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For small area estimation of area-level data, the Fay-Herriot model is extensively used as a model based method. In the Fay-Herriot model, it is conventionally assumed that the sampling variances are known whereas estimators of sampling…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-05-15 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Hiromasa Tamae , Tatsuya Kubokawa

A two-stage normal hierarchical model called the Fay--Herriot model and the empirical Bayes estimator are widely used to provide indirect and model-based estimates of means in small areas. However, the performance of the empirical Bayes…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-08-26 Shonosuke Sugasawa

Statistical agencies are often asked to produce small area estimates (SAEs) for positively skewed variables. When domain sample sizes are too small to support direct estimators, effects of skewness of the response variable can be large. As…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-09 Sepideh Mosaferi , Malay Ghosh , Rebecca C. Steorts

We consider a small area estimation model under square-root transformation in the presence of functional measurement error. When measurement error is present, the Bayes predictor can no longer be used as it depends on the covariates even if…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-27 Ka Long Keith Ho , Masayo Y. Hirose , Malay Ghosh

This paper is concerned with the small area estimation in the multivariate Fay-Herriot model where covariance matrix of random effects are fully unknown. The covariance matrix is estimated by a Prasad-Rao type consistent estimator, and the…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-04-27 Tsubasa Ito , Tatsuya Kubokawa

Empirical Bayes small area estimation based on the well-known Fay-Herriot model may produce unreliable estimates when outlying areas exist. Existing robust methods against outliers or model misspecification are generally inefficient when…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-28 Daisuke Kurisu , Takuya Ishihara , Shonosuke Sugasawa

Two-stage hierarchical models have been widely used in small area estimation to produce indirect estimates of areal means. When the areas are treated exchangeably and the model parameters are assumed to be the same over all areas, we might…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-01-10 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Yuki Kawakubo , Kota Ogasawara

Small area estimation models are typically based on the normality assumption of response variables. More recently, attention has been drawn to the transformation of the original variables to justify the assumption of normality. Variance…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-08 Masayo Y. Hirose , Malay Ghosh , Mayumi Oka

In real applications of small area estimation, one often encounters data with positive response values. The use of a parametric transformation for positive response values in the Fay-Herriot model is proposed for such a case. An…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-03-31 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Tatsuya Kubokawa

Small area estimation (SAE) plays a central role in survey statistics and epidemiology, providing reliable estimates for domains with limited sample sizes. The multivariate Fay-Herriot model has been extensively used for this purpose,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-22 Shushi Nishina , Takahiro Onizuka , Shintaro Hashimoto

We consider benchmarked empirical Bayes (EB) estimators under the basic area-level model of Fay and Herriot while requiring the standard benchmarking constraint. In this paper we determine the excess mean squared error (MSE) from…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-04-08 Rebecca C. Steorts , Malay Ghosh

Small area estimation (SAE) produces estimates of population parameters for geographic and demographic subgroups with limited sample sizes. Such estimates are critical for informing policy decisions, ranging from poverty mapping to social…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-24 Sho Kawano , Paul A. Parker , Zehang Richard Li

In this paper we derive a second-order unbiased (or nearly unbiased) mean squared prediction error (MSPE) estimator of the empirical best linear unbiased predictor (EBLUP) of a small area mean for a semi-parametric extension to the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-26 Shijie Chen , P. Lahiri , J. N. K. Rao

Small area estimators that ignore the sampling design lack design consistency when the sampling mechanism is complex and may be severely biased under informative designs. Existing procedures that account for the survey weights under…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-12 William Acero , Domingo Morales , Isabel Molina

The Fay-Herriot model is a standard model for direct survey estimators in which the true quantity of interest, the superpopulation mean, is latent and its estimation is improved through the use of auxiliary covariates. In the context of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-10-29 Aaron T. Porter , Christopher K. Wikle , Scott H. Holan

Auxiliary information is increasingly available from administrative and other data sources, but it is often incomplete and of non-probability origin. We propose a two-step small area estimation approach in which the first step relies on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-16 Donatas Šlevinskas , Ieva Burakauskaitė , Andrius Čiginas

In the small area estimation, the empirical best linear unbiased predictor (EBLUP) in the linear mixed model is useful because it gives a stable estimate for a mean of a smallarea. For measuring uncertainty of EBLUP, much of research is…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-06-08 Tsubasa Ito , Tatsuya Kubokawa

We introduce a new small area predictor when the Fay-Herriot normal error model is fitted to a logarithmically transformed response variable, and the covariate is measured with error. This framework has been previously studied by Mosaferi…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-23 Sepideh Mosaferi , Malay Ghosh , Shonosuke Sugasawa

In this paper, we consider parametric transformed Fay-Herriot models, and clarify conditions on transformations under which the estimator of the transformation is consistent. It is shown that the dual power transformation satisfies the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-04-07 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Tatsuya Kubokawa

The two-level normal hierarchical model (NHM) has played a critical role in the theory of small area estimation (SAE), one of the growing areas in statistics with numerous applications in different disciplines. In this paper, we address…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-01-17 Masayo Yoshimori Hirose , Partha Lahiri
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