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We study the class structure of finite-alphabet Markov chains with arbitrary memory length. To capture the structural constraints induced by prohibited transitions, we introduce the skeleton of a higher-order transition kernel, defined as a…

We consider spin systems between a finite number $N$ of "species" or "phases" partitioning a cubic lattice $\mathbb{Z}^d$. We suppose that interactions between points of the same phase are coercive, while between point of different phases…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2015-12-02 Braides Andrea , Chiadò Piat Valeria , Solci Margherita

Large deviation results are given for a class of perturbed nonhomogeneous Markov chains on finite state space which formally includes some stochastic optimization algorithms. Specifically, let {P_n} be a sequence of transition matrices on a…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Zach Dietz , Sunder Sethuraman

Let us consider a homogeneous Markov chain with discrete time and with a finite set of states $E_0,\ldots,E_n$ such that the state $E_0$ is absorbing, states $E_1,\ldots,E_n$ are nonrecurrent. The goal of this work is to study frequencies…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2013-08-23 Vladimir V. Bochkarev , Eduard Yu. Lerner

In this paper, we study a notion of local stationarity for discrete time Markov chains which is useful for applications in statistics. In the spirit of some locally stationary processes introduced in the literature, we consider triangular…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-10-06 Lionel Truquet

Nonlinear Markov chains with finite state space have been introduced in Kolokoltsov (2010). The characteristic property of these processes is that the transition probabilities do not only depend on the state, but also on the distribution of…

概率论 · 数学 2020-07-07 Berenice Anne Neumann

Finite-state dimension quantifies the asymptotic rate of information in an infinite sequence as perceived by finite automata. For a fixed alphabet, the infinite sequences that have maximal finite-state dimension are exactly those that are…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2025-10-22 Laurent Bienvenu , Hugo Gimbert , Subin Pulari

A Markovian dichotomic system driven by a deterministic time-periodic force is analyzed in terms of the statistical properties of the switching events between the states. The consideration of the counting process of the switching events…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Jesús Casado-Pascual , José Gómez-Ordóñez , M. Morillo

Variable-length Markov chains on finite quivers provide a natural framework for context-dependent stochastic growth under incidence constraints. I study quiver-valued variable-length Markov chains observed through finite boundary windows…

概率论 · 数学 2026-04-14 Oleg Kiriukhin

When the initial and transition probabilities of a finite Markov chain in discrete time are not well known, we should perform a sensitivity analysis. This is done by considering as basic uncertainty models the so-called credal sets that…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2014-08-12 Gert de Cooman , Filip Hermans , Erik Quaeghebeur

A method of constructing Markov chains on finite state spaces is provided. The chain is specified by three constraints: stationarity, dependence and marginal distributions. The generalized Pythagorean theorem in information geometry plays a…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-07-26 Tomonari Sei

In this paper, we propose an approach to obtain reduced-order models of Markov chains. Our approach is composed of two information-theoretic processes. The first is a means of comparing pairs of stationary chains on different state spaces,…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2019-05-01 Isaac J. Sledge , Jose C. Principe

We investigate the statistical complexity of estimating the parameters of a discrete-state Markov chain kernel from a single long sequence of state observations. In the finite case, we characterize (modulo logarithmic factors) the minimax…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-08-14 Geoffrey Wolfer , Aryeh Kontorovich

A block Markov chain is a Markov chain whose state space can be partitioned into a finite number of clusters such that the transition probabilities only depend on the clusters. Block Markov chains thus serve as a model for Markov chains…

概率论 · 数学 2023-04-03 Jaron Sanders , Alexander Van Werde

In the paper we propose certain conditions, relatively easy to verify, which ensure the central limit theorem for some general class of Markov chains. To justify the usefulness of our criterion, we further verify it for a particular…

概率论 · 数学 2020-12-04 Dawid Czapla , Katarzyna Horbacz , Hanna Wojewódka-Ściążko

We study positive recurrence and transience of a two-station network in which the behavior of the server in each station is governed by a Markov chain with a finite number of server states; this service process can represent various service…

概率论 · 数学 2013-08-29 Toshihisa Ozawa

We consider the first-order theory of random variables with the probabilistic independence relation, which concerns statements consisting of random variables, the probabilistic independence symbol, logical operators, and existential and…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2021-08-18 Cheuk Ting Li

The dynamics of dissipative many-body quantum systems sometimes admit an emergent classical description in terms of a Markov chain even though the corresponding state space contains highly entangled states. In particular, a bad-cavity laser…

Markov chains are a natural and well understood tool for describing one-dimensional patterns in time or space. We show how to infer $k$-th order Markov chains, for arbitrary $k$, from finite data by applying Bayesian methods to both…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-11-13 Christopher C. Strelioff , James P. Crutchfield , Alfred W. Hubler

We analyse the structure of imprecise Markov chains and study their convergence by means of accessibility relations. We first identify the sets of states, so-called minimal permanent classes, that are the minimal sets capable of containing…

概率论 · 数学 2016-09-20 Damjan Skulj