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We propose a new importance sampling framework for the estimation and analysis of Sobol' indices. We focus on the estimation of the conditional second-moment quantity underlying these indices, which is the most challenging term to estimate.…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-03-03 Haythem Boucharif , Jérôme Morio , Paul Rochet

Global sensitivity analysis (GSA) is a recommended step in the use of computer simulation models. GSA quantifies the relative importance of model inputs on outputs (Factor Ranking), identifies inputs that could be fixed, thus simplifying…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-27 Ken Newman , Shaini Naha , Leah Jackson-Blake , Cairistiona Topp , Miriam Glendell , Adam Butler

The R package "sensobol" provides several functions to conduct variance-based uncertainty and sensitivity analysis, from the estimation of sensitivity indices to the visual representation of the results. It implements several…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-12-06 Arnald Puy , Samuele Lo Piano , Andrea Saltelli , Simon A. Levin

In this paper, we study sensitivity indices for independent groups of variables and we look at the particular case of block-additive models. We show in this case that most of the Sobol indices are equal to zero and that Shapley effects can…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-12-12 Baptiste Broto , François Bachoc , Marine Depecker , Jean-Marc Martinez

For models evaluated at a random set of independent variables, the variance-based Shapley effects range between Sobol' indices, and the corresponding total indices admit derivative-based upper-bounds. Such relationships fail when the inputs…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-05-28 Matieyendou Lamboni

In the past decade, Sobol's variance decomposition have been used as a tool - among others - in risk management. We show some links between global sensitivity analysis and stochastic ordering theories. This gives an argument in favor of…

Some classical uncertainty quantification problems require the estimation of multiple expectations. Estimating all of them accurately is crucial and can have a major impact on the analysis to perform, and standard existing Monte Carlo…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-02 Julien Demange-Chryst , François Bachoc , Jérôme Morio

Global sensitivity analysis (GSA) aims at quantifying the contribution of input variables over the variability of model outputs. In the frame of functional outputs, a common goal is to compute sensitivity maps (SM), i.e sensitivity indices…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-12-12 Yuri Sao , Olivier Roustant , Geraldo de Freitas Maciel

The Trotter-Suzuki decomposition is one of the main approaches for realization of quantum simulations on digital quantum computers. Variance-based global sensitivity analysis (the Sobol method) is a wide used method which allows to…

量子物理 · 物理学 2021-01-12 Alexey N. Pyrkov , Yurii Zotov , Jiangyu Cui , Manhong Yung

In the context of air quality control, our objective is to quantify the impact of uncertain inputs such as meteorological conditions and traffic parameters on pollutant dispersion maps. It is worth noting that the majority of sensitivity…

Traditionally, the sensitivity analysis of a Bayesian network studies the impact of individually modifying the entries of its conditional probability tables in a one-at-a-time (OAT) fashion. However, this approach fails to give a…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-06-11 Rafael Ballester-Ripoll , Manuele Leonelli

This paper presents a simple noise correction method for Sobol' indices estimation. Sobol' indices, especially total Sobol' indices are quite sensitive to the noise in the output and tend to be severly biased (overestimated) if no noise…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-04-04 Pavel Prikhodko , Nikita Kotlyarov

Given-data methods for variance-based sensitivity analysis have significantly advanced the feasibility of Sobol' index computation for computationally expensive models and models with many inputs. However, the limitations of existing…

Many mathematical models involve input parameters, which are not precisely known. Global sensitivity analysis aims to identify the parameters whose uncertainty has the largest impact on the variability of a quantity of interest. One of the…

概率论 · 数学 2018-11-21 Pierre Etoré , Clémentine Prieur , Dang Khoi Pham , Long Li

The presence of uncertainties are inevitable in engineering design and analysis, where failure in understanding their effects might lead to the structural or functional failure of the systems. The role of global sensitivity analysis in this…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-10-24 Pramudita Satria Palar , Lavi Rizki Zuhal , Koji Shimoyama , Takeshi Tsuchiya

Sensitivity analysis helps identify which model inputs convey the most uncertainty to the model output. One of the most authoritative measures in global sensitivity analysis is the Sobol' total-order index, which can be computed with…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-07-30 Arnald Puy , William Becker , Samuele Lo Piano , Andrea Saltelli

We present an HSIC-based approach for global sensitivity analysis of broad classes of models with correlated and possibly function-valued inputs and outputs. To this end, we define the total HSIC sensitivity index: a bounded, interpretable,…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-03-03 Troy Larsen , Alen Alexanderian

Global variance-based reliability sensitivity indices arise from a variance decomposition of the indicator function describing the failure event. The first-order indices reflect the main effect of each variable on the variance of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-20 Iason Papaioannou , Daniel Straub

In the context of sensitivity analysis of complex phenomena in presence of uncertainty, we motivate and precise the idea of orienting the analysis towards a critical domain of the studied phenomenon. We make a brief history of related…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-04-02 Hugo Raguet , Amandine Marrel

In this paper we develop a new approach to the design of direct numerical methods for multidimensional problems of the calculus of variations. The approach is based on a transformation of the problem with the use of a new class of…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-03-04 M. V. Dolgopolik