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Recent studies highlight economic complexity's role in mitigating fiscal crises, often measured via an economy's trade structure. Trade, however, is just one facet of an economy's structure and omits critical innovative activities like…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2024-11-05 Goran Hristovski , Gjorgji Gockov , Viktor Stojkoski

We investigate structural features and processes associated with the onset of systemic conflict using an approach which integrates complex systems theory with network modeling and analysis. We present a signed network model of cooperation…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2022-03-10 Megan Morrison , J. Nathan Kutz , Michael Gabbay

In this paper we consider a multivariate model-based approach to measure the dynamic evolution of tail risk interdependence among US banks, financial services and insurance sectors. To deeply investigate the risk contribution of insurers we…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2014-04-17 M. Bernardi , L. Petrella

The credit crisis roiling the world's financial markets will likely take years and entire careers to fully understand and analyze. A short empirical investigation of the current trends, however, demonstrates that the losses in certain…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2015-05-13 Reginald D. Smith

We study the international interbank market through a geometrical and a topological analysis of empirical data. The geometrical analysis of the time series of cross-country liabilities shows that the systematic information of the interbank…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2012-05-28 Alessandro Spelta , Tanya Araújo

We analyse time series of CDS spreads for a set of major US and European institutions on a pe- riod overlapping the recent financial crisis. We extend the existing methodology of {\epsilon}-drawdowns to the one of joint {\epsilon}-drawups,…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2015-06-05 Rahul Kaushik , Stefano Battiston

The importance of the global financial system cannot be exaggerated. When a large financial institution becomes problematic and is bailed out, that bank is often claimed as "too big to fail". On the other hand, to prevent bank's failure,…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2013-11-14 Masahiko Egami , Tadao Oryu

In this paper we analyze the resilience of a network of banks to joint price fluctuations of the external assets in which they have shared exposures, and evaluate the worst-case effects of the possible default contagion. Indeed, when the…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2025-10-09 Giuseppe Calafiore , Giulia Fracastoro , Anton Proskurnikov

Banks in the interbank network can not assess the true risks associated with lending to other banks in the network, unless they have full information on the riskiness of all the other banks. These risks can be estimated by using network…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2013-01-28 Stefan Thurner , Sebastian Poledna

We propose a minimal model of the secured interbank network able to shed light on recent money markets puzzles. We find that excess liquidity emerges due to the interactions between the reserves and liquidity ratio constraints; the…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2024-10-25 Victor Le Coz , Michael Benzaquen , Damien Challet

An asset network systemic risk (ANWSER) model is presented to investigate the impact of how shadow banks are intermingled in a financial system on the severity of financial contagion. Particularly, the focus of this study is the impact of…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2014-10-21 Yoshiharu Maeno , Kenji Nishiguchi , Satoshi Morinaga , Hirokazu Matsushima

The 2008 financial crisis exposed fundamental vulnerabilities in interconnected banking systems, yet existing frameworks fail to integrate spatial propagation with network contagion mechanisms. This paper develops a unified spatial-network…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2025-11-13 Tatsuru Kikuchi

We consider a model of a simple financial system consisting of a leveraged investor that invests in a risky asset and manages risk by using Value-at-Risk (VaR). The VaR is estimated by using past data via an adaptive expectation scheme. We…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2021-04-13 Fabrizio Lillo , Giulia Livieri , Stefano Marmi , Anton Solomko , Sandro Vaienti

In the context of understanding the nature of the risk transformation process of the financial system we propose an iterative risk-trading game between several agents who build their trading strategies based on a general utility setting.…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Stefan Thurner , Rudolf Hanel , Stefan Pichler

Failure statistics of banks in the US show that their sizes are highly unequal (ranging from a few tens of thousands to over a billion dollars) and also, they come in `waves' of intermittent activities. This motivates a self-organized…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-01-11 Soumyajyoti Biswas , Bikas K. Chakrabarti

We explore a model of the interaction between banks and outside investors in which the ability of banks to issue inside money (short-term liabilities believed to be convertible into currency at par) can generate a collapse in asset prices…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2014-10-20 Charles D. Brummitt , Rajiv Sethi , Duncan J. Watts

We study the incentives of banks in a financial network, where the network consists of debt contracts and credit default swaps (CDSs) between banks. One of the most important questions in such a system is the problem of deciding which of…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2020-02-19 Pál András Papp , Roger Wattenhofer

A minimal stochastic dynamical model of the interbank network is introduced, with linear interactions mediated by an integral of recent variations. Defining stress as the variance over the banks' states, the interaction correction to the…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2023-11-30 Andrea Auconi

We propose a model for the credit and liquidity risks faced by clearing members of Central Counterparty Clearing houses (CCPs). This model aims to capture the features of: gap risk; feedback between clearing member default, market…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2016-04-04 Russell Barker , Andrew Dickinson , Alex Lipton , Rajeev Virmani

Against the widely held belief that diversification at banking institutions contributes to the stability of the financial system, Wagner (2010) found that diversification actually makes systemic crisis more likely. While it is true, as…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2020-12-23 Pedro Cadenas , Henryk Gzyl , Hyun Woong Park