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Density dependent Markov population processes in large populations of size $N$ were shown by Kurtz (1970, 1971) to be well approximated over finite time intervals by the solution of the differential equations that describe their average…

概率论 · 数学 2014-10-15 A. D. Barbour , Kais Hamza , Haya Kaspi , Fima Klebaner

We consider a trait-structured population subject to mutation, birth and competition of logistic type, where the number of coexisting types may fluctuate. Applying a limit of rare mutations to this population while keeping the population…

概率论 · 数学 2011-12-05 Nicolas Champagnat , Amaury Lambert

We consider a stationary continuous model of random size population with non-neutral mutations using a continuous state branching process with non-homogeneous immigration. We assume the type (or mutation) of the immigrants is random given…

概率论 · 数学 2013-07-26 Hongwei Bi , Jean-François Delmas

To understand the effect of assortative mating on the genetic evolution of a population, we consider a finite population in which each individual has a type, determined by a sequence of n diallelic loci. We assume that the population…

概率论 · 数学 2023-11-30 Alison M. Etheridge , Sophie Lemaire

We study a universal object for the genealogy of a sample in populations with mutations: the critical birth-death process with Poissonian mutations, conditioned on its population size at a fixed time horizon. We show how this process arises…

概率论 · 数学 2014-07-30 G. Achaz , C. Delaporte , A. Lambert

We study a nonlinear recombination model from population genetics as a combinatorial version of the Kac-Boltzmann equation from kinetic theory. Following Kac's approach, the nonlinear model is approximated by a mean field linear evolution…

概率论 · 数学 2024-12-24 Pietro Caputo , Daniel Parisi

We consider a population model where individuals behave independently from each other and whose genealogy is described by a chronological tree called splitting tree. The individuals have i.i.d. (non-exponential) lifetime durations and give…

概率论 · 数学 2014-05-20 Mathieu Richard

We consider a neutral dynamical model of biological diversity, where individuals live and reproduce independently. They have i.i.d. lifetime durations (which are not necessarily exponentially distributed) and give birth (singly) at constant…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2010-09-06 Nicolas Champagnat , Amaury Lambert

We study a density-dependent Markov jump process describing a population where each individual is characterized by a type, and reproduces at rates depending both on its type and on the population type distribution. We are interested in the…

概率论 · 数学 2026-02-26 Madeleine Kubasch

We are interested in modeling Darwinian evolution resulting from the interplay of phenotypic variation and natural selection through ecological interactions. The population is modeled as a stochastic point process whose generator captures…

概率论 · 数学 2011-02-01 Benjamin Jourdain , Sylvie Méléard , Wojbor Woyczynski

Several groups have recently modeled evolutionary transitions from an ancestral allele to a beneficial allele separated by one or more intervening mutants. The beneficial allele can become fixed if a succession of intermediate mutants are…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2011-07-14 Stephen R Proulx

We investigate subcritical Galton-Watson branching processes with immigration in a random environment. Using Goldie's implicit renewal theory we show that under general Cram\'er condition the stationary distribution has a power law tail. We…

概率论 · 数学 2020-02-04 Bojan Basrak , Peter Kevei

We provide a detailed description of the structure of the transition probabilities and of the hitting distributions of boundary components of a manifold with corners for a degenerate strong Markov process arising in population genetics. The…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2017-07-27 Charles L. Epstein , Camelia A. Pop

Branching processes pervade many models in statistical physics. We investigate the survival probability of a Galton-Watson branching process after a finite number of generations. We reveal the finite-size scaling law of the survival…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-11-26 Rosalba Garcia-Millan , Francesc Font-Clos , Alvaro Corral

In order to analyze data from cancer genome sequencing projects, we need to be able to distinguish causative, or "driver," mutations from "passenger" mutations that have no selective effect. Toward this end, we prove results concerning the…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2013-02-13 Rick Durrett

We prove a general fluctuation limit theorem for Galton-Watson branching processes with immigration. The limit is a time-inhomogeneous OU type process driven by a spectrally positive Levy process. As applications of this result, we obtain…

概率论 · 数学 2009-09-12 Chunhua Ma

We study a general setting of neutral evolution in which the population is of finite, constant size and can have spatial structure. Mutation leads to different genetic types ("traits"), which can be discrete or continuous. Under minimal…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2018-11-02 Alex McAvoy , Ben Adlam , Benjamin Allen , Martin A. Nowak

We propose a class of evolutionary models that involves an arbitrary exchangeable process as the breeding process and different selection schemes. In those models, a new genome is born according to the breeding process, and then a genome is…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2020-08-25 Jüri Lember , Chris Watkins

Branching processes $(Z_n)_{n \ge 0}$ in a varying environment generalize the Galton-Watson process, in that they allow time-dependence of the offspring distribution. Our main results concern general criteria for a.s. extinction,…

概率论 · 数学 2019-11-11 Götz Kersting

The Galton-Watson process is a model for population growth which assumes that individuals reproduce independently according to the same offspring distribution. Inference usually focuses on the offspring average as it allows to classify the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-27 Massimo Cannas , Michele Guindani , Nicola Piras