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Recent interest in the external validity of prediction models (i.e., the problem of different train and test distributions, known as dataset shift) has produced many methods for finding predictive distributions that are invariant to dataset…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-07-20 Adarsh Subbaswamy , Bryant Chen , Suchi Saria

The Mann-Whitney effect is an intuitive measure for discriminating two survival distributions. Here we analyze various inference techniques for this parameter in a two-sample survival setting with independent right-censoring, where the…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-09-26 Dennis Dobler , Markus Pauly

Given a finite sequence of graphs, e.g., coming from technological, biological, and social networks, the paper proposes a methodology to identify possible changes in stationarity in the stochastic process generating the graphs. In order to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-02-11 Daniele Zambon , Cesare Alippi , Lorenzo Livi

In a wide range of applications, the stochastic properties of the observed time series change over time. The changes often occur gradually rather than abruptly: the properties are (approximately) constant for some time and then slowly start…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-04-03 Michael Vogt , Holger Dette

In this paper, we study the offline change point localization problem in a sequence of dependent nonparametric random dot product graphs. To be specific, assume that at every time point, a network is generated from a nonparametric random…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-16 Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , Yi Yu , Carey E. Priebe

Over the years, the most popularly used control chart for statistical process control has been Shewhart's $\bar{X}-S$ or $\bar{X}-R$ chart along with its multivariate generalizations. But, such control charts suffer from the lack of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-11-20 Kushal Kr. Dey , Kumaresh Dhara , Bikram Karmakar , Sukalyan Sengupta

We propose a flexible class of estimates for "common change in the mean" sets in spatio-temporal data. We rely on a scan type approach by subdividing the spatial observations into suitable overlapping regions to which classical CUSUM…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-02-18 Leonid Torgovitski

Non-parametric and distribution-free two-sample tests have been the foundation of many change point detection algorithms. However, randomness in the test statistic as a function of time makes them susceptible to false positives and…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-10-29 Kevin C. Cheng , Eric L. Miller , Michael C. Hughes , Shuchin Aeron

To detect a changed segment (so called epidemic changes) in a time series, variants of the CUSUM statistic are frequently used. However, they are sensitive to outliers in the data and do not perform well for heavy tailed data, especially…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-12-20 Alfredas Račkauskas , Martin Wendler

We consider nonparametric regression under covariate shift, where we observe samples from both the target distribution and a related but distinct source distribution. We introduce a novel object, the transfer function, and show that…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-03-09 Petr Zamolodtchikov

We investigate the power of some common change-point tests as a function of the location of the change-point. The test statistics are maxima of weighted U-statistics, with the CUSUM test and the Wilcoxon change-point test as special…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-04-04 Herold Dehling , Kata Vuk , Martin Wendler

The traditional variable control charts, such as the X-bar chart, are widely used to monitor variation in a process. They have been shown to perform well for monitoring processes under the general assumptions that the observations are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-22 Chanseok Park , Linhan Ouyang , Min Wang

The aim of sequential change-point detection is to issue an alarm when it is thought that certain probabilistic properties of the monitored observations have changed. This work is concerned with nonparametric, closed-end testing procedures…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-10-27 Ivan Kojadinovic , Ghislain Verdier

We propose a family of CUSUM-based statistics to detect the presence of changepoints in the deterministic part of the autoregressive parameter in a Random Coefficient AutoRegressive (RCA) sequence. In order to ensure the ability to detect…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-04-29 Lajos Horvath , Lorenzo Trapani

We argue against the use of generally weighted moving average (GWMA) control charts. Our primary reasons are the following: 1) There is no recursive formula for the GWMA control chart statistic, so all previous data must be stored and used…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-07 Sven Knoth , William H. Woodall , Víctor G. Tercero-Gómez

Consider each node of a graph to be generating a data stream that is synchronized and observed at near real-time. At a change-point $\tau$, a change occurs at a subset of nodes $C$, which affects the probability distribution of their…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-01-13 Alejandro de la Concha , Argyris Kalogeratos , Nicolas Vayatis

Change-point models deal with ordered data sequences. Their primary goal is to infer the locations where an aspect of the data sequence changes. In this paper, we propose and implement a nonparametric Bayesian model for clustering…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-12 Ana Carolina da Cruz , Camila P. E. de Souza

In the quickest change detection problem in which both nuisance and critical changes may occur, the objective is to detect the critical change as quickly as possible without raising an alarm when either there is no change or a nuisance…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-10-23 Tze Siong Lau , Wee Peng Tay

We study a Wiener disorder problem of detecting the minimum of $N$ change-points in $N$ observation channels coupled by correlated noises. It is assumed that the observations in each dimension can have different strengths and that the…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-10-29 Hongzhong Zhang , Neofytos Rodosthenous , Olympia Hadjiliadis

Quickest change detection (QCD) is a fundamental problem in many applications. Given a sequence of measurements that exhibits two different distributions around a certain flipping point, the goal is to detect the change in distribution…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2020-01-23 Ahmed Badawy , Ahmed El Shafie , Tamer Khattab
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