相关论文: On heavy-tail phenomena in some large deviations p…

The theory of large deviations constitutes a mathematical cornerstone in the foundations of Boltzmann-Gibbs statistical mechanics, based on the additive entropy $S_{BG}=- k_B\sum_{i=1}^W p_i \ln p_i$. Its optimization under appropriate…

We consider a modulated process S which, conditional on a background process X, has independent increments. Assuming that S drifts to -infinity and that its increments (jumps) are heavy-tailed (in a sense made precise in the paper), we…

We establish a large deviation principle for the occupation measure of the stochastic real Ginzburg-Landau equation driven by $\alpha$-stable noises. The proof is based on a hyper-exponential recurrence criterion. Our result indicates a…

This paper deals with the large deviations behavior of a stochastic process called thinned Levy process. This process appeared recently as a stochastic-process limit in the context of critical inhomogeneous random graphs. The process has a…

Motivated by metastability in the zero-range process, we consider i.i.d.\ random variables with values in $\N_0$ and Weibull-like (stretched exponential) law $\mathbb P(X_i =k) = c \exp( - k^\alpha)$, $\alpha \in (0,1)$. We condition on…

The big jump principle explains the emergence of extreme events for physical quantities modelled by a sum of independent and identically distributed random variables which are heavy-tailed. Extreme events are large values of the sum and…

We analyze the \textit{Large Deviation Probability (LDP)} of linear factor models generated from non-identically distributed components with \textit{regularly-varying} tails, a large subclass of heavy tailed distributions. An efficient…

Let ${F_n}$ be a sequence of random variables belonging to a finite sum of Wiener chaoses. Assume further that it converges in distribution towards $F_\infty$ satisfying ${\rm Var}(F_\infty)>0$. Our first result is a sequential version of a…

We study wide Bayesian neural networks focusing on the rare but statistically dominant fluctuations that govern posterior concentration, beyond Gaussian-process limits. Large-deviation theory provides explicit variational objectives-rate…

We study tail probabilities via some Gaussian approximations. Our results make refinements to large deviation theory. The proof builds on classical results by Bahadur and Rao. Binomial distributions and their tail probabilities are…

Standard statistical analysis is unable to provide reliable confidence intervals on expectation values of probability distributions that do not satisfy the conditions of the central limit theorem. We present a regression-based estimator of…

In this paper, we prove a Sanov-type large deviation principle for the sequence of empirical measures of vectors chosen uniformly at random from an Orlicz ball. From this level-$2$ large deviation result, in a combination with Gibbs…

We prove precise deviations results in the sense of Cram\'er and Petrov for the upper tail of the distribution of the maximal value for a special class of determinantal point processes that play an important role in random matrix theory.…

In this note, we prove the Freidlin-Wentzell's large deviation principle for BSDEs with one-sided reflection.

We present a new class of prior measures in connection to $\ell_p$ regularization techniques when $p \in(0,1)$ which is based on the generalized Gamma distribution. We show that the resulting prior measure is heavy-tailed, non-convex and…

We develop a quantitative large deviations theory for random hypergraphs, which rests on tensor decomposition and counting lemmas under a novel family of cut-type norms. As our main application, we obtain sharp asymptotics for joint upper…

Consider the normalized partial sums of a real-valued function $F$ of a Markov chain, \[\phi_n:=n^{-1}\sum_{k=0}^{n-1}F(\Phi(k)),\qquad n\ge1.\] The chain $\{\Phi(k):k\ge0\}$ takes values in a general state space $\mathsf {X}$, with…

In this article we establish a large deviation principle for the empirical measures of a simple spatially inhomogeneous random walk on $\overline{\mathbb{Z}}$, the two-point compactification of $\mathbb{Z}$. The classical Donsker--Varadhan…

To recover the topology of a manifold in the presence of heavy tailed or exponentially decaying noise, one must understand the behavior of geometric complexes whose points lie in the tail of these noise distributions. This study advances…

We propose and analyze a new estimator of the covariance matrix that admits strong theoretical guarantees under weak assumptions on the underlying distribution, such as existence of moments of only low order. While estimation of covariance…