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Two useful strategies to speed up drug development are to increase the patient accrual rate and use novel adaptive designs. Unfortunately, these two strategies often conflict when the evaluation of the outcome cannot keep pace with the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-07-24 Ruitao Lin , Ying Yuan

Adaptive sample size re-estimation, early stopping, and trial re-design at interim analyses can reduce expected sample sizes in randomised trials. Cluster randomised trials, in which groups of participants are randomly allocated to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-09 Samuel I. Watson , James Martin

Mid-study design modifications are becoming increasingly accepted in confirmatory clinical trials, so long as appropriate methods are applied such that error rates are controlled. It is therefore unfortunate that the important case of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-05-08 Dominic Magirr , Thomas Jaki , Franz Koenig , Martin Posch

Timing advance (TA) estimation at the base station (BS) and reliable decoding of random access response (RAR) at the users are the most important steps in the initial random access (RA) procedure. However, due to the limited availability of…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2018-01-26 Sudarshan Mukherjee , Alok Kumar Sinha , Saif Khan Mohammed

Clustered observations are ubiquitous in controlled and observational studies and arise naturally in multi-centre trials or longitudinal surveys. We present a novel model for the analysis of clustered observations where the marginal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-03 Luisa Barbanti , Torsten Hothorn

Estimating causal effects from randomized experiments is central to clinical research. Reducing the statistical uncertainty in these analyses is an important objective for statisticians. Registries, prior trials, and health records…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-12-06 Alejandro Schuler , David Walsh , Diana Hall , Jon Walsh , Charles Fisher

Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) frequently utilize covariate-adaptive randomization (CAR) (e.g., stratified block randomization) and commonly suffer from imperfect compliance. This paper studies the identification and inference for the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-05-02 Federico A. Bugni , Mengsi Gao , Filip Obradovic , Amilcar Velez

Bayesian response adaptive clinical trials are currently evaluating experimental therapies for several diseases. Adaptive decisions, such as pre-planned variations of the randomization probabilities, attempt to accelerate the development of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-05-25 Marta Bonsaglio , Sandra Fortini , Steffen Ventz , Lorenzo Trippa

Clinical trials are an integral component of medical research. Trials require careful design to, for example, maintain the safety of participants, use resources efficiently and allow clinically meaningful conclusions to be drawn. Adaptive…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-17 James M. McGree , Antony M. Overstall , Mark Jones , Robert K. Mahar

As data shift or new data become available, updating clinical machine learning models may be necessary to maintain or improve performance over time. However, updating a model can introduce compatibility issues when the behavior of the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-08-11 Erkin Ötleş , Brian T. Denton , Jenna Wiens

Covariate-adjusted randomization (CAR) can reduce the risk of covariate imbalance and, when accounted for in analysis, increase the power of a trial. Despite CAR advances, stratified randomization remains the most common CAR method. Matched…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-13 Jonathan J. Chipman , Lindsay Mayberry , Robert A. Greevy

In many important applications of precision medicine, the outcome of interest is time to an event (e.g., death, relapse of disease) and the primary goal is to identify the optimal individualized decision rule (IDR) to prolong survival time.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-04-11 Yu Zhou , Lan Wang , Rui Song , Tuoyi Zhao

Platform trials can evaluate the efficacy of several treatments compared to a control. The number of treatments is not fixed, as arms may be added or removed as the trial progresses. Platform trials are more efficient than independent…

Response-adaptive allocation designs refer to a class of designs where the probability an observation is assigned to a treatment is changed throughout an experiment based on the accrued responses. Such procedures result in random treatment…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-04 Adam Lane

This paper considers real-time control and learning problems for finite-dimensional linear systems under binary-valued and randomly disturbed output observations. This has long been regarded as an open problem because the exact values of…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-11-12 Lantian Zhang , Lei Guo

We propose a frequentist adaptive phase 2 trial design to evaluate the safety and efficacy of three treatment regimens (doses) compared to placebo for four types of helminth (worm) infections. This trial will be carried out in four…

Long-term adherence to medication is a critical factor in preventing chronic diseases, such as cardiovascular disease. To address poor adherence, physicians may recommend adherence-improving interventions; however, such interventions are…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-02-24 Daniel Otero-Leon , Mariel Lavieri , Brian Denton , Jeremy Sussman , Rodney Hayward

In this paper, we develop a new sequential regression modeling approach for data streams. Data streams are commonly found around us, e.g in a retail enterprise sales data is continuously collected every day. A demand forecasting model is an…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-01-11 Chitta Ranjan , Samaneh Ebrahimi , Kamran Paynabar

Individualized treatment rules (ITR) can improve health outcomes by recognizing that patients may respond differently to treatment and assigning therapy with the most desirable predicted outcome for each individual. Flexible and efficient…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-09-25 Brent R. Logan , Rodney Sparapani , Robert E. McCulloch , Purushottam W. Laud

Aims: Combinations of treatments can offer additional benefit over the treatments individually. However, trials of these combinations are lower priority than the development of novel therapies, which can restrict funding, timelines and…