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Risk diversification is the basis of insurance and investment. It is thus crucial to study the effects that could limit it. One of them is the existence of systemic risk that affects all the policies at the same time. We introduce here a…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2013-12-03 Marc Busse , Michel Dacorogna , Marie Kratz

In this paper we study the asymptotic decay of finite time ruin probabilities for an insurance company that faces heavy-tailed claims, uses predictable investment strategies and makes investments in risky assets whose prices evolve…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2008-12-02 Henrik Hult , Filip Lindskog

We deal with a generalization of the classical risk model when an insurance company gets additional funds whenever a claim arrives and consider some practical approaches to the estimation of the ruin probability. In particular, we get an…

概率论 · 数学 2015-03-19 Yuliya Mishura , Olena Ragulina , Oleksandr Stroyev

In this article, a generalized version of Negative binomial-beta exponential distribution with five parameters have been introduced. Some interesting submodels have been derived from it. A comprehensive mathematical treatment of proposed…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-05-31 Anwar Hassan , Ishfaq Shah Ahmad , Peer Bilal Ahmad

A new family of multivariate distributions, which shall be termed multivector variate distributions, based in the family of the multivariate contoured elliptically distribution is proposed. Several particular cases of multivector variate…

We consider a new approach in the definition of two-dimensional heavy-tailed distributions. Namely, we introduce the classes of two-dimensional long-tailed, of twodimensional dominatedly varying and of two-dimensional consistently varying…

概率论 · 数学 2025-06-25 Dimitrios G. Konstantinides , Charalampos D. Passalidis

The negative multinomial distribution is a multivariate generalization of the negative binomial distribution. In this paper, we consider the problem of estimating an unknown matrix of probabilities on the basis of observations of negative…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-10-30 Yasuyuki Hamura , Tatsuya Kubokawa

In distributionally robust optimization the probability distribution of the uncertain problem parameters is itself uncertain, and a fictitious adversary, e.g., nature, chooses the worst distribution from within a known ambiguity set. A…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-05-10 Etienne de Klerk , Daniel Kuhn , Krzysztof Postek

The multidimensional distributions with heavy tails attracted recently the attention of several papers on Applied Probability. However, the most of the works of the last decades are focused on multivariate regular variation, while the rest…

概率论 · 数学 2026-03-10 Dimitrios G. Konstantinides , Charalampos D. Passalidis

In this paper, an optimization problem with uncertain constraint coefficients is considered. Possibility theory is used to model the uncertainty. Namely, a joint possibility distribution in constraint coefficient realizations, called…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-09-07 Romain Guillaume , Adam Kasperski , Pawel Zielinski

Hidden regular variation is a sub-model of multivariate regular variation and facilitates accurate estimation of joint tail probabilities. We generalize the model of hidden regular variation to what we call hidden domain of attraction. We…

概率论 · 数学 2011-10-05 Abhimanyu Mitra , Sidney I. Resnick

Marginal expected shortfall is unquestionably one of the most popular systemic risk measures. Studying its extreme behaviour is particularly relevant for risk protection against severe global financial market downturns. In this context,…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-04-18 Simone A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli , Matteo Schiavone

This paper investigates ruin probabilities for a two-dimensional fractional Brownian risk model with a proportional reinsurance scheme. We focus on joint and simultaneous ruin probabilities in a finite-time horizon. The risk processes of…

概率论 · 数学 2020-10-02 Krzysztof Kȩpczyński

In this article, we define a matrix multinomial distribution. We prove some properties of the matrix multinomial distribution. We prove that the matrix Poisson distribution can be used as an approximation to the matrix multinomial…

概率论 · 数学 2021-04-30 Yuriy Yurchenko

We introduce a class of dependence structures, that we call the Multiple Risk Factor (MRF) dependence structures. On the one hand, the new constructions extend the popular CreditRisk+ approach, and as such they formally describe default…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2016-07-19 Jianxi Su , Edward Furman

We apply the theory of linear recurrence sequences to find an expression for the ultimate ruin probability in a discrete-time risk process. We assume the claims follow an arbitrary distribution with support $\{0,1,\ldots,m\}$, for some…

概率论 · 数学 2023-02-14 David J. Santana , Luis Rincón

The class of subweibull distributions has recently been shown to generalize the important properties of subexponential and subgaussian random variables. We describe alternative characterizations of subweibull distributions and detail the…

概率论 · 数学 2025-11-12 F. William Townes

This paper studies risk balancing features in an insurance market by evaluating ruin probabilities for single and multiple components of a multivariate compound Poisson risk process. The dependence of the components of the process is…

概率论 · 数学 2020-02-04 Anita Behme , Claudia Klüppelberg , Gesine Reinert

We analyze systems of agents sharing light-tailed risky claims issued by different financial objects. Assuming exponentially distributed claims, we obtain that both agents' and system's losses follow generalized exponential mixture…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2016-12-22 Claudia Klüppelberg , Miriam Isabel Seifert

We present an approach to the dynamic valuation of exposure risks in the multi-period setting, which incorporates a dynamic and multiple diversification of risks in Pareto optimal sense. This approach extends classical indifference premium…

概率论 · 数学 2009-06-10 Kei Fukuda , Akihiko Inoue , Yumiharu Nakano