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While randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are the gold standard for estimating treatment effects in medical research, there is increasing use of and interest in using real-world data for drug development. One such use case is the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-11 Devin Incerti , Michael T Bretscher , Ray Lin , Chris Harbron

It is generally appreciated that a frequentist analysis of a group sequential trial must in order to avoid inflating type I error account for the fact that one or more interim analyses were performed. It is also to a lesser extent realised…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-12 Simon Bang Kristensen , Erik Thorlund Parner

We propose a novel mechanism for real-time (human-in-the-loop) feedback focused on false positive reduction to enhance anomaly detection models. It was designed for the lightweight deployment of a behavioral network anomaly detection model.…

Designing randomized online algorithms that perform reliably not only in expectation but also under unfavorable realizations of randomness is a fundamental challenge in online decision-making. In this paper, we study this challenge in…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2026-05-13 Hossein Nekouyan , Bo Sun , Raouf Boutaba , Xiaoqi Tan

Recent developments in multi-agent imitation learning have shown promising results for modeling the behavior of human drivers. However, it is challenging to capture emergent traffic behaviors that are observed in real-world datasets. Such…

We propose a new integrated phase I/II trial design to identify the most efficacious dose combination that also satisfies certain safety requirements for drug-combination trials. We first take a Bayesian copula-type model for dose finding…

应用统计 · 统计学 2011-08-09 Ying Yuan , Guosheng Yin

The inflation of Type I error rates is thought to be one of the causes of the replication crisis. Questionable research practices such as p-hacking are thought to inflate Type I error rates above their nominal level, leading to unexpectedly…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-31 Mark Rubin

A central problem in the field of radiation therapy (RT) is how to optimally deliver dose to a patient in a way that fully accounts for anatomical position changes over time. As current RT is a static process, where beam intensities are…

医学物理 · 物理学 2019-09-04 Rodney D. Wiersma , Xinmin Liu

An individualized decision rule (IDR) is a decision function that assigns each individual a given treatment based on his/her observed characteristics. Most of the existing works in the literature consider settings with binary or finitely…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-01-31 Hengrui Cai , Chengchun Shi , Rui Song , Wenbin Lu

Personalized optimal decision making, finding the optimal decision rule (ODR) based on individual characteristics, has attracted increasing attention recently in many fields, such as education, economics, and medicine. Current ODR methods…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-04-22 Hengrui Cai , Rui Song , Wenbin Lu

The preponderance of large-scale healthcare databases provide abundant opportunities for comparative effectiveness research. Evidence necessary to making informed treatment decisions often relies on comparing effectiveness of multiple…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-10-06 Liangyuan Hu , Chenyang Gu

This paper illustrates asymptotic properties for a response-adaptive design generated by a two-color, randomly reinforced urn model. The design considered is optimal in the sense that it assigns patients to the best treatment, with…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-04-03 Caterina May , Nancy Flournoy

Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are the accepted standard for treatment effect estimation but they can be infeasible due to ethical reasons and prohibitive costs. Single-arm trials, where all patients belong to the treatment group, can…

This paper studies covariate adjusted estimation of the average treatment effect in stratified experiments. We work in a general framework that includes matched tuples designs, coarse stratification, and complete randomization as special…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-07-23 Max Cytrynbaum

Demand response is designed to motivate electricity customers to modify their loads at critical time periods. The accurate estimation of impact of demand response signals to customers' consumption is central to any successful program. In…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2017-05-03 Pan Li , Baosen Zhang

Patient scheduling is a difficult task involving stochastic factors such as the unknown arrival times of patients. Similarly, the scheduling of radiotherapy for cancer treatments needs to handle patients with different urgency levels when…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-25 Tu-San Pham , Antoine Legrain , Patrick De Causmaecker , Louis-Martin Rousseau

Individualized treatment rules aim to identify if, when, which, and to whom treatment should be applied. A globally aging population, rising healthcare costs, and increased access to patient-level data have created an urgent need for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-01-04 Ying-Qi Zhao , Eric B. Laber , Yang Ning , Sumona Saha , Bruce Sands

Gathering observational data for medical decision-making often involves uncertainties arising from both type I (false positive)and type II (false negative) errors. In this work, we develop a statistical model to study how medical…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-10-21 Lucas Böttcher , Maria R. D'Orsogna , Tom Chou

This paper presents the Real-time Adaptive and Interpretable Detection (RAID) algorithm. The novel approach addresses the limitations of state-of-the-art anomaly detection methods for multivariate dynamic processes, which are restricted to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-07 Marek Wadinger , Michal Kvasnica

Treatment-covariate interaction tests are commonly applied by researchers to examine whether the treatment effect varies across patient subgroups defined by baseline characteristics. The objective of this study is to explore…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-12 Likun Zhang , Wei Ma
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