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We discuss the asymptotic behavior of conversions between two independent and identical distributions up to the second-order conversion rate when the conversion is produced by a deterministic function from the input probability space to the…

量子物理 · 物理学 2017-11-22 Wataru Kumagai , Masahito Hayashi

From the formation of ice in small clusters of water molecules to the mass raids of army ant colonies, the emergent behavior of collectives depends critically on their size. At the same time, common wisdom holds that such behaviors are…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2025-10-08 Jacob Calvert , Andréa W. Richa , Dana Randall

A random phenomenon may have two sources of random variation: an unstable identity and a set of external variation-generating factors. When only a single source is active, two mutually exclusive extreme scenarios may ensue that result in…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-07-28 Haim Shore

Machine learning systems increasingly depend on pipelines of multiple algorithms to provide high quality and well structured predictions. This paper argues interaction effects between clustering and prediction (e.g. classification,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-01-01 Matt Barnes , Artur Dubrawski

Researchers are more likely to share notable findings. As a result, published findings tend to overstate the magnitude of real-world phenomena. This bias is a natural concern for asset pricing research, which has found hundreds of return…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2023-09-22 Andrew Y. Chen , Tom Zimmermann

Benford's law states that many data sets have a bias towards lower leading digits (about $30\%$ are 1s). There are numerous applications, from designing efficient computers to detecting tax, voter and image fraud. It's important to know…

概率论 · 数学 2016-01-20 Victoria Cuff , Allison Lewis , Steven J. Miller

We provide a reason for Bayesian updating, in the Bernoulli case, even when it is assumed that observations are independent and identically distributed with a fixed but unknown parameter $\theta_0$. The motivation relies on the use of loss…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-06-08 Pier Giovanni Bissiri , Stephen G. Walker

Stochastic optimization problems often involve data distributions that change in reaction to the decision variables. This is the case for example when members of the population respond to a deployed classifier by manipulating their features…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-12-15 Dmitriy Drusvyatskiy , Lin Xiao

Numerous analyses of reading time (RT) data have been implemented -- all in an effort to better understand the cognitive processes driving reading comprehension. However, data measured on words at the end of a sentence -- or even at the end…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-01-08 Clara Meister , Tiago Pimentel , Thomas Hikaru Clark , Ryan Cotterell , Roger Levy

In social networks, individuals constantly drop ties and replace them by new ones in a highly unpredictable fashion. This highly dynamical nature of social ties has important implications for processes such as the spread of information or…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-01-22 Antonia Godoy-Lorite , Roger Guimera , Marta Sales-Pardo

The distribution of impact factors has been modeled in the recent informetric literature using two-exponent law proposed by Mansilla et al. (2007). This paper shows that two distributions widely-used in economics, namely the Dagum and…

数字图书馆 · 计算机科学 2013-12-30 Michal Brzezinski

A new characterization of the exponential distribution is obtained. It is based on an equation involving randomly shifted (translated) order statistics. No specific distribution is assumed for the shift random variables. The proof uses a…

概率论 · 数学 2017-01-05 Santanu Chakraborty , George P. Yanev

Goods and services -- public housing, medical appointments, schools -- are often allocated to individuals who rank them similarly but differ in their preference intensities. We characterize optimal allocation rules when individual…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2021-08-30 Pietro Ortoleva , Evgenii Safonov , Leeat Yariv

The derivation of the maximum entropy distribution of particles in boxes yields two kinds of distributions: a "bell-like" distribution and a long-tail distribution. The first one is obtained when the ratio between particles and boxes is…

离散数学 · 计算机科学 2009-07-29 Oded Kafri

Stochastic dominance has been studied extensively, particularly in the finance and economics literature. In this paper, we obtain two results. First, necessary conditions for higher-order inverse stochastic dominance are developed. These…

概率论 · 数学 2026-01-08 Meng Guan , Zhenfeng Zou , Taizhong Hu

For testing the statistical significance of a treatment effect, we usually compare between two parts of a population, one is exposed to the treatment, and the other is not exposed to it. Standard parametric and nonparametric two-sample…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-11-02 Bikram Karmakar , Kumaresh Dhara , Kushal Kumar Dey , Analabha Basu , Anil Ghosh

When the historical data are limited, the conditional probabilities associated with the nodes of Bayesian networks are uncertain and can be empirically estimated. Second order estimation methods provide a framework for both estimating the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-08-09 Conrad D. Hougen , Lance M. Kaplan , Federico Cerutti , Alfred O. Hero

Empirical evidence demonstrates that citations received by scholarly publications follow a pattern of preferential attachment, resulting in a power-law distribution. Such asymmetry has sparked significant debate regarding the use of…

数字图书馆 · 计算机科学 2023-12-04 Diego Kozlowski1 , Jens Peter Andersen , Vincent Larivière

Adaptive populations such as those in financial markets and distributed control can be modeled by the Minority Game. We consider how their dynamics depends on the agents' initial preferences of strategies, when the agents use linear or…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2009-11-13 H. M. Yang , Y. S. Ting , K. Y. Michael Wong

How should we understand the social and political effects of the datafication of human life? This paper argues that the effects of data should be understood as a constitutive shift in social and political relations. We explore how…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2021-04-27 Julian Posada , Nicholas Weller , Wendy H. Wong