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We investigate the joint asymptotic behavior of so-called blocks estimator of the extremal index, that determines the mean length of clusters of extremes, based on the exceedances over different thresholds. Due to the large bias of these…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2011-07-06 Holger Drees

At high levels, the asymptotic distribution of a stationary, regularly varying Markov chain is conveniently given by its tail process. The latter takes the form of a geometric random walk, the increment distribution depending on the sign of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-12-11 Holger Drees , Johan Segers , Michał Warchoł

We offer a survey of recent results on covariance estimation for heavy-tailed distributions. By unifying ideas scattered in the literature, we propose user-friendly methods that facilitate practical implementation. Specifically, we…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-03-12 Yuan Ke , Stanislav Minsker , Zhao Ren , Qiang Sun , Wen-Xin Zhou

We derive in this article the asymptotic behavior as well as non-asymptotical estimates of tail of distribution for self-normalized sums of random variables (r.v.) under natural classical norming. We investigate also the case of…

概率论 · 数学 2017-10-10 E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

In samples from a heavy-tailed distribution a second-order approximation is often use to approximate the tail function. Based on the parameters of the approximation, an optimal sample fraction can be estimated which is then used to estimate…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-12-15 J. Martin van Zyl

In a companion paper (McRobie(2013) arxiv:1304.3918), a simple set of `elemental' estimators was presented for the Generalized Pareto tail parameter. Each elemental estimator: involves only three log-spacings; is absolutely unbiased for all…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-04-17 Allan McRobie

We compute the tail asymptotics of the product of a beta random variable and a generalized gamma random variable which are independent and have general parameters. A special case of these asymptotics were proved and used in a recent work of…

概率论 · 数学 2015-09-10 Jim Pitman , Miklos Z. Racz

Multivariate extreme value theory is concerned with modeling the joint tail behavior of several random variables. Existing work mostly focuses on asymptotic dependence, where the probability of observing a large value in one of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-07-11 Michaël Lalancette , Sebastian Engelke , Stanislav Volgushev

We study the problem of factor modelling vector- and tensor-valued time series in the presence of heavy tails in the data, which produce extreme observations with non-negligible probability. We propose to combine a two-step procedure for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-08 Matteo Barigozzi , Haeran Cho , Hyeyoung Maeng

We present a nonparametric family of estimators for the tail index of a Pareto-type distribution when covariate information is available. Our estimators are based on a weighted sum of the log-spacings between some selected observations.…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-04-06 L. Gardes , S. Girard

The non-asymptotic tail bounds of random variables play crucial roles in probability, statistics, and machine learning. Despite much success in developing upper bounds on tail probability in literature, the lower bounds on tail…

概率论 · 数学 2020-09-08 Anru R. Zhang , Yuchen Zhou

Thomas' partial likelihood estimator of regression parameters is widely used in the analysis of nested case-control data with Cox's model. This paper proposes a new estimator of the regression parameters, which is consistent and…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Kani Chen

A theoretical expression is derived for the mean squared error of a nonparametric estimator of the tail dependence coefficient, depending on a threshold that defines which rank delimits the tails of a distribution. We propose a new method…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-25 Matthieu Garcin , Maxime L. D. Nicolas

In this paper we consider the semi-parametric estimation of extreme quantiles of a right heavy-tail model. We propose a new Log Probability Weighted Moment estimator for extreme quantiles, which is obtained from the estimators of the shape…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-01-16 Frederico Caeiro , Dora Prata Gomes

In this paper we establish the error rate of first order asymptotic approximation for the tail probability of sums of log-elliptical risks. Our approach is motivated by extreme value theory which allows us to impose only some weak…

概率论 · 数学 2014-12-12 D. Kortschak , E. Hashorva

One of the main goal of extreme value analysis is to estimate the probability of rare events given a sample from an unknown distribution. The upper tail behavior of this distribution is described by the extreme value index. We present a new…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Laurent Gardes , Stephane Girard

A recent article on generalised linear mixed model asymptotics, Jiang et al. (2022), derived the rates of convergence for the asymptotic variances of maximum likelihood estimators. If $m$ denotes the number of groups and $n$ is the average…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-04-03 Luca Maestrini , Aishwarya Bhaskaran , Matt P. Wand

This paper investigates pooling strategies for tail index and extreme quantile estimation from heavy-tailed data. To fully exploit the information contained in several samples, we present general weighted pooled Hill estimators of the tail…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-11-08 Abdelaati Daouia , Simone A. Padoan , Gilles Stupfler

A novel and comprehensive methodology designed to tackle the challenges posed by extreme values in the context of random censorship is introduced. The main focus is on the analysis of integrals based on the product-limit estimator of…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-02-18 Martin Bladt , Igor Rodionov

We propose a robust estimator for the tail index of Pareto-type distributions under random right-censoring, constructed within the minimum density power divergence (MDPD) framework and based on the Nelson--Aalen estimator of the cumulative…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-01-27 Nour Elhouda Guesmia , Abdelhakim Necir , Djamel Meraghni