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We explain the connection between the Gumbel limit for diffusion exit times and the theory of extreme values.

概率论 · 数学 2013-12-09 Yuri Bakhtin

We analyze the distribution that extremizes a linear combination of the Boltzmann--Gibbs entropy and the nonadditive $q$-entropy. We show that this distribution can be expressed in terms of a Lambert function. Both the entropic functional…

统计力学 · 物理学 2016-05-03 Gabriele Sicuro , Debarshee Bagchi , Constantino Tsallis

We derive the Kullback-Leibler divergence for the normal-gamma distribution and show that it is identical to the Bayesian complexity penalty for the univariate general linear model with conjugate priors. Based on this finding, we provide…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-11-07 Joram Soch , Carsten Allefeld

We consider the extreme value statistics of $N$ independent and identically distributed random variables, which is a classic problem in probability theory. When $N\to\infty$, fluctuations around the maximum of the variables are described by…

统计力学 · 物理学 2021-07-14 Lior Zarfaty , Eli Barkai , David A. Kessler

In the framework of Cramer's probabilistic model of primes, we explore the exact and asymptotic distributions of maximal prime gaps. We show that the Gumbel extreme value distribution exp(-exp(-x)) is the limit law for maximal gaps between…

数论 · 数学 2014-09-30 Alexei Kourbatov

Formalising the confrontation of opinions (models) to observations (data) is the task of Inferential Statistics. Information Theory provides us with a basic functional, the relative entropy (or Kullback-Leibler divergence), an asymmetrical…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2015-03-13 François Bavaud

Testing whether two multivariate samples exhibit the same extremal behavior is an important problem in various fields including environmental and climate sciences. While several ad-hoc approaches exist in the literature, they often lack…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-02-03 Sebastian Engelke , Philippe Naveau , Chen Zhou

In this paper, we introduce a bivariate exponentaited generalized Weibull-Gompertz distribution. The model introduced here is of Marshall-Olkin type. Several properties are studied such as bivariate probability density function and it is…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-01-19 M. A. EL-Damcese , Abdelfattah Mustafa , M. S. Eliwa

We consider the Gumbel or extreme value statistics describing the distribution function p_G(x_max) of the maximum values of a random field x within patches of fixed size. We present, for smooth Gaussian random fields in two and three…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2015-05-27 S. Colombi , O. Davis , J. Devriendt , S. Prunet , J. Silk

Inferring and comparing complex, multivariable probability density functions is fundamental to problems in several fields, including probabilistic learning, network theory, and data analysis. Classification and prediction are the two faces…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2017-03-30 David J. Galas , T. Gregory Dewey , James Kunert-Graf , Nikita A. Sakhanenko

In this note, we establish the convergence in distribution of the maxima of i.i.d. random variables to the Gumbel distribution with the associated normalizing sequences for several examples that are related to the normal distribution.…

概率论 · 数学 2021-03-29 Markus Bibinger

This paper introduces studies on exponentaited generalized Weibull Gompertz distribution EGWGD which generalizes a lot of distributions. Several properties of the EGWGD such as reversed (hazard) function, moments, maximum likelihood…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-01-14 M. A. EL-Damcese , Abdelfattah Mustafa , M. S. Eliwa

We study concentration inequalities for the Kullback--Leibler (KL) divergence between the empirical distribution and the true distribution. Applying a recursion technique, we improve over the method of types bound uniformly in all regimes…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2019-10-22 Jay Mardia , Jiantao Jiao , Ervin Tánczos , Robert D. Nowak , Tsachy Weissman

Extreme value theory is part and parcel of any study of order statistics in one dimension. Our aim here is to consider such large sample theory for the maximum distance to the origin, and the related maximum "interpoint distance," in…

概率论 · 数学 2015-10-30 Sreenivasa Rao Jammalamadaka , Svante Janson

In this paper, we propose some estimators for the parameters of a statistical model based on Kullback-Leibler divergence of the survival function in continuous setting. We prove that the proposed estimators are subclass of "generalized…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-07-01 Yaser Mehrali , Majid Asadi

We study distributional robustness in the context of Extreme Value Theory (EVT). We provide a data-driven method for estimating extreme quantiles in a manner that is robust against incorrect model assumptions underlying the application of…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-06-09 Jose Blanchet , Fei He , Karthyek R. A. Murthy

We provide optimal lower and upper bounds for the augmented Kullback-Leibler divergence in terms of the augmented total variation distance between two probability measures defined on two Euclidean spaces having different dimensions. We call…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-11-03 Michele Caprio

Extreme value distributions are routinely employed to assess risks connected to extreme events in a large number of applications. They typically are two- or three- parameter distributions: the inference can be unstable, which is…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-02-19 Nathan Huet , Ilaria Prosdocimi

We consider the asymptotic behavior of posterior distributions if the model is misspecified. Given a prior distribution and a random sample from a distribution $P_0$, which may not be in the support of the prior, we show that the posterior…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 B. J. K. Kleijn , A. W. van der Vaart

We show that generalised extreme value statistics -the statistics of the k-th largest value among a large set of random variables- can be mapped onto a problem of random sums. This allows us to identify classes of non-identical and…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-11 Eric Bertin , Maxime Clusel