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We propose a framework to model the distribution of sequential data coming from a set of entities connected in a graph with a known topology. The method is based on a mixture of shared hidden Markov models (HMMs), which are jointly trained…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-04-02 Diogo Pernes , Jaime S. Cardoso

Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) are fundamental for modeling sequential data, yet learning their parameters from observations remains challenging. Classical methods like the Baum-Welch algorithm are computationally intensive and prone to local…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-27 Reginald Zhiyan Chen , Heng-Sheng Chang , Prashant G. Mehta

In the residential sector, electric water heaters are appliances with a relatively high power consumption and a significant thermal inertia, which is particularly suitable for Demand Response schemes. The success of efficient DR schemes via…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-04-08 Thierry Zufferey , Gustavo Valverde , Gabriela Hug

Spurred in part by the ever-growing number of sensors and web-based methods of collecting data, the use of Intensive Longitudinal Data (ILD) is becoming more common in the social and behavioural sciences. The ILD collected in this field are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-01-25 Jasper Ginn , Sebastian Mildiner Moraga , Emmeke Aarts

In this demonstration, we present an open source toolkit for evaluating non-intrusive load monitoring research; a field which aims to disaggregate a household's total electricity consumption into individual appliances. The toolkit contains:…

其他计算机科学 · 计算机科学 2014-11-11 Jack Kelly , Nipun Batra , Oliver Parson , Haimonti Dutta , William Knottenbelt , Alex Rogers , Amarjeet Singh , Mani Srivastava

Non-intrusive load monitoring (NILM) aims at energy consumption and appliance state information retrieval from aggregated consumption measurements, with the help of signal processing and machine learning algorithms. Representation learning…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-09-09 Matthias Kahl , Daniel Jorde , Hans-Arno Jacobsen

This paper explores the application of Hidden Markov Models (HMM) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural networks for economic forecasting, focusing on predicting CPI inflation rates. The study explores a new approach that integrates…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-07 Guhan Sivakumar

Sensors are an integral part of modern Internet of Things (IoT) applications. There is a critical need for the analysis of heterogeneous multivariate temporal data obtained from the individual sensors of these systems. In this paper we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-05-14 Yujing Chen , Yue Ning , Zheng Chai , Huzefa Rangwala

Federated learning (FL) enables collaborative model training across distributed devices while preserving data privacy. However, balancing energy efficiency and fair participation while ensuring high model accuracy remains challenging in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-20 Ouiame Marnissi , Hajar EL Hammouti , El Houcine Bergou

We consider the problem of power demand forecasting in residential micro-grids. Several approaches using ARMA models, support vector machines, and recurrent neural networks that perform one-step ahead predictions have been proposed in the…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2017-06-30 Riccardo Bonetto , Michele Rossi

The objective of this article is to study the asymptotic behavior of a new particle filtering approach in the context of hidden Markov models (HMMs). In particular, we develop an algorithm where the latent-state sequence is segmented into…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-09-16 Hock Peng Chan , Chiang Wee Heng , Ajay Jasra

With the growing amount of cyber threats, the need for development of high-assurance cyber systems is becoming increasingly important. The objective of this paper is to address the challenges of modeling and detecting sophisticated network…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2019-10-31 Tawfeeq Shawly , Ali Elghariani , Jason Kobes , Arif Ghafoor

Non-intrusive Appliance Load Monitoring (NALM) aims to recognize individual appliance usage from the main meter without indoor sensors. However, existing systems struggle to balance dataset construction efficiency and event/state…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-10-23 Zijian Wang , Xingzhou Zhang , Yifan Wang , Xiaohui Peng , Zhiwei Xu

Future grid management systems will coordinate distributed production and storage resources to manage, in a cost effective fashion, the increased load and variability brought by the electrification of transportation and by a higher share of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-05-21 Christian Capezza , Biagio Palumbo , Yannig Goude , Simon N. Wood , Matteo Fasiolo

Non-intrusive Load Monitoring (NILM) is an established technique for effective and cost-efficient electricity consumption management. The method is used to estimate appliance-level power consumption from aggregated power measurements. This…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-11-16 Amanie Azzam , Saba Sanami , Amir G. Aghdam

To respond to volatility and congestion in the power grid, demand response (DR) mechanisms allow for shaping the load compared to a base load profile. When tapping on a large population of heterogeneous appliances as a DR resource, the…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2014-04-09 Mahnoosh Alizadeh , Anna Scaglione , Andy Applebaum , George Kesidis , Karl Levitt

Improving smart grid system management is crucial in the fight against climate change, and enabling consumers to play an active role in this effort is a significant challenge for electricity suppliers. In this regard, millions of smart…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-09 Adrien Petralia , Paul Boniol , Philippe Charpentier , Themis Palpanas

Accurate load forecasting is critical for electricity market operations and other real-time decision-making tasks in power systems. This paper considers the short-term load forecasting (STLF) problem for residential customers within a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-24 Yuqi Zhou , Arun Sukumaran Nair , David Ganger , Abhinandan Tripathi , Chaitanya Baone , Hao Zhu

Bayesian nonparametric methods have recently transformed emerging areas within data science. One such promising method, the infinite hidden Markov model (iHMM), generalizes the HMM which itself has become a workhorse in single molecule data…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2017-06-28 Ioannis Sgouralis , Steve Presse

This paper is concerned with the computational complexity of learning the Hidden Markov Model (HMM). Although HMMs are some of the most widely used tools in sequential and time series modeling, they are cryptographically hard to learn in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-27 Sham M. Kakade , Akshay Krishnamurthy , Gaurav Mahajan , Cyril Zhang
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