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The robust Wald confidence interval (CI) for the Cox model is commonly used when the model may be misspecified or when weights are applied. However it can perform poorly when there are few events in one or both treatment groups, as may…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-19 Yongwu Shao , Xu Guo

Monte Carlo methods are used to approximate the means, $\mu$, of random variables $Y$, whose distributions are not known explicitly. The key idea is that the average of a random sample, $Y_1, ..., Y_n$, tends to $\mu$ as $n$ tends to…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-01-16 Fred J. Hickernell , Lan Jiang , Yuewei Liu , Art Owen

We study the frequentist properties of confidence intervals for the On-Off problem. The methods include all those in common use today. We derive explicit formulas for the limits and calculate the true coverage and the expected lengths of…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2015-12-09 Wolfgang A. Rolke

For estimating a lower bounded parametric function in the framework of Marchand and Strawderman (2006), we provide through a unified approach a class of Bayesian confidence intervals with credibility $1-\alpha$ and frequentist coverage…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-12-21 Eric Marchand , William E. Strawderman

Matching algorithms are commonly used to predict matches between items in a collection. For example, in 1:1 face verification, a matching algorithm predicts whether two face images depict the same person. Accurately assessing the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-30 Riccardo Fogliato , Pratik Patil , Pietro Perona

The following questions are discussed: ``Why confidence intervals are a hot topic?''; ``Are confidence intervals objective?''; ``What is the usefulness of coverage?''; ``How to obtain useful information from experiment?''; ``The confidence…

高能物理 - 实验 · 物理学 2007-05-23 C. Giunti

This paper studies the construction of adaptive confidence intervals under Huber's contamination model when the contamination proportion is unknown. For the robust confidence interval of a Gaussian mean, we show that the optimal length of…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-06-05 Yuetian Luo , Chao Gao

Income inequality measures are often used as an indication of economic health. How to obtain reliable confidence intervals for these measures based on sampled data has been studied extensively in recent years. To preserve confidentiality,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-07-22 Dilanka S. Dedduwakumara , Luke A. Prendergast

The median absolute deviation (MAD) is a robust measure of scale that is simple to implement and easy to interpret. Motivated by this, we introduce interval estimators of the MAD to make reliable inferences for dispersion for a single…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-08-06 Chandima N. P. G. Arachchige , Luke A. Prendergast

In this paper, we consider the problem of constructing confidence interval for the correlation coefficient in a bivariate normal distribution. For this problem, we found fifteen approaches in literatures. Also, we have proposed a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-10-31 Mohammad Reza Kazemi , Ali Akbar Jafari

In this paper reference and probability-matching priors are derived for the univariate Student $t$-distribution. These priors generally lead to procedures with properties frequentists can relate to while still retaining Bayes validity. The…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-04-16 A. J. van der Merwe , M. J. von Maltitz , J. H. Meyer

We compare two ways of constructing confidence intervals for the moments-matching parameter estimates of a Gaussian spatio-temporal Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. It was found that those obtained via pairwise likelihood approximations had…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-07-25 Michele Nguyen , Almut E. D. Veraart

The Tweedie exponential dispersion family is a popular choice among many to model insurance losses that consist of zero-inflated semicontinuous data. In such data, it is often important to obtain credibility (inference) of the most…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-17 Alokesh Manna , Zijian Huang , Dipak K. Dey , Yuwen Gu , Robin He

Statistical inference of the high-dimensional regression coefficients is challenging because the uncertainty introduced by the model selection procedure is hard to account for. A critical question remains unsettled; that is, is it possible…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-06 Xiaorui Zhu , Yichen Qin , Peng Wang

Conformal prediction (CP) is a wrapper around traditional machine learning models, giving coverage guarantees under the sole assumption of exchangeability; in classification problems, for a chosen significance level $\varepsilon$, CP…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-23 Javier Abad , Umang Bhatt , Adrian Weller , Giovanni Cherubin

A generalization of the classical concordance correlation coefficient (CCC) is considered under a three-level design where multiple raters rate every subject over time, and each rater is rating every subject multiple times at each measuring…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-15 Soumya Sahu , Thomas Mathew , Dulal K. Bhaumik

Under standard regularity assumptions, we provide simple approximations for specific classes of fiducial and confidence distributions and discuss their connections with objective Bayesian posteriors. For a real parameter the approximations…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-10-18 Piero Veronese , Eugenio Melilli

This letter gives approximations to an integral appearing in the formula for downlink coverage probability of a typical user in Poisson point process (PPP) based stochastic geometry frameworks of the form $\int_0^\infty \exp\{ - (Ax + B…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2015-10-13 Sudarshan Guruacharya , Hina Tabassum , Ekram Hossain

This paper revisits the simple, but empirically salient, problem of inference on a real-valued parameter that is partially identified through upper and lower bounds with asymptotically normal estimators. A simple confidence interval is…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-01-01 Jörg Stoye

In recent machine learning systems, confidence scores are being utilized more and more to manage selective prediction, whereby a model can abstain from making a prediction when it is unconfident. Yet, conventional metrics like accuracy,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-27 Kourosh Shahnazari , Seyed Moein Ayyoubzadeh , Mohammadali Keshtparvar , Pegah Ghaffari