31 Amy L Wilson , Stan Zachary

We introduce and study systems of randomly coupled maps (RCM) where the relevant parameter is the degree of connectivity in the system. Global (almost-) synchronized states are found (equivalent to the synchronization observed in globally…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2009-10-31 Susanna C. Manrubia , Alexander S. Mikhailov

We study a synchronization mechanism, based on one-way coupling of all-or-nothing type, applied to coupled map lattices with several different local rules. By analyzing the metric and the topological distance between the two systems, we…

统计力学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Franco Bagnoli , Lucia Baroni , Paolo Palmerini

Extreme value analysis for time series is often based on the block maxima method, in particular for environmental applications. In the classical univariate case, the latter is based on fitting an extreme-value distribution to the sample of…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-04-20 Axel Bücher , Erik Haufs

This paper introduces a novel approach employing extreme value theory to analyze queue lengths within a corridor controlled by adaptive controllers. We consider the maximum queue lengths of a signalized corridor consisting of nine…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-08-05 Shakib Mustavee , Pushkin Kachroo , Shaurya Agarwal

We study correlations of the amplitudes of wave functions of a chaotic system at large distances. For this purpose, a joint distribution function of the amplitudes at two distant points in a sample is calculated analytically using the…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2009-10-28 Vladimir I. Fal'ko , K. B. Efetov

In this paper we study extreme events for random walks on homogeneous spaces. We consider the following three cases. On the torus we study closest returns of a random walk to a fixed point in the space. For a random walk on the space of…

动力系统 · 数学 2013-04-05 Maxim Sølund Kirsebom