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In the context of the expected-posterior prior (EPP) approach to Bayesian variable selection in linear models, we combine ideas from power-prior and unit-information-prior methodologies to simultaneously produce a minimally-informative…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-04-27 Dimitris Fouskakis , Ioannis Ntzoufras , David Draper

One of the main approaches used to construct prior distributions for objective Bayes methods is the concept of random imaginary observations. Under this setup, the expected-posterior prior (EPP) offers several advantages, among which it has…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-10-09 Dimitris Fouskakis , Ioannis Ntzoufras

The power-expected-posterior (PEP) prior is an objective prior for Gaussian linear models, which leads to consistent model selection inference, under the M-closed scenario, and tends to favor parsimonious models. Recently, two new forms of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-11-22 Dimitris Fouskakis , Ioannis Ntzoufras , Konstantinos Perrakis

The power-expected-posterior (PEP) prior provides an objective, automatic, consistent and parsimonious model selection procedure. At the same time it resolves the conceptual and computational problems due to the use of imaginary data.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-10-02 Dimitris Fouskakis , Ioannis Ntzoufras , Konstantinos Perrakis

Power-expected-posterior (PEP) methodology, which borrows ideas from the literature on power priors, expected-posterior priors and unit information priors, provides a systematic way to construct objective priors. The basic idea is to use…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-07 Anupreet Porwal , Abel Rodriguez

Bayes factors for composite hypotheses have difficulty in encoding vague prior knowledge, as improper priors cannot be used and objective priors may be subjectively unreasonable. To address these issues I revisit the posterior Bayes factor,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-29 Frank Dudbridge

The Zellner's g-prior and its recent hierarchical extensions are the most popular default prior choices in the Bayesian variable selection context. These prior set-ups can be expressed power-priors with fixed set of imaginary data. In this…

统计计算 · 统计学 2013-07-10 Dimitris Fouskakis , Ioannis Ntzoufras

The ongoing replication crisis in science has increased interest in the methodology of replication studies. We propose a novel Bayesian analysis approach using power priors: The likelihood of the original study's data is raised to the power…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-28 Samuel Pawel , Frederik Aust , Leonhard Held , Eric-Jan Wagenmakers

Although Bayesian inference is an immensely popular paradigm among a large segment of scientists including statisticians, most applications consider objective priors and need critical investigations (Efron, 2013, Science). While it has…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-09-11 Abhik Ghosh , Tuhin Majumder , Ayanendranath Basu

A Bayes factor is proposed for testing whether the effect of a key predictor variable on the dependent variable is linear or nonlinear, possibly while controlling for certain covariates. The test can be used (i) when one is interested in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-16 Joris Mulder

The use of objective prior in Bayesian applications has become a common practice to analyze data without subjective information. Formal rules usually obtain these priors distributions, and the data provide the dominant information in the…

This article addresses issues of model criticism and model comparison in Bayesian contexts, and focusses on the use of the so-called posterior predictive p-values (ppp values). These involve a general discrepancy or conflict measure and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-26 Nils Lid Hjort , Fredrik A. Dahl , Gunnhildur Högnadóttir Steinbakk

In the Bayesian literature on model comparison, Bayes factors play the leading role. In the classical statistical literature, model selection criteria are often devised used cross-validation ideas. Amalgamating the ideas of Bayes factor and…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-06-12 Debashis Chatterjee , Sourabh Bhattacharya

The power prior is a class of informative priors designed to incorporate historical data alongside current data in a Bayesian framework. It includes a power parameter that controls the influence of historical data, providing flexibility and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-05-23 Masanari Kimura , Howard Bondell

We propose a Bayesian approach using improper priors for hierarchical linear mixed models with flexible random effects and residual error distributions. The error distribution is modelled using scale mixtures of normals, which can capture…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-02-06 F. J. Rubio , M. F. J. Steel

The power prior and its variations have been proven to be a useful class of informative priors in Bayesian inference due to their flexibility in incorporating the historical information by raising the likelihood of the historical data to a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-04-14 Zifei Han , Keying Ye , Min Wang

In this paper we introduce objective proper prior distributions for hypothesis testing and model selection based on measures of divergence between the competing models; we call them divergence based (DB) priors. DB priors have simple forms…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2009-02-27 M. J. Bayarri , G. García-Donato

Bayesian methods are increasingly applied in these days in the theory and practice of statistics. Any Bayesian inference depends on a likelihood and a prior. Ideally one would like to elicit a prior from related sources of information or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2011-08-11 Malay Ghosh

The Generalized Pareto (GP) and Generalized extreme value (GEV) distributions play an important role in extreme value analyses, as models for threshold excesses and block maxima respectively. For each of these distributions we consider…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-06-02 Paul J. Northrop , Nicolas Attalides

Generalized linear mixed models (GLMMs) are commonly used to analyze correlated discrete or continuous response data. In Bayesian GLMMs, the often-used improper priors may yield undesirable improper posterior distributions. Thus, verifying…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-17 Yalin Rao , Vivekananda Roy
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