相关论文: Tail estimates for Markovian rough paths
The estimation of the extremal dependence structure is spoiled by the impact of the bias, which increases with the number of observations used for the estimation. Already known in the univariate setting, the bias correction procedure is…
In this paper, we study the problem of estimating the autocovariance sequence resulting from a reversible Markov chain. A motivating application for studying this problem is the estimation of the asymptotic variance in central limit…
In this paper, the multivariate tail covariance (MTCov) for generalized skew-elliptical distributions is considered. Some special cases for this distribution, such as generalized skew-normal, generalized skew student-t, generalized…
The analysis of extremal dependence in high dimensions has recently attracted considerable interest. Existing methodology primarily focuses on modeling and estimation of extremal dependence structures, often supported by concentration…
We consider the sums $S_n=\xi_1+\cdots+\xi_n$ of independent identically distributed random variables. We do not assume that the $\xi$'s have a finite mean. Under subexponential type conditions on distribution of the summands, we find the…
In this paper, we provide novel optimal (or near optimal) convergence rates for a clipped version of the stochastic subgradient method. We consider nonsmooth convex problems over possibly unbounded domains, under heavy-tailed noise that…
We prove a class of modified paraboloid restriction estimates with a loss of angular derivatives for the full set of paraboloid restriction conjecture indices. This result generalizes the paraboloid restriction estimate in radial case from…
We derive in this preprint the moment and exponential tail estimates, sufficient conditions for the Non-Central Limit Theorem (NCLT) in the ordinary one-dimensional space as well as in the space of continuous functions for the properly…
Consider an expander graph in which a $\mu$ fraction of the vertices are marked. A random walk starts at a uniform vertex and at each step continues to a random neighbor. Gillman showed in 1993 that the number of marked vertices seen in a…
In this work, we establish a general relationship between the enumeration of weighted directed paths and skew Schur functions, extending work by Bousquet-M\'elou, who expressed generating functions of discrete excursions in terms of…
In this paper, we define a kernel estimator for the tail index of a Pareto-type distribution under random right-truncation and establish its asymptotic normality. A simulation study shows that, compared to the estimators recently proposed…
The paper deals with a comprehensive theory of mappings, whose local behavior can be described by means of linear subspaces, contained in the graphs of two (primal and dual) generalized derivatives. This class of mappings includes the…
We investigate the right tail behavior of a certain class of GMC ratios, reminiscent of H\"older's inequality. We start with a heuristic argument to justify the optimal exponent in the tail estimate. Since Kahane's convexity inequality does…
This paper studies the light-tailed asymptotics of the stationary tail probability vectors of a Markov chain of M/G/1 type. Almost all related studies have focused on the typical case, where the transition block matrices in the non-boundary…
An analytical formula for the occurence probability of Markovian stochastic paths with repeatedly visited and/or equal departure rates is derived. This formula is essential for an efficient investigation of the trajectories belonging to…
In this paper we derive the tail asymptotics of the product of two dependent Weibull-type risks, which is of interest in various statistical and applied probability problems. Our results extend some recent findings of Schlueter and Fischer…
We extend classical results by A. V. Nagaev [Izv. Akad. Nauk UzSSR Ser. Fiz.--Mat. Nauk 6 (1969) 17--22, Theory Probab. Appl. 14 (1969) 51--64, 193--208] on large deviations for sums of i.i.d. regularly varying random variables to partial…
Correcting for skewness can result in more accurate tail probability approximations in the central limit theorem for sums of independent random variables. In this paper, we extend the theory to sums of local statistics of independent random…
The Mat\'ern covariance function is a popular choice for prediction in spatial statistics and uncertainty quantification literature. A key benefit of the Mat\'ern class is that it is possible to get precise control over the degree of…
The Eldan's stochastic localization is a new kind of stochastic evolution in the space of probability measures which provides a novel way to study high dimensional convex body. A central object in the study of the stochastic localization is…