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We consider the genealogical tree of a stationary continuous state branching process with immigration. For a sub-critical stable branching mechanism, we consider the genealogical tree of the extant population at some fixed time and prove…

概率论 · 数学 2020-05-21 Romain Abraham , Jean-François Delmas , Hui He

A discrete time branching process where the offspring distribution is generation-dependent, and the number of reproductive individuals is controlled by a random mechanism is considered. This model is a Markov chain but, in general, the…

In numerous papers, the behaviour of stochastic population models is investigated through the sign of a real quantity which is the growth rate of the population near the extinction set. In many cases, it is proven that when this growth rate…

概率论 · 数学 2020-01-06 Dang H. Nguyen , Edouard Strickler

We consider the extinction events of Galton-Watson processes with countably infinitely many types. In particular, we construct truncated and augmented Galton-Watson processes with finite but increasing sets of types. A pathwise approach is…

概率论 · 数学 2017-12-15 Peter Braunsteins , Geoffrey Decrouez , Sophie Hautphenne

In a general class of one dimensional random differential equation the convergence of the distribution function of the solution to stationary state distribution is studied. In particular it is proved the boundedness respectively the…

概率论 · 数学 2010-07-07 Gyorgy Steinbrecher , Xavier Garbet , Boris Weyssow

We characterize recurrence and transience of nonnegative multivariate autoregressive processes of order one with random contractive coefficient matrix, of subcritical multitype Galton-Watson branching processes in random environment with…

概率论 · 数学 2016-10-18 Martin P. W. Zerner

Consider any supercritical Galton-Watson process which may become extinct with positive probability. It is a well-understood and intuitively obvious phenomenon that, on the survival set, the process may be pathwise decomposed into a…

概率论 · 数学 2013-04-09 A. E. Kyprianou , J-L. Perez , Y-X. Ren

We consider a Markov chain on $R^+$ with asymptotically zero drift and finite second moments of jumps which is positive recurrent. A power-like asymptotic behaviour of the invariant tail distribution is proven; such a heavy-tailed invariant…

概率论 · 数学 2012-08-16 Denis Denisov , Dmitry Korshunov , Vitali Wachtel

In this paper we study a particular class of Piecewise deterministic Markov processes (PDMP's) which are semi-stochastic catastrophe versions of deterministic population growth models. In between successive jumps the process follows a flow…

概率论 · 数学 2021-06-09 Branda Goncalves , Thierry Huillet , Eva Löcherbach

This article concerns the tail probabilities of a light-tailed Markov-modulated L\'evy process stopped at a state-dependent Poisson rate. The tails are shown to decay exponentially at rates given by the unique positive and negative roots of…

概率论 · 数学 2021-10-26 Brendan K. Beare , Won-Ki Seo , Alexis Akira Toda

We consider a null-recurrent randomly biased walk $\mathbb{X}$ on a Galton-Watson tree in the (sub)-diffusive regime and we prove that properly renormalized, the local time in a critical generation converges in law towards some function of…

概率论 · 数学 2026-03-26 Alexis Kagan

We provide conditions that classify cover times for sequences of random walks on random graphs into two types: One type (Type 1) is the class of cover times that are of the order of the maximal hitting times scaled by the logarithm of the…

概率论 · 数学 2015-11-03 Yoshihiro Abe

We define a model of Galton Watson processes in dynamical environments where the environment evolves according to a dynamical system (X, T). Three behaviours are possible: uniformly subcritical, critical, and uniformly supercritical. We…

动力系统 · 数学 2024-10-28 Thomas Morand

The extremes of a univariate Markov chain with regulary varying stationary marginal distribution and asymptotically linear behavior are known to exhibit a multiplicative random walk structure called the tail chain. In this paper, we extend…

概率论 · 数学 2014-02-04 Anja Janßen , Johan Segers

An asymptotic model for extreme behavior of certain Markov chains is the "tail chain". Generally taking the form of a multiplicative random walk, it is useful in deriving extremal characteristics such as point process limits. We place this…

概率论 · 数学 2011-12-30 Sidney I. Resnick , David Zeber

We consider a Markov modulated fluid network with a finite number of stations. We are interested in the tail asymptotics behavior of the stationary distribution of its buffer content process. Using two different approaches, we derive upper…

概率论 · 数学 2020-09-29 Masakiyo Miyazawa

Extinction of a long-lived isolated stochastic population can be described as an exponentially slow decay of quasi-stationary probability distribution of the population size. We address extinction of a population in a two-population system…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-05-14 Michael Khasin , Baruch Meerson , Pavel V. Sasorov

We give a criterion for unlimited growth with positive probability for a large class of multidimensional stochastic models. As a by-product, we recover the necessary and sufficient conditions for recurrence and transience for critical…

概率论 · 数学 2016-04-08 Etienne Adam

It has repeatedly been observed that loss minimization by stochastic gradient descent (SGD) leads to heavy-tailed distributions of neural network parameters. Here, we analyze a continuous diffusion approximation of SGD, called homogenized…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-02-05 Zhe Jiao , Martin Keller-Ressel

We consider the tail distribution of the edge cover time of a specific non-Markov process, $\delta$ once-reinforced random walk, on finite connected graphs, whose transition probability is proportional to weights of edges. Here the weights…

概率论 · 数学 2025-05-09 Xiangyu Huang , Yong Liu , Kainan Xiang
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