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In the setting of multi-armed trials, adaptive designs are a popular way to increase estimation efficiency, identify optimal treatments, or maximize rewards to individuals. Recent work has considered the case of estimating the effects of K…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-10 Evan T. R. Rosenman , Kristen B. Hunter

This paper is concerned with nonparametric estimation of the weighted stochastic block model. We first show that the model implies a set of multilinear restrictions on the joint distribution of edge weights of certain subgraphs involving…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-03-10 Koen Jochmans

Imputing missing potential outcomes using an estimated regression function is a natural idea for estimating causal effects. In the literature, estimators that combine imputation and regression adjustments are believed to be comparable to…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-01-20 Zhexiao Lin , Fang Han

Increasingly, there is a marked interest in estimating causal effects under network interference due to the fact that interference manifests naturally in networked experiments. However, network information generally is available only up to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-02 Wenrui Li , Daniel L. Sussman , Eric D. Kolaczyk

Instrumental variable (IV) methods are widely used to infer treatment effects in the presence of unmeasured confounding. In this paper, we study nonparametric inference with an IV under a separable binary treatment choice model, which…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-03 Chan Park , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

Researchers often use linear regression to analyse randomized experiments to improve treatment effect estimation by adjusting for imbalances of covariates in the treatment and control groups. Our work offers a randomization-based inference…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-07-08 Hanzhong Liu , Yuehan Yang

We study admissibility of a subclass of generalized Bayes estimators of a multivariate normal vector when the variance is unknown, under scaled quadratic loss. Minimaxity is also established for certain of these estimators.

统计理论 · 数学 2020-03-20 Yuzo Maruyama , William E. Strawderman

There is a large literature on semiparametric estimation of average treatment effects under unconfounded treatment assignment in settings with a fixed number of covariates. More recently attention has focused on settings with a large number…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-10-26 Susan Athey , Guido Imbens , Thai Pham , Stefan Wager

We propose a general framework for regularization in M-estimation problems under time dependent (absolutely regular-mixing) data which encompasses many of the existing estimators. We derive non-asymptotic concentration bounds for the…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-01-04 Demian Pouzo

Clinical researchers often select among and evaluate risk prediction models using standard machine learning metrics based on confusion matrices. However, if these models are used to allocate interventions to patients, standard metrics…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-06-03 Alejandro Schuler , Aashish Bhardwaj , Vincent Liu

This paper investigates estimation and inference for average treatment effects in completely randomized experiments when researchers observe potentially many covariates. Within Neyman's (1923) design-based framework, allowing the number of…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-11-20 Harold D Chiang , Yukitoshi Matsushita , Taisuke Otsu

Randomized trials typically estimate average relative treatment effects, but decisions on the benefit of a treatment are possibly better informed by more individualized predictions of the absolute treatment effect. In case of a binary…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-20 J Hoogland , J IntHout , M Belias , MM Rovers , RD Riley , FE Harrell , KGM Moons , TPA Debray , JB Reitsma

We suggest double/debiased machine learning estimators of direct and indirect quantile treatment effects under a selection-on-observables assumption. This permits disentangling the causal effect of a binary treatment at a specific outcome…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-07-04 Yu-Chin Hsu , Martin Huber , Yu-Min Yen

Mediation analysis seeks to infer how much of the effect of an exposure on an outcome can be attributed to specific pathways via intermediate variables or mediators. This requires identification of so-called path-specific effects. These…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-06-06 Johan Steen , Stijn Vansteelandt

We provide a principled way for investigators to analyze randomized experiments when the number of covariates is large. Investigators often use linear multivariate regression to analyze randomized experiments instead of simply reporting the…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-06-08 Adam Bloniarz , Hanzhong Liu , Cun-Hui Zhang , Jasjeet Sekhon , Bin Yu

In the linear random effects model, when distributional assumptions such as normality of the error variables cannot be justified, moments may serve as alternatives to describe relevant distributions in neighborhoods of their means.…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-03-05 Ping Wu , Winfried Stute , Li-Xing Zhu

This paper presents a weighted optimization framework that unifies the binary,multi-valued, continuous, as well as mixture of discrete and continuous treatment, under the unconfounded treatment assignment. With a general loss function, the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2018-08-20 Chunrong Ai , Oliver Linton , Kaiji Motegi , Zheng Zhang

Generalizing treatment effects from a randomized trial to a target population requires the assumption that potential outcome distributions are invariant across populations after conditioning on observed covariates. This assumption fails…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-16 Amir Asiaee , Samhita Pal , Cole Beck , Jared D. Huling

Online user-generated content platforms allocate billions of dollars of promotional traffic through algorithms in two-sided marketplaces. To evaluate updates to these algorithms, platforms frequently rely on creator-side randomized…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-03-10 Ruohan Zhan , Shichao Han , Yuchen Hu , Zhenling Jiang

When one studies the effects of taxes, tariffs, or prices using panel data, the treatment is often continuously distributed in every period. We propose difference-in-differences (DID) estimators for such cases. We assume that between…

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