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Heavy tailed phenomena are naturally analyzed by extreme value statistics. A crucial step in such an analysis is the estimation of the extreme value index, which describes the tail heaviness of the underlying probability distribution. We…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-07-18 Hanan Ahmed , John H. J. Einmahl

The statistical censoring setup is extended to the situation when random measures can be assigned to the realization of datapoints, leading to a new way of incorporating expert information into the usual parametric estimation procedures.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-12-05 Hansjörg Albrecher , Martin Bladt

We consider distributed optimization problems where forming the Hessian is computationally challenging and communication is a significant bottleneck. We develop unbiased parameter averaging methods for randomized second order optimization…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-02-18 Burak Bartan , Mert Pilanci

To recover a low rank structure from a noisy matrix, truncated singular value decomposition has been extensively used and studied. Recent studies suggested that the signal can be better estimated by shrinking the singular values. We pursue…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-11-25 Julie Josse , Sylvain Sardy

The key to successful statistical analysis of bivariate extreme events lies in flexible modelling of the tail dependence relationship between the two variables. In the extreme value theory literature, various techniques are available to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-05 Emma S. Simpson , Jonathan A. Tawn

This paper introduces a robust and computationally efficient estimation framework for high-dimensional volatility models in the BEKK-ARCH class. The proposed approach employs data truncation to ensure robustness against heavy-tailed…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-05-26 Kejun Chen , Yuchang Lin , Qianqian Zhu

We address the problem of estimating the Weibull tail-coefficient which is the regular variation exponent of the inverse failure rate function. We propose a family of estimators of this coefficient and an associate extreme quantile…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-04 Laurent Gardes , Stéphane Girard

We consider estimating an expected infinite-horizon cumulative discounted cost/reward contingent on an underlying stochastic process by Monte Carlo simulation. An unbiased estimator based on truncating the cumulative cost at a random…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-05-26 Zhenyu Cui , Michael C. Fu , Yijie Peng , Lingjiong Zhu

In this paper, we discuss the application of extreme value theory in the context of stationary $\beta$-mixing sequences that belong to the Fr\'echet domain of attraction. In particular, we propose a methodology to construct bias-corrected…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-08-24 Valérie Chavez-Demoulin , Armelle Guillou

This paper is devoted to the estimation of the shift parameter in a semiparametric regression model when the distribution of the observation times is unknown. Hence, we propose to use a stochastic algorithm which takes into account the…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-12-23 Philippe Fraysse

Asymptotic theory of tail index estimation has been studied extensively in the frequentist literature on extreme values, but rarely in the Bayesian context. We investigate whether popular Bayesian kernel mixture models are able to support…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-04-19 Cheng Li , Lizhen Lin , David B. Dunson

We study the bias of classical quantile regression and instrumental variable quantile regression estimators. While being asymptotically first-order unbiased, these estimators can have non-negligible second-order biases. We derive a…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-12-17 Grigory Franguridi , Bulat Gafarov , Kaspar Wuthrich

In the paper we propose some new class of functions which is used to construct tail index estimators. Functions from this new class is non-monotone in general, but presents a product of two monotone functions: the power function and the…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-01-06 Vygantas Paulauskas , Marijus Vaičiulis

Modern statistical analyses often encounter datasets with massive sizes and heavy-tailed distributions. For datasets with massive sizes, traditional estimation methods can hardly be used to estimate the extreme value index directly. To…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-26 Yongxin Li , Liujun Chen , Deyuan Li , Hansheng Wang

We study the parameter estimation method for linear regression models with possibly skewed stable distributed errors. Our estimation procedure consists of two stages: first, for the regression coefficients, the Cauchy quasi-maximum…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-06-25 Eitaro Kawamo , Hiroki Masuda

Anomaly detection methods are widely used but often rely on ad hoc rules or strong assumptions, and they often focus on tail events, missing ``inlier'' anomalies that occur in low-density gaps between modes. We propose a unified framework…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-11 Rob J Hyndman , David T. Frazier

This paper considers the problem of channel coding with a given (possibly suboptimal) maximum-metric decoding rule. A cost-constrained random-coding ensemble with multiple auxiliary costs is introduced, and is shown to achieve error…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2014-03-05 Jonathan Scarlett , Alfonso Martinez , Albert Guillén i Fàbregas

We study the asymptotic behavior of the least squares estimators of the unknown parameters of bifurcating autoregressive processes. Under very weak assumptions on the driven noise of the process, namely conditional pair-wise independence…

概率论 · 数学 2009-06-29 Bernard Bercu , Benoite de Saporta , Anne Gegout-Petit

This is a continuation of our earlier work [Stochastic Processes and their Applications, 129(1), pp.102--128, 2019] on the random walk in random scenery and in random layered conductance. We complete the picture of upper deviation of the…

概率论 · 数学 2020-07-07 Jean-Dominique Deuschel , Ryoki Fukushima

A rich literature exists on constructing non-parametric estimators with optimal asymptotic properties. In addition to asymptotic guarantees, it is often of interest to design estimators with desirable finite-sample properties; such as…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-14 Herbert P. Susmann , Yiting Li , Mara A. McAdams-DeMarco , Wenbo Wu , Iván Díaz