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We investigate how the properties of epidemic networks change depending on the availability of different types of data on a disease outbreak. This is achieved by introducing mathematical and computational methods that estimate the…

计算物理 · 物理学 2025-09-03 Oscar Fajardo-Fontiveros , Carl J. E. Suster , Eduardo G. Altmann

The influence of the network's structure on the dynamics of spreading processes has been extensively studied in the last decade. Important results that partially answer this question show a weak connection between the macroscopic behavior…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2012-03-12 Daniel Smilkov , Ljupco Kocarev

I study the spreading of infectious diseases on heterogeneous populations. I represent the population structure by a contact-graph where vertices represent agents and edges represent disease transmission channels among them. The population…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2009-11-13 Alexei Vazquez

Mathematical models of infectious diseases, which are in principle analytically tractable, use two general approaches. The first approach, generally known as compartmental modeling, addresses the time evolution of disease propagation at the…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2010-09-16 Pierre-André Noël , Bahman Davoudi , Robert C. Brunham , Louis J. Dubé , Babak Pourbohloul

We consider an infectious disease spreading along the edges of a network which may have significant clustering. The individuals in the population have heterogeneous infectiousness and/or susceptibility. We define the out-transmissibility of…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2008-05-01 Joel C. Miller

In temporal networks, both the topology of the underlying network and the timings of interaction events can be crucial in determining how some dynamic process mediated by the network unfolds. We have explored the limiting case of the speed…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2012-05-28 Mikko Kivelä , Raj Kumar Pan , Kimmo Kaski , János Kertész , Jari Saramäki , Márton Karsai

Temporal social networks of human interactions are preponderant in understanding the fundamental patterns of human behavior. In these networks, interactions occur locally between individuals (i.e., nodes) who connect with each other at…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-10-11 Shaunette T. Ferguson , Teruyoshi Kobayashi

Recent advances in data collection have facilitated the access to time-resolved human proximity data that can conveniently be represented as temporal networks of contacts between individuals. While this type of data is fundamental to…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2018-08-01 Anna Sapienza , Alain Barrat , Ciro Cattuto , Laetitia Gauvin

The rapid diffusion of information and the adoption of social behaviors are of critical importance in situations as diverse as collective actions, pandemic prevention, or advertising and marketing. Although the dynamics of large cascades…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-12-30 Hao Peng , Azadeh Nematzadeh , Daniel M. Romero , Emilio Ferrara

Burstiness, the tendency of interaction events to be heterogeneously distributed in time, is critical to information diffusion in physical and social systems. However, an analytical framework capturing the effect of burstiness on generic…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-07-14 Samuel Unicomb , Gerardo Iñiguez , James P. Gleeson , Márton Karsai

The importance of modeling the spread of epidemics through a population has led to the development of mathematical models for infectious disease propagation. A number of empirical studies have collected and analyzed data on contacts between…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2017-07-28 Rehan Ahmad , Kevin S. Xu

In the study of infectious diseases on networks, researchers calculate epidemic thresholds to help forecast whether a disease will eventually infect a large fraction of a population. Because network structure typically changes in time,…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2021-08-11 Qinyi Chen , Mason A. Porter

Current understanding of the critical outbreak condition on temporal networks relies on approximations (time scale separation, discretization) that may bias the results. We propose a theoretical framework to compute the epidemic threshold…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2018-02-08 Eugenio Valdano , Michele Re Fiorentin , Chiara Poletto , Vittoria Colizza

Temporality, a crucial characteristic in the formation of social relationships, was used to quantify the long-term time effects of networks for link prediction models, ignoring the heterogeneity of time effects on different time scales. In…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2024-06-17 Yueran Duan , Mateusz Nurek , Qing Guan , Radosław Michalski , Petter Holme

Many pathogens spread primarily via direct contact between infected and susceptible hosts. Thus, the patterns of contacts or contact network of a population fundamentally shapes the course of epidemics. While there is a robust and growing…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2012-08-01 Shweta Bansal , Lauren Ancel Meyers

Many epidemic models approximate social contact behavior by assuming random mixing within mixing groups (e.g., homes, schools and workplaces). The effect of more realistic social network structure on estimates of epidemic parameters is an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-08-27 Gail E. Potter , Mark S. Handcock , Ira M. Longini, , M. Elizabeth Halloran

In this paper, we study the interplay between the epidemic spreading and the diffusion of awareness in multiplex networks. In the model, an infectious disease can spread in one network representing the paths of epidemic spreading (contact…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-08-16 Jia-Qian Kan , Hai-Feng Zhang

We study the epidemic spreading process following contact dynamics with heavy-tailed waiting time distributions. We show both analytically and numerically that the temporal heterogeneity of contact dynamics can significantly suppress the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2013-10-09 Byungjoon Min , K. -I. Goh , I. -M. Kim

Temporal networks have been increasingly used to model a diversity of systems that evolve in time; for example human contact structures over which dynamic processes such as epidemics take place. A fundamental aspect of real-life networks is…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2017-11-08 Luis E C Rocha , Naoki Masuda , Petter Holme

Data describing human interactions often suffer from incomplete sampling of the underlying population. As a consequence, the study of contagion processes using data-driven models can lead to a severe underestimation of the epidemic risk.…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-11-19 Mathieu Génois , Christian L. Vestergaard , Ciro Cattuto , Alain Barrat