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Markov chains have been widely employed as a fundamental model in the studies of probabilistic and stochastic communicating and concurrent systems. It is well-understood that decomposition techniques play a key role in reachability analysis…

量子物理 · 物理学 2018-02-15 Ji Guan , Yuan Feng , Mingsheng Ying

Convergence rates of Markov chains have been widely studied in recent years. In particular, quantitative bounds on convergence rates have been studied in various forms by Meyn and Tweedie [Ann. Appl. Probab. 4 (1994) 981-1101], Rosenthal…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 R. Douc , E. Moulines , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

First, under a geometric ergodicity assumption, we provide some limit theorems and some probability inequalities for the bifurcating Markov chains (BMC). The BMC model was introduced by Guyon to detect cellular aging from cell lineage, and…

概率论 · 数学 2014-01-20 Valère Bitseki Penda , Hacène Djellout , Arnaud Guillin

We introduce block Markov chains (BMCs) indexed by an infinite rooted tree. It turns out that BMCs define a new class of tree-indexed Markovian processes. We clarify the structure of BMCs in connection with Markov chains (MCs) and Markov…

概率论 · 数学 2020-08-25 Abdessatar Souissi

Consideration is given to the three different analytical methods for the computation of upper bounds for the rate of convergence to the limiting regime of one specific class of (in)homogeneous continuous-time Markov chains. This class is…

We discuss Stein's method for approximation by the stationary distribution of a single-birth Markov chain, in conjunction with stochastic monotonicity and similar assumptions. We use bounds on the increments of the solution of Poisson's…

概率论 · 数学 2024-11-08 Fraser Daly

Clustering algorithms frequently require the number of clusters to be chosen in advance, but it is usually not clear how to do this. To tackle this challenge when clustering within sequential data, we present a method for estimating the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-07-29 Thomas van Vuren , Thomas Cronk , Jaron Sanders

Variable-length Markov chains on finite quivers provide a natural framework for context-dependent stochastic growth under incidence constraints. I study quiver-valued variable-length Markov chains observed through finite boundary windows…

概率论 · 数学 2026-04-14 Oleg Kiriukhin

When the state space of a discrete state space positive recurrent Markov chain is infinite or very large, it becomes necessary to truncate the state space in order to facilitate numerical computation of the stationary distribution. This…

概率论 · 数学 2025-05-07 Peter W. Glynn , Zeyu Zheng

We investigate multivariate regular variation in the context of time-homogeneous Markov chains on general vector spaces and in random coefficient linear models. In the first part, we show that the regular variation of the stationary…

概率论 · 数学 2025-10-23 Piotr Dyszewski , Tamara Mika

Labeled Markov Chains (or LMCs for short) are useful mathematical objects to model complex probabilistic languages. A central challenge is to compare two LMCs, for example to assess the accuracy of an abstraction or to quantify the effect…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2025-11-25 Adrien Banse , Alessandro Abate , Raphaël M. Jungers

By proving a local limit theorem for higher-order transitions, we determine the time required for necklace chains to be close to stationarity. Because necklace chains, built by arranging identical smaller chains around a directed cycle, are…

概率论 · 数学 2021-11-22 Elizabeth L. Wilmer

The time to converge to the steady state of a finite Markov chain can be greatly reduced by a lifting operation, which creates a new Markov chain on an expanded state space. For a class of quadratic objectives, we show an analogous behavior…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-03-14 Guilherme França , José Bento

This paper provides full classification of dynamics for continuous time Markov chains (CTMCs) on the non-negative integers with polynomial transition rate functions. Such stochastic processes are abundant in applications, in particular in…

概率论 · 数学 2021-12-01 Chuang Xu , Mads Christian Hansen , Carsten Wiuf

We are interested in quasi-stationarity and quasi-ergodicity when the absorbing boundary is moving. First we show that, in the moving boundary case, the quasi-stationary distribution and the quasi-limiting distribution are not well-defined…

概率论 · 数学 2019-11-25 William Oçafrain

The Markov Chain Monte Carlo method is the dominant paradigm for posterior computation in Bayesian analysis. It is common to control computation time by making approximations to the Markov transition kernel. Comparatively little attention…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-08-30 James E. Johndrow , Jonathan C. Mattingly , Sayan Mukherjee , David Dunson

The limiting probability distribution is one of the key characteristics of a Markov chain since it shows its long-term behavior. In this paper, for a higher order Markov chain, we establish some properties related to its exact limiting…

概率论 · 数学 2026-03-20 Lixing Han , Jianhong Xu

We study irreducible time-homogenous Markov chains with finite state space in discrete time. We obtain results on the sensitivity of the stationary distribution and other statistical quantities with respect to perturbations of the…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Eilon Solan , Nicolas Vieille

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods generate samples that are asymptotically distributed from a target distribution of interest as the number of iterations goes to infinity. Various theoretical results provide upper bounds on the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-10-30 Niloy Biswas , Pierre E. Jacob , Paul Vanetti

In this paper we propose augmented interval Markov chains (AIMCs): a generalisation of the familiar interval Markov chains (IMCs) where uncertain transition probabilities are in addition allowed to depend on one another. This new model…

计算复杂性 · 计算机科学 2017-01-12 Ventsislav Chonev