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Methods for extending -- generalizing or transporting -- inferences from a randomized trial to a target population involve conditioning on a large set of covariates that is sufficient for rendering the randomized and non-randomized groups…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-04 Sarah E Robertson , Jon A Steingrimsson , Issa J Dahabreh

Variational methods for parameter estimation are an active research area, potentially offering computationally tractable heuristics with theoretical performance bounds. We build on recent work that applies such methods to network data, and…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-10-30 Peter Bickel , David Choi , Xiangyu Chang , Hai Zhang

We consider a longitudinal data structure consisting of baseline covariates, time-varying treatment variables, intermediate time-dependent covariates, and a possibly time dependent outcome. Previous studies have shown that estimating the…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-10-09 Linh Tran , Maya Petersen , Joshua Schwab , Mark J van der Laan

The popularity of online surveys has increased the prominence of using weights that capture units' probabilities of inclusion for claims of representativeness. Yet, much uncertainty remains regarding how these weights should be employed in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-08-16 Luke W. Miratrix , Jasjeet S. Sekhon , Alexander G. Theodoridis , Luis F. Campos

We describe a design-based framework for drawing causal inference in general randomized experiments. Causal effects are defined as linear functionals evaluated at unit-level potential outcome functions. Assumptions about the potential…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-15 Christopher Harshaw , Fredrik Sävje , Yitan Wang

The research is about a systematic investigation on the following issues. First, we construct different outcome regression-based estimators for conditional average treatment effect under, respectively, true (oracle), parametric,…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-09-23 Lu Li , Niwen Zhou , Lixing Zhu

Under the Neyman causal model, it is well-known that OLS with treatment-by-covariate interactions cannot harm asymptotic precision of estimated treatment effects in completely randomized experiments. But do such guarantees extend to…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-03-19 Joel A. Middleton

Treatment effect heterogeneity is of a great concern when evaluating policy impact: "is the treatment Pareto-improving?", "what is the proportion of people who are better off under the treatment?", etc. However, even in the simple case of a…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-09-18 Myungkou Shin

$2^K$ factorial designs are widely adopted by statisticians and the broader scientific community. In this short note, under the potential outcomes framework (Neyman, 1923; Rubin, 1974), we adopt the partial identification approach and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-07-18 Jiannan Lu

We often estimate a parameter of interest psi when the identifying conditions involve a nuisance parameter theta. Examples from causal inference are Inverse Probability Weighting, Marginal Structural Models and Structural Nested Models. To…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-08-30 Judith J. Lok

We consider estimation and inference on average treatment effects under unconfoundedness conditional on the realizations of the treatment variable and covariates. Given nonparametric smoothness and/or shape restrictions on the conditional…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-10-04 Timothy B. Armstrong , Michal Kolesár

In adaptive clinical trials, the conventional end-of-trial point estimate of a treatment effect is prone to bias, that is, a systematic tendency to deviate from its true value. As stated in recent FDA guidance on adaptive designs, it is…

This article introduces a new estimator of average treatment effects under unobserved confounding in modern data-rich environments featuring large numbers of units and outcomes. The proposed estimator is doubly robust, combining outcome…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-10-30 Alberto Abadie , Anish Agarwal , Raaz Dwivedi , Abhin Shah

Our aging population increasingly suffers from multiple chronic diseases simultaneously, necessitating the comprehensive treatment of these conditions. Finding the optimal set of drugs for a combinatorial set of diseases is a combinatorial…

Experiments on online marketplaces and social networks suffer from interference, where the outcome of a unit is impacted by the treatment status of other units. We propose a framework for modeling interference using a ubiquitous deployment…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-21 Ariel Boyarsky , Hongseok Namkoong , Jean Pouget-Abadie

There is a growing literature on design-based methods to estimate average treatment effects (ATEs) for randomized controlled trials (RCTs) for full sample analyses. This article extends these methods to estimate ATEs for discrete subgroups…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-16 Peter Z. Schochet

When the Stable Unit Treatment Value Assumption is violated and there is interference among units, there is not a uniquely defined Average Treatment Effect, and alternative estimands may be of interest. Among these are average unit-level…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-30 Molly Offer-Westort , Drew Dimmery

Instrumental variable methods are fundamental to causal inference when treatment assignment is confounded by unobserved variables. In this article, we develop a general nonparametric causal framework for identification and learning with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-10 Shuyuan Chen , Peng Zhang , Yifan Cui

How should researchers conduct causal inference when the outcome of interest is latent and measured imperfectly by multiple indicators? We develop a general nonparametric framework for identifying and estimating average treatment effects on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-22 Jiawei Fu , Donald P. Green

Many statistical estimators are defined as the fixed point of a data-dependent operator, with estimators based on minimizing a cost function being an important special case. The limiting performance of such estimators depends on the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-22 Nhat Ho , Koulik Khamaru , Raaz Dwivedi , Martin J. Wainwright , Michael I. Jordan , Bin Yu