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The study of loss function distributions is critical to characterize a model's behaviour on a given machine learning problem. For example, while the quality of a model is commonly determined by the average loss assessed on a testing set,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-06 Etrit Haxholli , Marco Lorenzi

In this paper, we construct a parameter estimation framework for robust low-rank tensor regression based on a truncation method and Huber loss, specifically focusing on models with random noise having only finite second-order moments.…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-12-05 Kangqiang Li , Bingqi Liu , Yang Yang , Li Wang

The objective of this paper is to extend an estimation method of parameters of the stable distributions in $\rd$ to the regularly varying tails distributions in an arbitrary cone. The consistency and the asymptotic normality of estimators…

概率论 · 数学 2013-02-15 Youri Davydov , Shuyan Liu

Modelling multivariate tail dependence is one of the key challenges in extreme-value theory. Multivariate extremes are usually characterized using parametric models, some of which have simpler submodels at the boundary of their parameter…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-12-17 Anna Kiriliouk

We develop two new estimators for a general class of stationary GARCH models with possibly heavy tailed asymmetrically distributed errors, covering processes with symmetric and asymmetric feedback like GARCH, Asymmetric GARCH, VGARCH and…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-07-29 Jonathan B. Hill

In this paper we investigate potential changes which may have occurred over the last two decades in the probability mass of the right tail of the wage distribution, through the analysis of the corresponding tail index. In specific, a…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-04-28 João Nicolau , Pedro Raposo , Paulo M. M. Rodrigues

Parametric stochastic simulators are ubiquitous in science, often featuring high-dimensional input parameters and/or an intractable likelihood. Performing Bayesian parameter inference in this context can be challenging. We present a neural…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-10-27 Benjamin Kurt Miller , Alex Cole , Patrick Forré , Gilles Louppe , Christoph Weniger

This paper addresses the problem of estimating, in the presence of random censoring as well as competing risks, the extreme value index of the (sub)-distribution function associated to one particular cause, in the heavy-tail case.…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-01-20 Julien Worms , Rym Worms

We propose a panel ARMA-GARCH model to capture the dynamics of large panel data with $N$ individuals over $T$ time periods. For this model, we provide a two-step estimation procedure to estimate the ARMA parameters and GARCH parameters…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-30 Bing Su , Ke Zhu

Let $X_{1,n}\le\cdots\le X_{n,n}$ be the order statistics of $n$ independent random variables with a common distribution function $F$ having right heavy tail with tail index $\gamma$. Given known constants $d_{i,n}$, $1\le i\le n$, consider…

概率论 · 数学 2021-04-13 Lillian Achola Oluoch , László Viharos

The generalized Pareto distribution (GPD) is a fundamental model for analyzing the tail behavior of a distribution. In particular, the shape parameter of the GPD characterizes the extremal properties of the distribution. As described in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-18 Takuma Yoshida , Koki Momoki , Shuichi Kawano

With some regularity conditions maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs) always produce asymptotically optimal (in the sense of consistency, efficiency, sufficiency, and unbiasedness) estimators. But in general, the MLEs lead to non-robust…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-22 Chudamani Poudyal

In risk management, tail risks are of crucial importance. The assessment of risks should be carried out in accordance with the regulatory authority's requirement at high quantiles. In general, the underlying distribution function is…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2020-07-15 Ingo Hoffmann , Christoph J. Börner

In this paper we propose a new approach to estimation of the tail exponent in financial stock markets. We begin the study with the finite sample behavior of the Hill estimator under {\alpha}-stable distributions. Using large Monte Carlo…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2012-01-24 Jozef Barunik , Lukas Vacha

In this paper, we have established a new framework of truncated inverse sampling for estimating mean values of non-negative random variables such as binomial, Poisson, hyper-geometrical, and bounded variables. We have derived explicit…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-11-05 Xinjia Chen

In this paper, based on the kernel estimator proposed by Ould-Said and Lemdani (Ann. Instit. Statist. Math. 2006), we develop some new generalized M-estimator procedures for single index regression models with left-truncated responses. The…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-01-22 Kong Lingtao , Zhang Yanli , Dai Hongshuai

For a sample of Exponentially distributed durations we aim at point estimation and a confidence interval for its parameter. A duration is only observed if it has ended within a certain time interval, determined by a Uniform distribution.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-19 Rafael Weißbach , Dominik Wied

Doubly truncated data are found in astronomy, econometrics and survival analysis literature. They arise when each observation is confined to an interval, i.e., only those which fall within their respective intervals are observed along with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-01-05 Zhiliang Ying , Wen Yu , Ziqiang Zhao , Ming Zheng

In this paper, we propose self-tuned robust estimators for estimating the mean of heavy-tailed distributions, which refer to distributions with only finite variances. Our approach introduces a new loss function that considers both the mean…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-01-25 Qiang Sun

Regularly varying stochastic processes model extreme dependence between process values at different locations and/or time points. For such processes we propose a two-step parameter estimation of the extremogram, when some part of the domain…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-08-28 Sven Buhl , Claudia Klüppelberg
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