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Mississippi River nutrient loads and water stratification on the Louisiana-Texas shelf contribute to an annually recurring, short-lived hypoxic bottom layer in areas of the northern Gulf of Mexico comprising less than 2% of the total Gulf…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2015-02-25 Michael W. Courtney , Joshua M. Courtney

Climate change is expected to increase the likelihood of drought events, with severe implications for food security. Unlike other natural disasters, droughts have a slow onset and depend on various external factors, making drought detection…

This paper presents a comprehensive risk assessment model for power distribution networks with a focus on the influence of climate conditions and vegetation management on outage risks. Using a dataset comprising outage records,…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-03-13 Di Zhao , Umar Salman , Zongjie Wang

The prediction of time series is a challenging task relevant in such diverse applications as analyzing financial data, forecasting flow dynamics or understanding biological processes. Especially chaotic time series that depend on a long…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-06 Johannes Viehweg , Dominik Walther , Patrick Mäder

The Alaskan landscape has undergone substantial changes in recent decades, most notably the expansion of shrubs and trees across the Arctic. We developed a dynamic statistical model to quantify the impact of climate change on the structural…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-08-17 Xinyi Lu , Mevin B. Hooten , Ann M. Raiho , David K. Swanson , Carl A. Roland , Sarah E. Stehn

We discuss a resource-competition model, which takes the MacArthur's model as a platform, to unveil interesting connections with glassy features and jamming in high dimension. This model presents two qualitatively different phases: a…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2019-01-16 Ada Altieri , Silvio Franz

In the Great Plains, playas are critical wetland habitats for migratory birds and a source of recharge for the agriculturally-important High Plains aquifer. The temporary wetlands exhibit complex hydrology, filling rapidly via local rain…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-05 Kylen Solvik , Anne M. Bartuszevige , Meghan Bogaerts , Maxwell B. Joseph

The present study examined a multi-year reanalysis dataset (ERA5-Land) including numerous drought events across the Iberian Peninsula, with a specific emphasis on the 2005 episode. The mechanisms underlying the transition from…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-01-18 M. Possega , M. García-Valdecasas Ojeda , S. R. Gámiz-Fortis

To study the diurnal evolution of the convective cloud field, we develop a precipitation cell tracking algorithm which records the merging and fragmentation of convective cells during their life cycles, and apply it on large eddy simulation…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2019-03-27 Christopher Moseley , Olga Henneberg , Jan O. Haerter

Understanding the adaptation process of plants to drought stress is essential in improving management practices, breeding strategies as well as engineering viable crops for a sustainable agriculture in the coming decades. Hyper-spectral…

Precipitation exceedance probabilities are widely used in engineering design, risk assessment, and floodplain management. While common approaches like NOAA Atlas 14 assume that extreme precipitation characteristics are stationary over time,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-02-05 Yuchen Lu , Ben Seiyon Lee , James Doss-Gollin

In modeling spatial extremes, the dependence structure is classically inferred by assuming that block maxima derive from max-stable processes. Weather stations provide daily records rather than just block maxima. The point process approach…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-15 Hongwei Shang , Jun Yan , Xuebin Zhang

Unprecedented winter storms that hit across Texas in February 2021 have caused at least 69 deaths and 4.5 million customer interruptions due to the wide-ranging generation capacity outage and record-breaking electricity demand. While much…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-07-19 Dongqi Wu , Xiangtian Zheng , Yixing Xu , Daniel Olsen , Bainan Xia , Chanan Singh , Le Xie

Previous research has raised concerns about energy droughts in renewables-based energy systems. This study explores the ability of reservoir hydropower to sustain a high output and, thereby, mitigate such energy droughts. Using detailed…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-05-24 Hanna Ek Fälth , Fredrik Hedenus , Lina Reichenberg , Niclas Mattsson

Global warming is projected to intensify the hydrological cycle, amplifying risks to ecosystems and society. While extreme rainfall appears to exhibit stronger sensitivity to global warming compared to mean rainfall rates, a unifying…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-01-13 Jun Yin , Bei Gao , Amilcare Porporato

In an adiabatically shielded system the total enthalpy is conserved. Enthalpy fluctuations of an arbitrarily chosen subsystem must be buffered by the remainder of the total system which serves as a heat reservoir. The magnitude of these…

生物物理 · 物理学 2015-06-16 Lars D. Mosgaard , Andrew D. Jackson , Thomas Heimburg

Tropical precipitation extremes are expected to strengthen with warming, but quantitative estimates remain uncertain because of a poor understanding of changes in convective dynamics. This uncertainty is addressed here by analyzing…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2020-04-22 Tristan H. Abbott , Timothy W. Cronin , Tom Beucler

Determining who is at risk from a disease is important in order to protect vulnerable subpopulations during an outbreak. We are currently in a SARS-COV-2 (commonly referred to as COVID-19) pandemic which has had a massive impact across the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-03-28 Sarah Good , Anthony O'Hare

Flood quantile estimation is of great importance for many engineering studies and policy decisions. However, practitioners must often deal with small data available. Thus, the information must be used optimally. In the last decades, to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2009-11-13 Mathieu Ribatet , Taha B. M. J. Ouarda , Eric Sauquet , Jean-Michel Grésillon

We study deterministic continuous-time lossy dynamical flow networks with constant exogenous demands, fixed routing, and finite flow and buffer capacities. In the considered model, when the total net flow in a cell ---consisting of the…

动力系统 · 数学 2019-12-05 Leonardo Massai , Giacomo Como , Fabio Fagnani