相关论文: On bounding exact models of epidemic spread on net…
The epidemic spreading has been studied for years by applying the mean-field approach in both homogeneous case, where each node may get infected by an infected neighbor with the same rate, and heterogeneous case, where the infection rates…
We provide error bounds for the N-intertwined mean-field approximation (NIMFA) for local density-dependent Markov population processes with a well-distributed underlying network structure showing NIMFA being accurate when a typical vertex…
The majority of research on epidemics relies on models which are formulated in continuous-time. However, real-world epidemic data is gathered and processed in a digital manner, which is more accurately described by discrete-time epidemic…
Our $N$-intertwined model (now called NIMFA) for virus spread in any network with $N$ nodes is extended to a full heterogeneous setting. The metastable steady-state nodal infection probabilities are specified in terms of a generalized…
Weight distribution largely impacts the epidemic spreading taking place on top of networks. This paper studies a susceptible-infected-susceptible model on regular random networks with different kinds of weight distributions. Simulation…
We propose a generalization of the adaptive N-Intertwined Mean-Field Approximation (aNIMFA) model studied in Achterberg and Sensi (2023) to a heterogeneous network of communities. In particular, the multigroup aNIMFA model describes the…
We study the evolution of a general class of stochastic processes (containing, e.g. SIS and SIR models) on large random networks, focusing on a particular general class of random graph models. To approximate the expected dynamics of these…
It is common to use a compartmental, fluid model described by a system of ordinary differential equations (ODEs) to model disease spread. In addition to their simplicity, these models are also the mean-field approximations of more accurate…
We extend the N-Intertwined Mean-Field Approximation (NIMFA) for the Susceptible-Infectious-Susceptible (SIS) epidemiological process to time-varying networks. Processes on time-varying networks are often analysed under the assumption that…
We study the stochastic susceptible-infected-susceptible model of epidemic processes on finite directed and weighted networks with arbitrary structure. We present a new lower bound on the exponential rate at which the probabilities of nodes…
We study Markov processes on weighted directed hypergraphs where the state of at most one vertex can change at a time. Our setting is general enough to include simplicial epidemic processes, processes on multilayered networks or even the…
Recently, research that focuses on the rigorous understanding of the relation between simulation and/or exact models on graphs and approximate counterparts has gained lots of momentum. This includes revisiting the performance of classic…
We study an SIS epidemic process over a static contact network where the nodes have partial information about the epidemic state. They react by limiting their interactions with their neighbors when they believe the epidemic is currently…
An adaptive network model using SIS epidemic propagation with link-type dependent link activation and deletion is considered. Bifurcation analysis of the pairwise ODE approximation and the network-based stochastic simulation is carried out,…
Predicting the viral dynamics of an epidemic process requires the knowledge of the underlying contact network. However, the network is not known for most applications and has to be inferred from observing the viral state evolution instead.…
We propose a new model that describes the dynamics of epidemic spreading on connected graphs. Our model consists in a PDE-ODE system where at each vertex of the graph we have a standard SIR model and connexions between vertices are given by…
We study the spread of discrete-time epidemics over arbitrary networks for well-known propagation models, namely SIS (susceptible-infected-susceptible), SIR (susceptible-infected-recovered), SIRS (susceptible-infected-recovered-susceptible)…
The susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model has been used extensively to model disease spread and other processes. Despite the widespread usage of this ordinary differential equation (ODE) based model which represents the mean-field…
It has been shown in the past that many real-world networks exhibit community structures and non-trivial clustering which comes with the occurrence of a notable number of triangular connections. Yet the influence of such connection patterns…
Many real networks are not isolated from each other but form networks of networks, often interrelated in non trivial ways. Here, we analyze an epidemic spreading process taking place on top of two interconnected complex networks. We develop…