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Vine copulas allow to build flexible dependence models for an arbitrary number of variables using only bivariate building blocks. The number of parameters in a vine copula model increases quadratically with the dimension, which poses new…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-11-20 Thomas Nagler , Christian Bumann , Claudia Czado

Many modern data analyses benefit from explicitly modeling dependence structure in data -- such as measurements across time or space, ordered words in a sentence, or genes in a genome. A gold standard evaluation technique is structured…

We explore various estimators for the parameters of a pair-copula construction (PCC), among those the stepwise semiparametric (SSP) estimator, designed for this dependence structure. We present its asymptotic properties, as well as the…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-03-21 Ingrid Hobæk Haff

This study suggests a coupling uncertainty analysis method to investigate the stiffness characteristics of variable stiffness (VS) composite. The D-vine copula function is used to address the coupling of random variables. To identify the…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2018-04-23 Qidi Li , Hu Wang , Yang Zeng , Zhiwei Lv

High-dimensional data sets are often available in genome-enabled predictions. Such data sets include nonlinear relationships with complex dependence structures. For such situations, vine copula based (quantile) regression is an important…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-01-24 Özge Sahin , Claudia Czado

The need for a method to construct multidimensional distribution function is increasing recently, in the era of huge multiwavelength surveys. We have proposed a systematic method to build a bivariate luminosity or mass function of galaxies…

星系天体物理 · 物理学 2020-09-02 Tsutomu T. Takeuchi , Kai T. Kono

Regular vine copulas can describe a wider array of dependency patterns than the multivariate Gaussian copula or the multivariate Student's t copula. This paper presents two contributions related to model selection of regular vine copulas.…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-12-04 Lutz Gruber , Claudia Czado

We demonstrate how the uncertainty of parameter point estimates can be assessed in a maximum likelihood framework in order to prevent overfitting and erroneous detection of time-inhomogeneity. The class of models we consider are regular…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-05-23 Jakob Stöber , Ulf Schepsmeier

Copula models are flexible tools to represent complex structures of dependence for multivariate random variables. According to Sklar's theorem (Sklar, 1959), any d-dimensional absolutely continuous density can be uniquely represented as the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-05 Clara Grazian , Luciana Dalla Valle , Brunero Liseo

To model high dimensional data, Gaussian methods are widely used since they remain tractable and yield parsimonious models by imposing strong assumptions on the data. Vine copulas are more flexible by combining arbitrary marginal…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-09-18 Dominik Müller , Claudia Czado

Vine copulas constitute a flexible way for modeling of dependences using only pair copulas as building blocks. The pair-copula constructions introduced by Joe (1997) are able to encode more types of dependences in the same time since they…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-04-12 Edith Kovács , Tamás Szántai

Many risk-sensitive applications require well-calibrated prediction sets over multiple, potentially correlated target variables, for which the prediction algorithm may report correlated errors. In this work, we aim to construct the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-12 Ji Won Park , Robert Tibshirani , Kyunghyun Cho

The partial correlation coefficient is a commonly used measure to assess the conditional dependence between two random variables. We provide a thorough explanation of the partial copula, which is a natural generalization of the partial…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-06-13 Fabian Spanhel , Malte S. Kurz

We introduce a new goodness-of-fit test for regular vine (R-vine) copula models, a flexible class of multivariate copulas based on a pair-copula construction (PCC). The test arises from the information matrix ratio. The corresponding test…

统计计算 · 统计学 2013-09-24 Ulf Schepsmeier

Vine copulas are flexible dependence models using bivariate copulas as building blocks. If the parameters of the bivariate copulas in the vine copula depend on covariates, one obtains a conditional vine copula. We propose an extension for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-21 David Jobst , Annette Möller , Jürgen Groß

Conformal prediction provides rigorous distribution-free finite-sample guarantees for marginal coverage under the assumption of exchangeability, but may exhibit systematic undercoverage or overcoverage for specific subpopulations. Assessing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-24 Zheng Zhou , Xiangfei Zhang , Chongguang Tao , Yuhong Yang

The purpose of this paper is twofold. First, we provide a novel characterization of independence of random vectors based on the checkerboard approximation to a multivariate copula. Using this result, we then propose a new family of tests of…

Electronic health records (EHR) store hundreds of demographic and laboratory variables from large patient populations. Traditional statistical methods have limited capacity in processing mixed-type data (continuous, ordinal) and capturing…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-04-10 Manar D. Samad , Yina Hou , Megan A. Witherow , Norou Diawara

A bivariate copula mixed model has been recently proposed to synthesize diagnostic test accuracy studies and it has been shown that is superior to the standard generalized linear mixed model (GLMM) in this context. Here we call trivariate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-11-09 Aristidis K. Nikoloulopoulos

The bivariate copulas that describe the dependencies and partial dependencies of lagged variables in strictly stationary, first-order GARCH-type processes are investigated. It is shown that the copulas of symmetric GARCH processes are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-10 Alexandra Dias , Jialing Han , Alexander J. McNeil