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Estimating the predictive uncertainty of a Bayesian learning model is critical in various decision-making problems, e.g., reinforcement learning, detecting adversarial attack, self-driving car. As the model posterior is almost always…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-16 Yufei Cui , Wuguannan Yao , Qiao Li , Antoni B. Chan , Chun Jason Xue

This paper deals with Bayesian inference of a mixture of Gaussian distributions. A novel formulation of the mixture model is introduced, which includes the prior constraint that each Gaussian component is always assigned a minimal number of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-05-21 Colin J. Stoneking

This paper provides bayesian analysis of singular Marshall-Olkin bivariate Pareto distribution. We consider three parameter singular Marshall-Olkin bivariate Pareto distribution. We consider two types of prior - reference prior and gamma…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-10-03 Biplab Paul , Arabin Kumar Dey , Sanku Dey , Debasis Kundu

Previous Bayesian evaluations of the Conway-Maxwell-Poisson (COM-Poisson) distribution have little discussion of non- and weakly-informative priors for the model. While only considering priors with such limited information restricts…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-12-01 Mark J. Meyer , Amia Graye , Kimberly F. Sellers

We explore the construction of nonsubjective prior distributions in Bayesian statistics via a posterior predictive relative entropy regret criterion. We carry out a minimax analysis based on a derived asymptotic predictive loss function and…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Trevor J. Sweeting , Gauri S. Datta , Malay Ghosh

A Bayesian inference method for problems with small samples and sparse data is presented in this paper. A general type of prior ($\propto 1/\sigma^{q}$) is proposed to formulate the Bayesian posterior for inference problems under small…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-10-14 Jingjing He , Xuefei Guan

This paper develops some objective priors for certain parameters of the bivariate normal distribution. The parameters considered are the regression coefficient, the generalized variance, and the ratio of the conditional variance of one…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-12-18 Malay Ghosh , Upasana Santra , Dalho Kim

In the need for low assumption inferential methods in infinite-dimensional settings, Bayesian adaptive estimation via a prior distribution that does not depend on the regularity of the function to be estimated nor on the sample size is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-09-23 Catia Scricciolo

The class of $\alpha$-stable distributions enjoys multiple practical applications in signal processing, finance, biology and other areas because it allows to describe interesting and complex data patterns, such as asymmetry or heavy tails,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-06-03 Eugenia Koblents , Joaquin Miguez , Marco A. Rodriguez , Alexandra M. Schmidt

Especially when facing reliability data with limited information (e.g., a small number of failures), there are strong motivations for using Bayesian inference methods. These include the option to use information from physics-of-failure or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-27 Qinglong Tian , Colin Lewis-Beck , Jarad Niemi , William Meeker

An imprecise Bayesian nonparametric approach to system reliability with multiple types of components is developed. This allows modelling partial or imperfect prior knowledge on component failure distributions in a flexible way through…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-09-19 Gero Walter , Louis J. M. Aslett , Frank P. A. Coolen

Noninformative priors constructed for estimation purposes are usually not appropriate for model selection and testing. The methodology of integral priors was developed to get prior distributions for Bayesian model selection when comparing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-05 Diego Salmerón , Juan Antonio Cano , Christian P. Robert

Objective prior distributions represent an important tool that allows one to have the advantages of using the Bayesian framework even when information about the parameters of a model is not available. The usual objective approaches work off…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-09-25 Fabrizio Leisen , Cristiano Villa , Stephen G. Walker

Hierarchical Bayesian inference is often conducted with estimates of the target distribution derived from Monte Carlo sums over samples from separate analyses of parts of the hierarchy or from mock observations used to estimate sensitivity…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2022-04-04 Reed Essick , Will Farr

In this paper, we present the Bayesian inference procedures for the parameters of the multivariate random effects model derived under the assumption of an elliptically contoured distribution when the Berger and Bernardo reference and the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-26 Olha Bodnar , Taras Bodnar

The main challenges that arise when adopting Gaussian Process priors in probabilistic modeling are how to carry out exact Bayesian inference and how to account for uncertainty on model parameters when making model-based predictions on…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-04-08 Maurizio Filippone , Mark Girolami

In this paper, we present an innovative method for constructing proper priors for the skewness (shape) parameter in the skew-symmetric family of distributions. The proposed method is based on assigning a prior distribution on the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-08-28 Holger Dette , Christophe Ley , Francisco Javier Rubio

This paper presents three objective Bayesian methods for analyzing bilateral data under Dallal's model and the saturated model. Three parameters are of interest, namely, the risk difference, the risk ratio, and the odds ratio. We derive…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-04-27 Cyr Emile M'lan , Ming-Hui Chen

Bayesian nonparametric methods are a popular choice for analysing survival data due to their ability to flexibly model the distribution of survival times. These methods typically employ a nonparametric prior on the survival function that is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-02-22 Edwin Fong , Brieuc Lehmann

In this article, we consider the problem of estimating the parameters of the Fr\'echet distribution from both frequentist and Bayesian points of view. First we briefly describe different frequentist approaches, namely, maximum likelihood,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-01-17 Pedro Luiz Ramos , Francisco Louzada , Eduardo Ramos , Sanku Dey