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Understanding the spatial distribution of animals, during all their life phases, as well as how the distributions are influenced by environmental covariates, is a fundamental requirement for the effective management of animal populations.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-10-26 Soraia Pereira , Raquel Menezes , Maria Manuel Angélico , Tiago Marques

A standard assumption in the Bayesian estimation of linear regression models is that the regressors are exogenous in the sense that they are uncorrelated with the model error term. In practice, however, this assumption can be invalid. In…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-03-10 Siddhartha Chib , Minchul Shin , Anna Simoni

Recent work on overfitting Bayesian mixtures of distributions offers a powerful framework for clustering multivariate data using a latent Gaussian model which resembles the factor analysis model. The flexibility provided by overfitting…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-08-29 Panagiotis Papastamoulis

The paper proposes a latent variable model for binary data coming from an unobserved heterogeneous population. The heterogeneity is taken into account by replacing the traditional assumption of Gaussian distributed factors by a finite…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2010-10-13 Silvia Cagnone , Cinzia Viroli

Statistical models typically capture uncertainties in our knowledge of the corresponding real-world processes, however, it is less common for this uncertainty specification to capture uncertainty surrounding the values of the inputs to the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-10 Samuel E. Jackson , David C. Woods

Modeling fractional data in various real life scenarios is a challenging task. This paper consider situations where fractional data is observed on the interval [0,1]. The unit-Lindley distribution has been discussed in the literature where…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-02-10 Sudeep R. Bapat , Rohit Bhardwaj

We present a novel framework for concomitant dimension reduction and clustering. This framework is based on a novel class of Bayesian clustering factor models. These models assume a factor model structure where the vectors of common factors…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-09 Hwasoo Shin , Marco A. R. Ferreira , Allison N. Tegge

Approximate Bayesian inference for the class of latent Gaussian models can be achieved efficiently with integrated nested Laplace approximations (INLA). Based on recent reformulations in the INLA methodology, we propose a further extension…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-27 Shourya Dutta , Janet van Niekerk , Haavard Rue

In this paper, we provide finite sample results to assess the consistency of Generalized Pareto regression trees, as tools to perform extreme value regression. The results that we provide are obtained from concentration inequalities, and…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-12-21 Sébastien Farkas , Antoine Heranval , Olivier Lopez , Maud Thomas

Outlying observations are commonly encountered in the analysis of time series. In this paper the problem of detecting additive outliers in integer-valued time series is considered. We show how Gibbs sampling can be used to detect outlying…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-05-01 Maria Eduarda Silva , Isabel Pereira

With current high precision collider data, the reliable estimation of theoretical uncertainties due to missing higher orders (MHOs) in perturbation theory has become a pressing issue for collider phenomenology. Traditionally, the size of…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2021-09-30 Claude Duhr , Alexander Huss , Aleksas Mazeliauskas , Robert Szafron

The transmission dynamics of an epidemic are rarely homogeneous. Super-spreading events and super-spreading individuals are two types of heterogeneous transmissibility. Inference of super-spreading is commonly carried out on secondary case…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2025-01-23 Hannah Craddock , Simon EF Spencer , Xavier Didelot

In many cases, the values of some model parameters are determined by maximising the likelihood of a set of data points given the parameter values. The presence of outliers in the data and correlations between data points complicate this…

数值分析 · 计算机科学 2017-08-28 M. de Jong

Gaussian graphical models with sparsity in the inverse covariance matrix are of significant interest in many modern applications. For the problem of recovering the graphical structure, information criteria provide useful optimization…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-12-01 Rina Foygel , Mathias Drton

The main object of this article is to present an extension of the zero-inflated Poisson-Lindley distribution, called of zero-modified Poisson-Lindley. The additional parameter $\pi$ of the zero-modified Poisson-Lindley has a natural…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-11-28 Danillo Xavier , Manoel Santos-Neto , Marcelo Bourguignon , Vera Tomazella

The natural habitat of most Bayesian methods is data represented by exchangeable sequences of observations, for which de Finetti's theorem provides the theoretical foundation. Dirichlet process clustering, Gaussian process regression, and…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-02-16 Peter Orbanz , Daniel M. Roy

A large dimensional characterization of robust M-estimators of covariance (or scatter) is provided under the assumption that the dataset comprises independent (essentially Gaussian) legitimate samples as well as arbitrary deterministic…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-10-28 David Morales-Jimenez , Romain Couillet , Matthew R. McKay

The rich class of multivariate Pareto distributions forms the basis of recently introduced extremal graphical models. However, most existing literature on the topic is focused on the popular parametric family of H\"usler--Reiss…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-06-22 Michaël Lalancette

We propose a novel adaptive importance sampling scheme for Bayesian inversion problems where the inference of the variables of interest and the power of the data noise is split. More specifically, we consider a Bayesian analysis for the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-07-27 L. Martino , F. Llorente , E. Curbelo , J. Lopez-Santiago , J. Miguez

Bayesian model comparison is often based on the posterior distribution over the set of compared models. This distribution is often observed to concentrate on a single model even when other measures of model fit or forecasting ability…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-03-10 Oscar Oelrich , Shutong Ding , Måns Magnusson , Aki Vehtari , Mattias Villani