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It is well known that a supercritical single-type Bienyam\'e-Galton-Watson process can be viewed as a decomposable branching process formed by two subtypes of particles: those having infinite line of descent and those who have finite number…

概率论 · 数学 2012-11-21 Serik Sagitov , Altynay Shaimerdenova

Coalescent theory is the study of random processes where particles may join each other to form clusters as time evolves. These notes provide an introduction to some aspects of the mathematics of coalescent processes and their applications…

概率论 · 数学 2009-09-23 Nathanael Berestycki

We study the evolution of the population size distribution of a critical Galton-Watson process with infinite variance of the offspring size of particles assuming that the population size is unusually small at the distant moment $n$ of…

概率论 · 数学 2026-02-03 Vladimir Vatutin , Elena Dyakonova

Begin continuous time random walks from every vertex of a graph and have particles coalesce when they collide. We use a duality relation with the voter model to prove the process is site recurrent on bounded degree graphs, and for…

We study $\lambda$-biased branching random walks on Bienaym\'e--Galton--Watson trees in discrete time. We consider the maximal displacement at time $n$, $\max_{\vert u \vert =n} \vert X(u) \vert$, and show that it almost surely grows at a…

概率论 · 数学 2026-03-02 Julien Berestycki , Nina Gantert , David Geldbach , Quan Shi

We consider a continuous-time Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson process with logistic competition in a regime of weak competition, or equivalently of a large carrying capacity. Individuals reproduce at random times independently of each other but…

概率论 · 数学 2025-01-29 Raphaël Forien

Consider a population where individuals give birth at constant rate during their lifetimes to i.i.d. copies of themselves. Individuals bear clonally inherited types, but (neutral) mutations may happen at the birth events. The smallest…

概率论 · 数学 2013-05-29 Cécile Delaporte

We investigate the infinitely many demes limit of the genealogy of a sample of individuals from a subdivided population subject to sporadic mass extinction events. By exploiting a separation of timescales property of Wright's island model,…

概率论 · 数学 2009-01-29 Jesse E. Taylor , Amandine Veber

In a Bienaym\'{e}-Galton-Watson process for which there is a positiveprobability for individuals of having no offspring, there is a subtlebalance and dependence between the sterile nodes (the dead nodes or leaves)and the prolific ones (the…

概率论 · 数学 2023-02-17 Thierry Huillet , Servet Martinez

Take a continuous-time Galton-Watson tree and pick $k$ distinct particles uniformly from those alive at a time $T$. What does their genealogical tree look like? The case $k=2$ has been studied by several authors, and the near-critical…

概率论 · 数学 2019-10-07 Samuel G. G. Johnston

We analyse sequential Markov coalescent algorithms for populations with demographic structure: for a bottleneck model, a population-divergence model, and for a two-island model with migration. The sequential Markov coalescent method is an…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2025-10-01 A. Eriksson , B. Mahjani , B. Mehlig

Given an evolutionary model, such as Wright--Fisher (WF) or Moran, the n-coalescent problem consists of going backward in time to find for example the time to the most recent common ancestor (MRCA) and the topology of the tree. In the…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2025-11-14 Bahram Houchmandzadeh

A density-dependent branching process is a particle system in which individuals reproduce independently, but in a way that depends on the current population size. This feature can model a wide range of ecological interactions at the cost of…

概率论 · 数学 2026-01-23 Mathilde André , Félix Foutel-Rodier , Emmanuel Schertzer

We consider a Galton-Watson process $\mathbf{Z}% (n)=(Z_{1}(n),Z_{2}(n))$ with two types of particles. Particles of type 2 may produce offspring of both types while particles of type 1 may produce particles of their own type only. Let…

概率论 · 数学 2015-08-28 Charline Smadi , Vladimir A. Vatutin

Reinforced Galton--Watson processes describe the dynamics of a population where reproduction events are reinforced, in the sense that offspring numbers of forebears can be repeated randomly by descendants. More specifically, the evolution…

概率论 · 数学 2025-02-24 Jean Bertoin , Bastien Mallein

When identical particles on a line collide, they merge and continue as one. Exact determinantal formulas have long been available for particles conditioned never to collide, but collisions change the number of particles, and exact…

概率论 · 数学 2026-03-10 Piotr Śniady

The contact process is a simple model for the spread of an infection in a structured population. We consider a variant of this process on Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson trees, where vertices are equipped with a random fitness representing…

概率论 · 数学 2024-10-17 Natalia Cardona-Tobón , Marcel Ortgiese

Compact binary systems coalesce over time due to the radiation of gravitational waves, following the field equations of general relativity. Conservation of energy and angular momentum gives a mathematical description for the evolution of…

高能天体物理现象 · 物理学 2020-04-10 Lutendo Nyadzani , Soebur Razzaque

We study the evolution of a particle system whose genealogy is given by a supercritical continuous time Galton--Watson tree. The particles move independently according to a Markov process and when a branching event occurs, the offspring…

We examine the population growth system called Q-processes. This is defined by the Galton-Watson Branching system conditioned on non-extinction of its trajectory in the remote future. In this paper we observe the total progeny up to time…

概率论 · 数学 2023-06-19 Azam A. Imomov , Zuhriddin A. Nazarov