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A validated simulation model primarily requires performing an appropriate input analysis mainly by determining the behavior of real-world processes using probability distributions. In many practical cases, probability distributions of the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-03-05 Issac Shams , Saeede Ajorlou , Kai Yang

Stochastic agent-based models can account for millions of cells with spatiotemporal movement that can be a function of different factors. However, these simulations can be computationally expensive. In this work, we develop a novel…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-09-11 Michael A. Yereniuk , Sarah D. Olson

The conditional intensity (CI) of a counting process $Y_t$ is based on the minimal knowledge $\mathcal{F}_t^Y$, i.e., on the observation of $Y_t$ alone. Prominently, the mutual information rate of a signal and its Poisson channel output is…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2022-05-17 Mark Sinzger-D'Angelo , Heinz Koeppl

This paper introduces a way of modeling the epidemic transmission rate using a stochastic process of the form $(\beta_t = \varphi(t)P_t : t \ge 0)$, where the positive deterministic function $\varphi(t)$ models the impact of a public health…

概率论 · 数学 2026-04-03 Duvan Cataño , Raul Morán , Leon A. Valencia

A noise source model, consisting of a pulse sequence at random times with memory, is presented. By varying the memory we can obtain variable randomness of the stochastic process. The delay time between pulses, i. e. the noise memory,…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-09-29 O. Chichigina , D. Valenti , B. Spagnolo

In this paper, we revisit the original ideas of Stein and propose an estimator of the intensity parameter of a homogeneous Poisson point process defined in $\R^d$ and observed in a bounded window. The procedure is based on a new general…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-07-31 Marianne Clausel , Jean-François Coeurjolly , Jérôme Lelong

In this paper, we consider a stochastic model based on the Cox- Ingersoll- Ross model (CIR). The stochastic model is parameterized analytically by applying It\^o's calculus and the trend functions of the proposed process is calculated. The…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-30 Nafidi Ahmed , El Azri Abdenbi

We establish a sufficient condition for the tightness of a sequence of stochastic processes. Our condition makes it possible to study processes with accumulations of fixed times of discontinuity. Our motivation comes from the study of…

概率论 · 数学 2016-03-02 Vincent Bansaye , Tom Kurtz , Florian Simatos

In this paper we introduce a general stochastic representation for an important class of processes with resetting. It allows to describe any stochastic process intermittently terminated and restarted from a predefined random or non-random…

概率论 · 数学 2023-10-11 Marcin Magdziarz , Kacper Taźbierski

Point process data are becoming ubiquitous in modern applications, such as social networks, health care, and finance. Despite the powerful expressiveness of the popular recurrent neural network (RNN) models for point process data, they may…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-22 Zheng Dong , Xiuyuan Cheng , Yao Xie

The purpose of this paper is to estimate the intensity of a Poisson process $N$ by using thresholding rules. In this paper, the intensity, defined as the derivative of the mean measure of $N$ with respect to $ndx$ where $n$ is a fixed…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-10-30 Patricia Reynaud-Bouret , Vincent Rivoirard

The paper considers nonparametric kernel density/regression estimation from a stochastic optimization point of view. The estimation problem is represented through a family of stochastic optimization problems. Recursive constrained…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-09-05 Vladimir Norkin , Vladimir Kirilyuk

The Cox regression model is a popular model for analyzing the relationship between a covariate and a survival endpoint. The standard Cox model assumes a constant covariate effect across the entire covariate domain. However, in many…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-09-02 Sarit Agami , David M. Zucker , Donna Spiegelman

The Poisson process is the most elementary continuous-time stochastic process that models a stream of repeating events. It is uniquely characterised by a single parameter called the rate. Instead of a single value for this rate, we here…

概率论 · 数学 2019-06-05 Alexander Erreygers , Jasper De Bock

We demonstrate the existence of noise-induced periodicity (coherence resonance) in both a discrete-time model and a continuous-time model of an excitable neuron. In particular, we show that the effects of noise added to the fast and slow…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2009-11-10 Robert C. Hilborn , Rebecca J. Erwin

If an experimentalist observes a sequence of emitted quantum states via either projective or positive-operator-valued measurements, the outcomes form a time series. Individual time series are realizations of a stochastic process over the…

量子物理 · 物理学 2023-06-14 A. Venegas-Li , J. P. Crutchfield

Density dependence is important in the ecology and evolution of microbial and cancer cells. Typically, we can only measure net growth rates, but the underlying density-dependent mechanisms that give rise to the observed dynamics can…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2025-06-04 Linh Huynh , Jacob G. Scott , Peter J. Thomas

We derive the posterior contraction rate for non-parametric Bayesian estimation of the intensity function of a Poisson point process.

统计理论 · 数学 2018-04-17 Shota Gugushvili , Peter Spreij

Extending the ideas of [7], this paper aims at providing a kernel based non-parametric estimation of a new class of time varying AR(1) processes (Xt), with local stationarity and periodic features (with a known period T), inducing the…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-11-13 Jean-Marc Bardet , Paul Doukhan

In some settings involving recurrent events, the occurrence of one event may produce a temporary increase in the event intensity; we refer to this phenomenon as a transient carryover effect. This paper provides models and tests for…

应用统计 · 统计学 2013-01-14 Candemir Çiğşar , Jerald F. Lawless