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For multivariate distributions in the domain of attraction of a max-stable distribution, the tail copula and the stable tail dependence function are equivalent ways to capture the dependence in the upper tail. The empirical versions of…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-10-09 John H. J. Einmahl , Johan Segers

Correlation mixtures of elliptical copulas arise when the correlation parameter is driven itself by a latent random process. For such copulas, both penultimate and asymptotic tail dependence are much larger than for ordinary elliptical…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-12-21 Hans Manner , Johan Segers

Analysing dependent risks is an important task for insurance companies. A dependency is reflected in the fact that information about one random variable provides information about the likely distribution of values of another random…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-03-22 Sen Hu , Adrian O'Hagan

We consider multivariate extreme value statistics for independent but nonidentically distributed random vectors. In particular, the data may have varying tail copulas and also heteroscedastic marginal distributions. Assuming smoothly…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-04-14 John H. J. Einmahl , Chen Zhou

A notion of tail dependence based on operator regular variation is introduced for copulas, and the standard tail dependence used in the copula literature is included as a special case. The non-standard tail dependence with marginal power…

概率论 · 数学 2017-09-11 Haijun Li

We introduce a new functional measure of tail dependence for weakly dependent (asymptotically independent) random vectors, termed weak tail dependence function. The new measure is defined at the level of copulas and we compute it for…

概率论 · 数学 2016-01-27 Peter Tankov

We develop an asymptotic theory for extremes in decomposable graphical models by presenting results applicable to a range of extremal dependence types. Specifically, we investigate the weak limit of the distribution of suitably normalised…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-02-13 Adrian Casey , Ioannis Papastathopoulos

Tail dependence plays an essential role in the characterization of joint extreme events in multivariate data. However, most standard tail dependence parameters assume continuous margins. This note presents a form of tail dependence suitable…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-02-04 Victory Idowu

Recently, the concept of tail dependence has been discussed in financial applications related to market or credit risk. The multivariate extreme value theory is a proper tool to measure and model dependence, for example, of large loss…

应用统计 · 统计学 2011-09-27 Marta Ferreira

We demonstrate both analytically and numerically that the existing methods for measuring tail dependence in copulas may sometimes underestimate the extent of extreme co-movements of dependent risks and, therefore, may not always comply with…

概率论 · 数学 2016-07-19 Edward Furman , Jianxi Su , Ričardas Zitikis

We propose a copula-based measure of asymmetry between the lower and upper tail probabilities of bivariate distributions. The proposed measure has a simple form and possesses some desirable properties as a measure of asymmetry. The limit of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-08-05 Shogo Kato , Toshinao Yoshiba , Shinto Eguchi

In this paper, we establish the second-order distributional expansions of normalized maxima of n independent observations, where the ith observation follows from a normal copula with its correlation coefficient being a monotone continuous…

概率论 · 数学 2017-06-02 Rui Wang , Xin Liao , Zuoxiang Peng

Tail dependence refers to clustering of extreme events. In the context of financial risk management, the clustering of high-severity risks has a devastating effect on the well-being of firms and is thus of pivotal importance in risk…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-07-19 Edward Furman , Alexey Kuznetsov , Jianxi Su , Ricardas Zitikis

A new index based on empirical copulas, termed the Copula Statistic (CoS), is introduced for assessing the strength of multivariate dependence and for testing statistical independence. New properties of the copulas are proved. They allow us…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-12-22 Mohsen Ben Hassine , Lamine Mili , Kiran Karra

Measures of tail dependence between random variables aim to numerically quantify the degree of association between their extreme realizations. Existing tail dependence coefficients (TDCs) are based on an asymptotic analysis of relevant…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-06-11 Davide Lauria , Svetlozar T. Rachev , A. Alexandre Trindade

A theoretical expression is derived for the mean squared error of a nonparametric estimator of the tail dependence coefficient, depending on a threshold that defines which rank delimits the tails of a distribution. We propose a new method…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-25 Matthieu Garcin , Maxime L. D. Nicolas

Risk measures like Marginal Expected Shortfall and Marginal Mean Excess quantify conditional risk and in particular, aid in the understanding of systemic risk. In many such scenarios, models exhibiting heavy tails in the margins and…

概率论 · 数学 2018-02-07 Bikramjit Das , Vicky Fasen-Hartmann

Quantifying tail dependence is an important issue in insurance and risk management. The prevalent tail dependence coefficient (TDC), however, is known to underestimate the degree of tail dependence and it does not capture non-exchangeable…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-02-14 Takaaki Koike , Shogo Kato , Marius Hofert

We propose a new measure related with tail dependence in terms of correlation: quantile correlation coefficient of random variables X, Y. The quantile correlation is defined by the geometric mean of two quantile regression slopes of X on Y…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-03-19 Ji-Eun Choi , Dong Wan Shin

It is known that the normalized maxima of a sequence of independent and identically distributed bivariate normal random vectors with correlation coefficient $\rho \in (-1,1)$ is asymptotically independent, which may seriously underestimate…

概率论 · 数学 2014-02-25 Enkelejd Hashorva , Liang Peng , Zhichao Weng
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