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Chaos expansions are widely used in global sensitivity analysis (GSA), as they leverage orthogonal bases of L2 spaces to efficiently compute Sobol' indices, particularly in data-scarce settings. When derivatives are available, we argue that…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-10-06 O Roustant , N Lüthen , D Heredia , B Sudret

This article presents a general multivariate $f$-sensitivity index, rooted in the $f$-divergence between the unconditional and conditional probability measures of a stochastic response, for global sensitivity analysis. Unlike the…

数值分析 · 数学 2015-12-09 Sharif Rahman

Four types of global error for initial value problems are considered in a common framework. They include classical forward error analysis and shadowing error analysis together with extensions of both to rescaling of time. To determine the…

数值分析 · 数学 2015-12-01 Yu-Min Chung , Andrew Steyer , Michael Tubbs , Erik S. Van Vleck , Mihir Vedantam

Global sensitivity analysis with variance-based measures suffers from several theoretical and practical limitations, since they focus only on the variance of the output and handle multivariate variables in a limited way. In this paper, we…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-11-12 Sébastien Da Veiga

There are now many options for doubly robust estimation; however, there is a concerning trend in the applied literature to believe that the combination of a propensity score and an adjusted outcome model automatically results in a doubly…

We propose a new statistical estimation framework for a large family of global sensitivity analysis methods. Our approach is based on rank statistics and uses an empirical correlation coefficient recently introduced by Sourav Chatterjee. We…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-06-29 Fabrice Gamboa , Pierre Gremaud , Thierry Klein , Agnès Lagnoux

Sensitivity analysis is an important part of a mathematical modeller's toolbox for model analysis. In this review paper, we describe the most frequently used sensitivity techniques, discussing their advantages and limitations, before…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2020-01-14 George Qian , Adam Mahdi

Observational cohort studies are increasingly being used for comparative effectiveness research to assess the safety of therapeutics. Recently, various doubly robust methods have been proposed for average treatment effect estimation by…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-11 Xiaoqing Tan , Shu Yang , Wenyu Ye , Douglas E. Faries , Ilya Lipkovich , Zbigniew Kadziola

Among the many estimators of first order Sobol indices that have been proposed in the literature, the so-called rank-based estimator is arguably the simplest to implement. This estimator can be viewed as the empirical auto-correlation of…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-06-12 Thierry Klein , Paul Rochet

The formulation of Bayesian inverse problems involves choosing prior distributions; choices that seem equally reasonable may lead to significantly different conclusions. We develop a computational approach to better understand the impact of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-01-08 John E. Darges , Alen Alexanderian , Pierre A. Gremaud

Unlike parametric regression, machine learning (ML) methods do not generally require precise knowledge of the true data generating mechanisms. As such, numerous authors have advocated for ML methods to estimate causal effects.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-05-15 Ashley I Naimi , Alan E Mishler , Edward H Kennedy

This work introduces the use of multivariate global sensitivity analysis for assessing the impact of uncertain electric machine design parameters on efficiency maps and profiles. Contrary to the common approach of applying variance-based…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2026-04-29 Aylar Partovizadeh , Sebastian Schöps , Dimitrios Loukrezis

Variance-based global sensitivity analysis, in particular Sobol' analysis, is widely used for determining the importance of input variables to a computational model. Sobol' indices can be computed cheaply based on spectral methods like…

We propose a holistic framework for constructing sensitivity measures for any elicitable functional $T$ of a response variable. The sensitivity measures, termed score-based sensitivities, are constructed via scoring functions that are…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-02-03 Tobias Fissler , Silvana M. Pesenti

Every computer model depends on numerical input parameters that are chosen according to mostly conservative but rigorous numerical or empirical estimates. These parameters could for example be the step size for time integrators, a seed for…

计算物理 · 物理学 2020-09-11 Matthias Frey , Andreas Adelmann

Instrumental variable analysis is a powerful tool for estimating causal effects when randomization or full control of confounders is not possible. The application of standard methods such as 2SLS, GMM, and more recent variants are…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-06-08 Andrew Bennett , Nathan Kallus , Tobias Schnabel

We present two analytical formulae for estimating the sensitivity -- namely, the gradient or Jacobian -- at given realizations of an arbitrary-dimensional random vector with respect to its distributional parameters. The first formula…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-08-14 Pi-Yueh Chuang , Ahmed Attia , Emil Constantinescu

Development of new multiscale mathematical models often entails considerable complexity and multiple undetermined parameters, typically arising from closure relations. To enable reliable simulations, one must quantify how uncertain physical…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-02-26 Linheng Ruan , Ilja Kröker , Sergey Oladyshkin , Iryna Rybak

Traditionally, spline or kernel approaches in combination with parametric estimation are used to infer the linear coefficient (fixed effects) in a partially linear mixed-effects model for repeated measurements. Using machine learning…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-04-03 Corinne Emmenegger , Peter Bühlmann

Following up on the success of the analysis of variance (ANOVA) decomposition and the Sobol indices (SI) for global sensitivity analysis, various related quantities of interest have been defined in the literature including the effective and…

数值分析 · 计算机科学 2017-12-06 Rafael Ballester-Ripoll , Enrique G. Paredes , Renato Pajarola