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We propose a sequential Markov chain Monte Carlo (SMCMC) algorithm to sample from a sequence of probability distributions, corresponding to posterior distributions at different times in on-line applications. SMCMC proceeds as in usual MCMC…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-08-20 Yun Yang , David B. Dunson

This paper provides full classification of dynamics for continuous time Markov chains (CTMCs) on the non-negative integers with polynomial transition rate functions. Such stochastic processes are abundant in applications, in particular in…

概率论 · 数学 2021-12-01 Chuang Xu , Mads Christian Hansen , Carsten Wiuf

Reaction networks are widely used models to describe biochemical processes. Stochastic fluctuations in the counts of biological macromolecules have amplified consequences due to their small population sizes. This makes it necessary to favor…

概率论 · 数学 2022-02-28 Daniele Cappelletti , Badal Joshi

Adaptive importance sampling is a powerful tool to sample from complicated target densities, but its success depends sensitively on the initial proposal density. An algorithm is presented to automatically perform the initialization using…

统计计算 · 统计学 2013-05-01 Frederik Beaujean , Allen Caldwell

We study a quantum entanglement switch that serves $k$ users in a star topology. We model variants of the system using Markov chains and standard queueing theory and obtain expressions for switch capacity and the expected number of qubits…

量子物理 · 物理学 2022-04-27 Gayane Vardoyan , Saikat Guha , Philippe Nain , Don Towsley

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are simple and extremely powerful techniques to sample from almost arbitrary distributions. The flaw in practice is that it can take a large and/or unknown amount of time to converge to the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-11-13 Xianghang Liu , Justin Domke

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a flexible approach to approximate sampling from intractable probability distributions, with a rich theoretical foundation and comprising a wealth of exemplar algorithms. While the qualitative correctness…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-11-27 Sam Power , Giorgos Vasdekis

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are commonly used for their versatility in sampling from complicated probability distributions. However, as the dimension of the distribution gets larger, the computational costs for a satisfactory…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2020-12-01 Hector J. Hortua , Riccardo Volpi , Dimitri Marinelli , Luigi Malago

We show that discrete distributions on the $d$-dimensional non-negative integer lattice can be approximated arbitrarily well via the marginals of stationary distributions for various classes of stochastic chemical reaction networks. We…

计算复杂性 · 计算机科学 2019-10-01 Daniele Cappelletti , Andrés Ortiz-Muñoz , David Anderson , Erik Winfree

Inferring the infinitesimal rates of continuous-time Markov chains (CTMCs) is a central challenge in many scientific domains. This task is hindered by three factors: quadratic growth in the number of rates as the CTMC state space expands,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-09 Filippo Monti , Xiang Ji , Marc A. Suchard

This paper surveys various results about Markov chains on general (non-countable) state spaces. It begins with an introduction to Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms, which provide the motivation and context for the theory which…

概率论 · 数学 2009-09-29 Gareth O. Roberts , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

The particle Gibbs sampler is a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm to sample from the full posterior distribution of a state-space model. It does so by executing Gibbs sampling steps on an extended target distribution defined on the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-07-29 Nicolas Chopin , Sumeetpal S. Singh

A reaction network is a chemical system involving multiple reactions and chemical species. Stochastic models of such networks treat the system as a continuous time Markov chain on the number of molecules of each species with reactions as…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Karen Ball , Thomas G. Kurtz , Lea Popovic , Greg Rempala

We present a sequential sampling methodology for weakly structural Markov laws, arising naturally in a Bayesian structure learning context for decomposable graphical models. As a key component of our suggested approach, we show that the…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-09-04 Jimmy Olsson , Tetyana Pavlenko , Felix L. Rios

Predictive constructions are a powerful way of characterizing the probability law of stochastic processes with certain forms of invariance, such as exchangeability or Markov exchangeability. When de Finetti-like representation theorems are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-11-16 Sandra Fortini , Sonia Petrone

This short note investigates convergence of adaptive MCMC algorithms, i.e.\ algorithms which modify the Markov chain update probabilities on the fly. We focus on the Containment condition introduced in \cite{roberts2007coupling}. We show…

统计计算 · 统计学 2013-12-31 Krzysztof Latuszynski , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

This paper is a survey of various proofs of the so called {\em fundamental theorem of Markov chains}: every ergodic Markov chain has a unique positive stationary distribution and the chain attains this distribution in the limit independent…

概率论 · 数学 2022-04-05 Somenath Biswas

This paper introduces a decentralized state-dependent Markov chain synthesis (DSMC) algorithm for finite-state Markov chains. We present a state-dependent consensus protocol that achieves exponential convergence under mild technical…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-04-29 Samet Uzun , Nazim Kemal Ure , Behcet Acikmese

We introduce a class of Adapted Increasingly Rarely Markov Chain Monte Carlo (AirMCMC) algorithms where the underlying Markov kernel is allowed to be changed based on the whole available chain output but only at specific time points…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-01-30 Cyril Chimisov , Krzysztof Latuszynski , Gareth Roberts

The stochastic dynamics of biochemical reaction networks can be accurately described by discrete-state Markov processes where each chemical reaction corresponds to a state transition of the process. Due to the largeness problem of the state…

数值分析 · 数学 2015-10-01 Alexander Andreychenko , Linar Mikeev , Verena Wolf