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We observe a $N\times M$ matrix of independent, identically distributed Gaussian random variables which are centered except for elements of some submatrix of size $n\times m$ where the mean is larger than some $a>0$. The submatrix is sparse…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-03-25 Cristina Butucea , Yuri I. Ingster , Irina Suslina

In this article, we introduce the notion of free subexponentiality, which extends the notion of subexponentiality in the classical probability setup to the noncommutative probability spaces under freeness. We show that distributions with…

概率论 · 数学 2013-03-19 Rajat Subhra Hazra , Krishanu Maulik

The authors announce a general tail estimate, called a decoupling inequality, for a symmetrized sum of non-linear $k$-correlations of $n>k$ independent random variables.

泛函分析 · 数学 2016-09-06 Victor H. de la Peña , Stephen J. Montgomery-Smith

We consider the model of hashing with linear probing and we establish the moderate and large deviations for the total displacement in sparse tables. In this context, Weibull-like-tailed random variables appear. Deviations for sums of such…

概率论 · 数学 2021-12-16 Thierry Klein , A Lagnoux , P Petit

The term moderate deviations is often used in the literature to mean a class of large deviation principles that, in some sense, fills the gap between a convergence in probability of some random variables to a constant and a weak convergence…

概率论 · 数学 2024-11-20 Rita Giuliano , Claudio Macci , Barbara Pacchiarotti

The well-known "Janson's inequality" gives Poisson-like upper bounds for the lower tail probability \Pr(X \le (1-\eps)\E X) when X is the sum of dependent indicator random variables of a special form. We show that, for large deviations,…

概率论 · 数学 2017-12-12 Svante Janson , Lutz Warnke

Identifying directions where extreme events occur is a major challenge in multivariate extreme value analysis. In this paper, we use the concept of sparse regular variation introduced by Meyer and Wintenberger (2021)} to infer the tail…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-01-09 Nicolas Meyer , Olivier Wintenberger

We prove nonasymptotic matrix concentration inequalities for the spectral norm of (sub)gaussian random matrices with centered independent entries that capture fluctuations at the Tracy-Widom scale. This considerably improves previous bounds…

概率论 · 数学 2025-03-21 Tatiana Brailovskaya , Ramon van Handel

In the environmental modeling field, the exploratory analysis of responses often exhibits spatial correlation as well as some non-Gaussian attributes such as skewness and/or heavy-tailedness. Consequently, we propose a general spatial model…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-07-25 Behzad Mahmoudian

In this paper, we compute multivariate tail risk probabilities where the marginal risks are heavy-tailed and the dependence structure is a Gaussian copula. The marginal heavy-tailed risks are modeled using regular variation which leads to a…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2023-04-12 Bikramjit Das , Vicky Fasen-Hartmann

We consider the Gumbel or extreme value statistics describing the distribution function p_G(x_max) of the maximum values of a random field x within patches of fixed size. We present, for smooth Gaussian random fields in two and three…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2015-05-27 S. Colombi , O. Davis , J. Devriendt , S. Prunet , J. Silk

In this paper, we provide a proof for the Hanson-Wright inequalities for sparsified quadratic forms in subgaussian random variables. This provides useful concentration inequalities for sparse subgaussian random vectors in two ways. Let $X =…

概率论 · 数学 2017-02-21 Shuheng Zhou

We study extremal statistics and return intervals in stationary long-range correlated sequences for which the underlying probability density function is bounded and uniform. The extremal statistics we consider e.g., maximum relative to…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-05-13 N. R. Moloney , J. Davidsen

An infinite convergent sum of independent and identically distributed random variables discounted by a multiplicative random walk is called perpetuity, because of a possible actuarial application. We give three disjoint groups of sufficient…

We introduce an approach to quickly and accurately approximate the cumulative distribution function of multivariate Gaussian distributions arising from spatial Gaussian processes. This approximation is trivially parallelizable and simple to…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-07-31 Mauricio Nascimento , Benjamin A. Shaby

In this work, we propose a class of importance sampling (IS) estimators for estimating the right tail probability of a sum of continuous random variables based on a change of variables to $L^1$ polar coordinates in which the radial and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-09-19 Thomas Taimre , Patrick J. Laub

We present an analytical technique to compute the probability of rare events in which the largest eigenvalue of a random matrix is atypically large (i.e.\ the right tail of its large deviations). The results also transfer to the left tail…

统计力学 · 物理学 2021-05-26 Antoine Maillard

This paper presents precise large deviation estimates for solutions to stochastic fixed point equations of the type V =_d f(V), where f(v) = Av + g(v) for a random function g(v) = o(v) a.s. as v tends to infinity. Specifically, we provide…

概率论 · 数学 2011-03-15 Jeffrey F. Collamore , Anand N. Vidyashankar

We study the accuracy of estimating the covariance and the precision matrix of a $D$-variate sub-Gaussian distribution along a prescribed subspace or direction using the finite sample covariance. Our results show that the estimation…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-01-14 Zeljko Kereta , Timo Klock

We develop a new formulation of Stein's method to obtain computable upper bounds on the total variation distance between the geometric distribution and a distribution of interest. Our framework reduces the problem to the construction of a…

概率论 · 数学 2013-03-21 Erol A. Peköz , Adrian Röllin , Nathan Ross
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