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We study whether liquidity and volatility proxies of a core set of cryptoassets generate spillovers that forecast market-wide risk. Our empirical framework integrates three statistical layers: (A) interactions between core liquidity and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-24 Yimeng Qiu , Feihuang Fang

Drinking water contamination, a known determinant of adverse health outcomes, remains widespread and inequitably distributed amidst aging infrastructure. Regulatory oversight is the primary tool to protect drinking water-related public…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-09-11 Kiley Kennedy , Vincent Zheng , Benjamin Q Huynh

California is a global leader in agricultural production, contributing 12.5% of the United States total output and ranking as the fifth-largest food and cotton supplier in the world. Despite the availability of extensive historical yield…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-06-13 Hamid Kamangir , Mona Hajiesmaeeli , Mason Earles

Dynamical systems has a variety of applications for the new information generated during the time. Many phenomenons like physical, chemical or social are not static, then an analysis over the time is necessary. In this work, an experimental…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-09-29 Diana C. Roca Arroyo , Josimar E. Chire Saire

Accurate seasonal runoff forecasts are critical for managing California's reservoirs and water supply for millions of its residents. Winter snow accumulation provides a strong source of predictability of snowmelt-based runoff in the spring…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-05-18 Ignacio Lopez-Gomez , Michael P. Brenner , Tapio Schneider

Drought is a natural creeping threat with numerous damaging effects in various aspects of human life. Accurate drought prediction is a promising step in helping policy makers to set drought risk management strategies. To fulfill this…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2020-06-05 Yousef Hassanzadeh , Mohammadvaghef Ghazvinian , Amin Abdi , Saman Baharvand , Ali Jozaghi

Considering the interdependencies between water and electricity use is critical for ensuring conservation measures are successful in lowering the net water and electricity use in a city. This water-electricity demand nexus will become even…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-06-26 Renee Obringer , Rohini Kumar , Roshanak Nateghi

Despite significant anecdotal evidence regarding the vulnerability of the U.S. power infrastructure, there is a dearth of longitudinal and nation-level characterization of the spatial and temporal patterns in the frequency and extent of…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-08-30 Bo Li , Junwei Ma , Femi Omitaomu , Ali Mostafavi

In this paper, we study the stationary states of diffusive dynamics driven out of equilibrium by reservoirs. For a small forcing, the system remains close to equilibrium and the large deviation functional of the density can be computed…

统计力学 · 物理学 2024-12-19 Thierry Bodineau , Bernard Derrida

Recent studies indicate that the effects of inter-annual climate-based variability in power system planning are significant and that long samples of demand & weather data (spanning multiple decades) should be considered. At the same time,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-05-30 Adriaan P Hilbers , David J Brayshaw , Axel Gandy

Understanding how droughts may change in the future is essential for anticipating and mitigating their adverse impacts. However, robust climate projections require large amounts of high-resolution climate simulations, particularly for…

Thermoelectric power production at risk, owing to current and projected water scarcity and rising stream temperatures, is assessed for the contiguous United States at decadal scales. Regional water scarcity is driven by climate variability…

经济学 · 定量金融 2015-11-30 Poulomi Ganguli , Devashish Kumar , Auroop R. Ganguly

Climate change poses complex challenges, with extreme weather events becoming increasingly frequent and difficult to model. Examples include the dynamics of Combined Sewer Systems (CSS). Overburdened CSS during heavy rainfall will overflow…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-02-14 Vipin Singh , Tianheng Ling , Teodor Chiaburu , Felix Biessmann

Precipitation is one of the most important meteorological variables for defining the climate dynamics, but the spatial patterns of precipitation have not been fully investigated yet. The complex network theory, which provides a robust tool…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2013-08-22 Stefania Scarsoglio , Francesco Laio , Luca Ridolfi

Equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) is a key predictor of climate change. However, it is not very well constrained, either by climate models or by observational data. The reasons for this include strong internal variability and forcing on…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2017-03-16 Anna S. von der Heydt , Peter Ashwin

The optimal operation of water reservoir systems is a challenging task involving multiple conflicting objectives. The main source of complexity is the presence of the water inflow, which acts as an exogenous, highly uncertain disturbance on…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-09-04 Raffaele Giuseppe Cestari , Andrea Castelletti , Simone Formentin

With California's ambitious goal to achieve decarbonization of the electrical grid by the year 2045, significant challenges arise in power system investment planning. Existing modeling methods and software focus on computational efficiency,…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-01-30 Osten Anderson , Nanpeng Yu , Mikhail Bragin

The Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) is a critical tool for monitoring drought conditions, typically relying on normalized accumulated precipitation. While longer historical records of precipitation yield more accurate parameter…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-07-22 Touqeer Ahmad , Taha Hasan

The relation between rainfall and water accumulated in reservoirs comprises nonlinear feedbacks. Here we show that they may generate alternative equilibrium regimes, one of high water-volume, the other of low water-volume. Reservoirs can be…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2015-06-24 Renato Mendes Coutinho , Paulo Inácio Prado , Roberto André Kraenkel

We examine an 11-year data set from the tropical weather station of Tlaxcala, Mexico. We find that mutual information drops quickly with the delay, to a positive value which relaxes to zero with a time scale of 20 days. We also examine the…

comp-gas · 物理学 2009-10-22 H. Waelbroeck