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We consider an optimal switching problem with random lag and possibility of component failure. The random lag is modeled by letting the operation mode follow a regime switching Markov-model with transition intensities that depend on the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-08-22 Magnus Perninge

We consider the optimal stopping time problem under model uncertainty $R(v)= {\text{ess}\sup\limits}_{ \mathbb{P} \in \mathcal{P}} {\text{ess}\sup\limits}_{\tau \in \mathcal{S}_v} E^\mathbb{P}[Y(\tau) \vert \mathcal{F}_v]$, for every…

概率论 · 数学 2024-02-23 Ihsan Arharas , Siham Bouhadou , Astrid Hilbert , Youssef Ouknine

In a classical optimal stopping problem the aim is to maximize the expected value of a functional of a diffusion evaluated at a stopping time. This note considers optimal stopping problems beyond this paradigm. We study problems in which…

概率论 · 数学 2017-08-04 Vicky Henderson , David Hobson , Matthew Zeng

Under the assumption of no-arbitrage, the pricing of American and Bermudan options can be casted into optimal stopping problems. We propose a new adaptive simulation based algorithm for the numerical solution of optimal stopping problems in…

概率论 · 数学 2009-09-29 Daniel Egloff , Michael Kohler , Nebojsa Todorovic

Explicit solution of an infinite horizon optimal stopping problem for a Levy processes with a polynomial reward function is given, in terms of the overall supremum of the process, when the solution of the problem is one-sided. The results…

概率论 · 数学 2015-07-23 Ernesto Mordecki , Yuliya Mishura

The best arm identification problem requires identifying the best alternative (i.e., arm) in active experimentation using the smallest number of experiments (i.e., arm pulls), which is crucial for cost-efficient and timely decision-making…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-17 Kapilan Balagopalan , Tuan Ngo Nguyen , Yao Zhao , Kwang-Sung Jun

We consider the optimal stopping problem with non-linear $f$-expectation (induced by a BSDE) without making any regularity assumptions on the reward process $\xi$. and with general filtration. We show that the value family can be aggregated…

We study a version of the stochastic control problem of minimizing the sum of running and controlling costs, where control opportunities are restricted to independent Poisson arrival times. Under a general setting driven by a general L\'evy…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-11-19 Kei Noba , Kazutoshi Yamazaki

We study the behavior of the critical price of an American put option near maturity in the exponential L\'evy model when the underlying stock pays dividends at a continuous rate. In particular, we prove that, in situations where the limit…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2011-05-03 Damien Lamberton , Mohammed Mikou

We propose a novel group of Gaussian Process based algorithms for fast approximate optimal stopping of time series with specific applications to financial markets. We show that structural properties commonly exhibited by financial time…

A novel quickest detection setting is proposed which is a generalization of the well-known Bayesian change-point detection model. Suppose \{(X_i,Y_i)\}_{i\geq 1} is a sequence of pairs of random variables, and that S is a stopping time with…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-11-17 Urs Niesen , Aslan Tchamkerten

We propose an anytime online algorithm for the problem of learning a sequence of adversarial convex cost functions while approximately satisfying another sequence of adversarial online convex constraints. A sequential algorithm is called…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-28 Dhruv Sarkar , Abhishek Sinha

In the literature on optimal stopping, the problem of maximizing the expected discounted reward over all stopping times has been explicitly solved for some special reward functions (including $(x^+)^{\nu}$, $(e^x-K)^+$, $(K-e^{-x})^+$,…

概率论 · 数学 2017-10-13 Yi-Shen Lin , Yi-Ching Yao

We adapt ideas and concepts developed in optimal transport (and its martingale variant) to give a geometric description of optimal stopping times of Brownian motion subject to the constraint that the distribution of the stopping time is a…

概率论 · 数学 2017-09-14 Mathias Beiglboeck , Manu Eder , Christiane Elgert , Uwe Schmock

We consider a vibrating string that is fixed at one end with Neumann control action at the other end. We investigate the optimal control problem of steering this system from given initial data to rest, in time T , by minimizing an objective…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2015-05-20 Martin Gugat , Emmanuel Trélat , Enrique Zuazua

Due to the increasing popularity of futures trading among financial market participants, the risk management of these instruments is crucial. In this paper, we introduce a model for estimating the ideal time for leaving a trading position…

概率论 · 数学 2024-10-30 Kiarash Firouzi , Mohammad Jelodari Mamaghani

In this paper, the problem of finite horizon inverse optimal control (IOC) is investigated, where the quadratic cost function of a dynamic process is required to be recovered based on the observation of optimal control sequences. We propose…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-11-02 Yibei Li , Yu Yao , Xiaoming Hu

We characterize the value function and the optimal stopping time for a large class of optimal stopping problems where the underlying process to be stopped is a fairly general Markov process. The main result is inspired by recent findings…

概率论 · 数学 2012-04-03 Sören Christensen , Paavo Salminen , Bao Quoc Ta

This paper studies the risk-adjusted optimal timing to liquidate an option at the prevailing market price. In addition to maximizing the expected discounted return from option sale, we incorporate a path-dependent risk penalty based on…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2015-03-31 Tim Leung , Yoshihiro Shirai

We address an optimal stopping problem over the set of Bermudan-type strategies $\Theta$ (which we understand in a more general sense than the stopping strategies for Bermudan options in finance) and with non-linear operators (non-linear…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-01-27 Miryana Grigorova , Marie-Claire Quenez , Peng Yuan